for SFTC the most reliable resource in any sport had Cleveland w/ a 59% chance of winning the game followed by Tennessee's 69% of beating Jacksonville. I went the highest probability of winning but the flaw w/ his probability model is it uses team stats, Jacksonville recently went w/ Blake Bortles 2 games ago and someone who is actually the better QB doesn't reflect in team net yards per pass attempt.
I survived a late rally which was capped by a blocked last second field goal attempt. Bortles did well himself.
They were more informative when the 5th Down Blog was around but they become more accurate later in the season and it is as useful as anything when it comes to picking winners.
The Machine
STEELERS: 24 (41%)
BROWNS: 30 (59%)
VEGAS: Browns (-2)
The Browns' offense is for real -- it's efficient and rarely turns the ball over. Pittsburgh's defense appears to be improving, so this should be a competitive game. The AFC North has three wildcard contenders and this matchup will have a big effect on that fight.
http://www.sportsonearth.com/article/98007892/nfl-week-6-picks