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Sherman A1

(38,958 posts)
Tue Apr 22, 2014, 05:06 AM Apr 2014

America's Less Religious: Study Puts Some Blame On The Internet

America is less religious than ever before. The number of Americans who reported no religious affiliation has been growing rapidly, doubling since 1990. That kind of rapid change matches another societal trend — growth in Internet use. The percentage of Americans who say they used the Internet went from nearly zero in 1990 to 87 percent this year. Now, a detailed data analysis finds the two trends aren't just related, but that wider Internet use may actually be leading us to lose our religion.

Knowing that correlation doesn't necessarily mean causation, computer scientist Allen Downey, who teaches at Massachusetts' Olin College of Engineering, set out to further analyze religious disaffiliation.

His statistical analysis asked which variables were factors in our religious disaffiliation, and to what degree. The model found a causal relationship among three factors — a drop in religious upbringing, an increase in college-level education and the increase in Internet use — that together explain about 50 percent of the drop in religious affiliation. Of those, increased Internet use alone can account for about 20 percent of the decline.

The technique Downey used to establish causality is a form of statistical modeling called logistic regression, which lets you look at multiple variables and find which ones are predictive. Downey ran a regression controlling for all the other possible explanations of the religious affiliation drop (like income, home region) and wound up with notably strong associations among the three factors of upbringing, education and Internet use.

http://www.npr.org/blogs/alltechconsidered/2014/04/21/303375159/americas-less-religious-study-puts-some-blame-on-the-internet

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America's Less Religious: Study Puts Some Blame On The Internet (Original Post) Sherman A1 Apr 2014 OP
This has been posted a number of times here and it's really a terribly flawed cbayer Apr 2014 #1
Many years ago Sherman A1 Apr 2014 #3
"The internet ate my day!!" is a phrase I use from time to time. cbayer Apr 2014 #5
Yes. Flawed. Might as well correlate eye color or access to HBO or whatever. djean111 Apr 2014 #4
And I also think a really large factor is that there is a growing acceptability cbayer Apr 2014 #6
Key letters in your post: "imo". trotsky Apr 2014 #11
Maybe With Wider Access To Information, Religious Dogma Is Less Appealing cantbeserious Apr 2014 #2
Maybe some of us are learning how to think N/T sailfla Apr 2014 #7
Actually I think the internet is possibly responsible for much less thinking, cbayer Apr 2014 #8
Exposure to knowledge, facts & science has always terrified the church. Sunlei Apr 2014 #9
Amen. xfundy Apr 2014 #10
They didn't burn down the Library of Alexandria because they didn't like the colors it was painted. AtheistCrusader Apr 2014 #12
Here's an interesting discussion of the Alexandrian library, with some attention to such matters struggle4progress Apr 2014 #22
Are you saying that the internet has led to an increase in knowledge, cbayer Apr 2014 #13
yes, the internet has led to an increase in knowledge.& an increase in religious fear, culture shock Sunlei Apr 2014 #14
There really is not evidence that I am aware of that would support cbayer Apr 2014 #15
No, I don't think "religion in general" wants to destroy the internet. We are better off with it. Sunlei Apr 2014 #17
I certainly agree about the risks of exposure. cbayer Apr 2014 #18
agree, & more good than bad purposes would be nice. I believe the internet is a great equalizer. Sunlei Apr 2014 #19
I only saw a tiny bit of it. cbayer Apr 2014 #20
sorry, you do need a decent connection especially to control the 'tour' yourself. Sunlei Apr 2014 #21
Libraries have a similar problem. Warren Stupidity Apr 2014 #16
A less loaded title might be Rob H. Apr 2014 #23

cbayer

(146,218 posts)
1. This has been posted a number of times here and it's really a terribly flawed
Tue Apr 22, 2014, 05:17 AM
Apr 2014

hypothesis, imo.

Unless I am reading this wrong, the only correlation they were really able to find was time spent on the internet and lack of religious belief. Non-believer demographics are likely to explain that to a very large degree, and possibly even completely.

Anyway, I don't think it's a piece of "data" that I would choose to use.

Sherman A1

(38,958 posts)
3. Many years ago
Tue Apr 22, 2014, 05:24 AM
Apr 2014

when the internet was still very young I was discussing with a maker of traditional board games the effect of the internet on the future. A very sharp individual he noted that the net was a giant time suck and would dig into leisure hours thereby impact the available time and socialization of the product he made and I believe to a great extent he was correct.

This piece clearly indicates "Knowing that correlation doesn't necessarily mean causation,"

Take it for whatever you believe it to be worth or not.... Your choice.

cbayer

(146,218 posts)
5. "The internet ate my day!!" is a phrase I use from time to time.
Tue Apr 22, 2014, 05:34 AM
Apr 2014

Agree with correlation not meaning causation and I am particularly wary in this case.

 

djean111

(14,255 posts)
4. Yes. Flawed. Might as well correlate eye color or access to HBO or whatever.
Tue Apr 22, 2014, 05:28 AM
Apr 2014

Looking for something to blame, or a reason; I think it is varied and personal.
I am an atheist due to an NDE, almost all of the rest of my family is quite religious, my grandson is atheist because being religious does not make any sense.

cbayer

(146,218 posts)
6. And I also think a really large factor is that there is a growing acceptability
Tue Apr 22, 2014, 05:36 AM
Apr 2014

that allows people to more readily describe themselves as atheist.

But I think you are absolutely right - it is varied and personal.'

Edit - I am curious. HOw did a NDE lead to atheism?

trotsky

(49,533 posts)
11. Key letters in your post: "imo".
Tue Apr 22, 2014, 08:34 AM
Apr 2014

As the study's author says:

"So far I haven't seen anything that is a serious contradiction," Downey says. And he reminds us that while the three factors of education, upbringing and the Internet can explain only half the drop in religious affiliation, no single factors explain the other 50 percent of the drop.

"So the challenge now is, great, show me the data to prove other associations," Downey says.


You've bashed this study relentlessly since it was first posted, but have offered nothing factual to disprove it.

cbayer

(146,218 posts)
8. Actually I think the internet is possibly responsible for much less thinking,
Tue Apr 22, 2014, 06:11 AM
Apr 2014

and, in particular, critical thinking.

It is alarming to see how many people will swallow anything they see not he internet whole and how few people can really evaluate a source or data.

If there is a causal relationship here, which I doubt, I don't think it has anything to do with improved thinking.

struggle4progress

(118,282 posts)
22. Here's an interesting discussion of the Alexandrian library, with some attention to such matters
Tue Apr 22, 2014, 04:15 PM
Apr 2014

as the expulsion of all intellectuals from Alexandria in 145BCE, the fire Caesar set in 48BCE, Caracalla's suppression of the Museum in 216CE, the civil war associated with Aurelian's conquest in 273CE, and the burning of the city by Diocletian in 298CE

The Great Library of Alexandria

cbayer

(146,218 posts)
13. Are you saying that the internet has led to an increase in knowledge,
Tue Apr 22, 2014, 11:26 AM
Apr 2014

facts and science?

How much of what is posted on the internet do you think is true or valid?

Sunlei

(22,651 posts)
14. yes, the internet has led to an increase in knowledge.& an increase in religious fear, culture shock
Tue Apr 22, 2014, 11:35 AM
Apr 2014

True or valid? Everyone is on the internet these days, lots of lies and scammers.

cbayer

(146,218 posts)
15. There really is not evidence that I am aware of that would support
Tue Apr 22, 2014, 11:38 AM
Apr 2014

your conclusion that the internet has led to an increase in knowledge, let alone an increase in religious fear.

Do you think that religion in general has embraced or tried to destroy the internet? That might give a somewhat accurate representation of where it may stand in very general terms.

Sunlei

(22,651 posts)
17. No, I don't think "religion in general" wants to destroy the internet. We are better off with it.
Tue Apr 22, 2014, 12:48 PM
Apr 2014

I think 'political religion' (politics uses religion all the time to further their agenda) wants to stifle/control facts and knowledge on the internet.

I think it is the hateful, bad parts of 'religions' who wish they could destroy 'the internet' the most. They don't like worldwide exposure of their deeds, communication, or the sharing of facts, science & knowledge. Like a cult works.

cbayer

(146,218 posts)
18. I certainly agree about the risks of exposure.
Tue Apr 22, 2014, 01:03 PM
Apr 2014

What many used to get away with is no longer so easily held a secret.

OTOH, I think religious groups have used the internet for both good and bad purposes, much like everything else has.

Sunlei

(22,651 posts)
19. agree, & more good than bad purposes would be nice. I believe the internet is a great equalizer.
Tue Apr 22, 2014, 01:36 PM
Apr 2014

Look at what beauty and knowledge the internet can bring into our homes.

http://www.lascaux.culture.fr/

click "visite de la grotto"



cbayer

(146,218 posts)
20. I only saw a tiny bit of it.
Tue Apr 22, 2014, 01:49 PM
Apr 2014

I have a really slow connection right now, and streaming is a problem.

Will try to look at at another time, though.

Sunlei

(22,651 posts)
21. sorry, you do need a decent connection especially to control the 'tour' yourself.
Tue Apr 22, 2014, 01:59 PM
Apr 2014

That grotto must have been a spiritual experience for our religions ancestors.

 

Warren Stupidity

(48,181 posts)
16. Libraries have a similar problem.
Tue Apr 22, 2014, 11:45 AM
Apr 2014

Are you arguing that the spread of literacy and libraries in the post Guttenberg world did not lead to an increase in knowledge? Or does the vast increase in access to information that the internet represents somehow transform the process of access to information from one that increases knowledge to one that does not increase knowledge?

By the way not all knowledge is demonstrably true or valid, for example religious knowledge is obviously neither.

Rob H.

(5,351 posts)
23. A less loaded title might be
Tue Apr 22, 2014, 04:36 PM
Apr 2014
America's Less Religious: Study Shows Influence of the Internet

I know you didn't choose the title, just making an observation.
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