Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

NNadir

(33,516 posts)
Wed Apr 1, 2020, 02:14 PM Apr 2020

Tabular Lancet Infectious Disease Fatality Comparisons by Age: SARS, Covid-19, Influena.

All Covid related scientific papers are open sourced. The table here comes from this paper, a comment in Lancet Infectious Diseases: Likelihood of survival of coronavirus disease 2019 (Ruan, Lancet Infectious Diseases, March 31, 2020.)

An excerpt of the text:

Comparisons of case fatality ratios for SARS, COVID-19, and seasonal influenza in different age groups are shown in the figure. Even though the fatality rate is low for younger people, it is very clear that any suggestion of COVID-19 being just like influenza is false: even for those aged 20–29 years, once infected with SARS-CoV-2, the mortality rate is 33 times higher than that from seasonal influenza. For people aged 60 years and older, the chance of survival following SARS-CoV-2 infection is approximately 95% in the absence of comorbid conditions. However, the chance of survival will be considerably decreased if the patient has underlying health conditions, and continues to decrease with age beyond 60 years.5, 6


I added the bold.

The table:



The caption:

FigureComparison of case fatality ratios for SARS,1, 8 COVID-19,7 and seasonal influenza9


FYI
3 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Tabular Lancet Infectious Disease Fatality Comparisons by Age: SARS, Covid-19, Influena. (Original Post) NNadir Apr 2020 OP
Great info. Also young people who recover are being left with lung damage in many cases, Liberty Belle Apr 2020 #1
Only in the case of severe disease Warpy Apr 2020 #2
Much better presentation than the first time I saw it posted here. Igel Apr 2020 #3

Liberty Belle

(9,535 posts)
1. Great info. Also young people who recover are being left with lung damage in many cases,
Wed Apr 1, 2020, 02:20 PM
Apr 2020

as are people of all ages who survive COVID-19.

Warpy

(111,255 posts)
2. Only in the case of severe disease
Wed Apr 1, 2020, 02:34 PM
Apr 2020

but young people are far likelier to survive a week or so on a ventilator. Whether or not they suffer lifelong pulmonary problems remains to be seen There was some healing in hantavirus, so people who survived the heroics were intially pulmonary cripples but healed to the extent they could do moderate activity. Marathons and squash were out.

That is another unknown with this disease, what effects people will be left with long term after surviving the heroics.

Igel

(35,300 posts)
3. Much better presentation than the first time I saw it posted here.
Wed Apr 1, 2020, 09:05 PM
Apr 2020

Then the percentages were described as probability of surviving.

Info that I'd think really important is the empirical base for this, since it varies so much by time and place.

The study findings give an estimate of the overall case fatality ratio in China of 1·38% (95% CrI 1·23–1·53), which becomes higher as age increases (figure).
Latest Discussions»Culture Forums»Science»Tabular Lancet Infectious...