Monmouth U. in Iowa: Clinton 47, Sanders, 42, O'Malley, 5.

[pnwmom]

Margin of error, 4.4.

So they're still neck and neck. Every caucus vote will count.

(Though they won't count proportionately -- the weight of each vote will depend on how many people voted in the precinct during the last Presidential election.)

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/01/poll-iowa-democrats-218323

Women in the latest sample preferred Clinton to Sanders, 50 percent to 38 percent. But Sanders did better among men, 46 percent of whom said they choose him over Clinton, with 43 percent.

Age also seemed to be a factor: Clinton led Sanders among those 50 and older, 54 percent to 34 percent, while Sanders had the upper hand with those younger than 50 — 59 percent to Clinton's 31 percent.

The standings have solidified since December as 55 percent of those surveyed said they are “completely decided” — up from 41 percent in December — and 30 percent indicated a “strong preference.” Just 8 percent were undecided.


Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/01/poll-iowa-democrats-218323#ixzz3ybNpP7Cc

[Iliyah]

1. K & R

I like it.

[redstateblues]

3. HRC - the comeback kid!

[VulgarPoet]

2. 4.4 MoE... It's not preferable, but it's salvageable

Not bad for fighting the establishment's anointed ($)aint, really

[Nanjeanne]

4. Great news for Sanders

I know this was discussed this morning when the poll came out.

From article:

Hillary Clinton currently garners the support of 47% of likely Democratic caucusgoers compared
to 42% for Bernie Sanders. Clinton’s lead has shrunk from the 55% to 33% advantage she held in
December. Martin O’Malley clocks in at 6% of the vote, which is unchanged from a month ago. Another
6% are uncommitted or undecided.

Clinton enjoys a lead over Sanders among female voters by 50% to 38%, but that is not as large
as her 61% to 27% advantage last month. The two are basically tied among men – 46% for Sanders and
43% for Clinton. Last month, Clinton had a slight 47% to 42% edge among men.
Clinton leads Sanders by 54% to 34% among voters age 50 and older, which is slightly weaker
than her 63% to 26% lead in December. Sanders continues to hold the advantage among voters under 50
by a 59% to 31% margin, which is wider than his 48% to 38% lead last month.
“Support for Sanders has come from those who are new to the process, but the current poll
indicates he is also cutting into Clinton’s lead among die-hard Democratic partisans,” said Patrick
Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, NJ

Also noting the demographics of those polled - only 15% were in the big Sanders pool of 18-34 versus 40% in Clinton's camp of 50-64 and 31% over 65:

POLL DEMOGRAPHICS (weighted)
43% Male 57% Female
94% White, non-Hispanic
6% Other
15% 18-34
14% 35-49
40% 50-64
31% 65

Given the heavily weighted poll in the over 50 age range - I'm more and more optimistic that Sanders is going to do GREAT!