2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumRec If You Truly Believe Bernie Won The Iowa Caucus
I am convinced he got a substantial majority of total votes, and even won their funky caucus.
PoliticAverse
(26,366 posts)roguevalley
(40,656 posts)CountAllVotes
(20,878 posts)Time to ... CountAllVotes!!
Cassiopeia
(2,603 posts)It's not even about who won those coin tosses, how they were done, or how they were reported.
The fact that a coin toss is involved in an election at all is fucking ridiculous.
saidsimplesimon
(7,888 posts)Long ago, before the American Revolution, our nation was but an infant learning the concept of democracy. The fights in the Continental Congress, from reports written by actual participants, were an every day occurrence. They had to compromise, not as a betrayal of principle, for the greater good. It was the only way forward to achieve independence from a foreign power. We built a rocky alliance that has lasted for over 200 years.
The Constitution is a living legal document. It is not the b-i-b-l-e. As Christ said, "Render therefore that which is Caesar's unto Caesar and that which is Gods...."
eridani
(51,907 posts)If you are trying to measure 1/16 inch intervals with a ruler that only has 1/4 inch markings, you can't reqlly do it accurately.
Bernblu
(441 posts)at http://howwillamericavote.com/static.aspx?view=iacaucus
So, far they have 225 precincts out of 1683.
It is crowd sourced so they would probably need verification but it's a start.
berniepdx420
(1,784 posts)Kip Humphrey
(4,753 posts)in_cog_ni_to
(41,600 posts)cantbeserious
(13,039 posts)eom
scottie55
(1,400 posts)And the story line is she won by a slim margin.
No one will even put out there she may have actually lost, even though there are obvious problems with the tallying, and zero transparency.
Something stinks.
The press once again ignores the smell.
CoffeeCat
(24,411 posts)Last edited Sun Feb 7, 2016, 10:34 PM - Edit history (1)
I don't think most people realize that before the Iowa Caucuses, Bernie's precinct captains were trained to send in their precinct results to Bernie. We were supposed to call them in or email in the numbers that were on the final delegate math sheets.
This may not have been done in every precinct. However, it was done in the majority.
That is why Sanders initially said that he wanted to see those delegate math sheets that the Precinct Chairs used to call in their official results.
Sanders has noticed--from the counts that his precinct captains sent him--that the officials counts are NOT RIGHT IN MANY PRECINCTS.
Sanders has found many discrepancies.
At first, "Andy "License Plate" McGuire refused to allow Sanders to inspect the delegate math sheets. Then, the Des Moines Register Editorial Board issued their front-page rebuke of what has happened. Do people understand the gravity of that? This wasn't just an OP-ED by one person at the Des Moines Register. This was the entire Editorial Board, in unison, declaring that something is dirty. They demanded that the Iowa Democratic Party, led by "License Plate" to allow the final results to be examined.
Precincts are turning as we speak. There have been four counts that gave Clinton one more delegate; and took one away from Bernie--revealed. There are other counts (such as Clinton 5: Bernie 4) that were really (Bernie 5; Clinton 4). The Des Moines Register has said that there are many instances of this that have been uncovered. But in the article, only one was cited.
People are working on this. This is not going to stand.
I believe Bernie was the winner too.
Unfortunately, we have to wait for all of this to sort out. But put pressure on the Iowa Democratic Party. I urge all of you to Tweet, speak out in the comment sections at the Des Moines Register and include Des Moines Register articles on your FB. I also urge you to write the Des Moines Register Editorial Board. We must keep the pressure up to resolve this, and resolve it quickly. This matters! And could make a difference!
Latest Des Moines Register Article:
http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/elections/presidential/caucus/2016/02/06/uproar-could-lead-revamping-democratic-caucuses/79910420/
Submit Letters to the Editor at the Des Moines Register to: http://static.desmoinesregister.com/submit-a-letter/
frylock
(34,825 posts)Your insight has been invaluable!
sorechasm
(631 posts)I doubt even Hillary supporters want to start the election season with an odor that begins to smell like Florida in 2001. Your good state would not allow that to happen. Even if an accurate count shows the same overall result, the count needs to be transparent.
"When once a republic is corrupted, there is no possibility of remedying any of the growing evils but by removing the corruption and restoring its lost principles; every other correction is either useless or a new evil."~~- Thomas Jefferson
left lowrider
(97 posts)Please create an OP - your link makes it so easy.
PWPippin
(213 posts)I further said, our democracy must be transparent and above board, that I would say this whether a Clinton or a Sanders supporter and asked them to stay on this until resolved. Thank you, CoffeeCat, for the nudge to do something and the link.
ellennelle
(614 posts)and for the link.
it raised the notion of changing the caucus mess to pure votes, and pointed out the longstanding tango with NH over first slot priorities.
oh. good. grief.
this is beyond ridiculous. why not switch off cycles between them? hell, why not hold all primaries on the same day?
i mean, which is more important, representing the will of the people, or sucking in all that revenue from the 'first' position?
which side are you on, tell me, which side are you on?
Cowpunk
(719 posts)In the context of the election, the numbers will not change significantly if Bernie is found to have won Iowa. However, I do believe this is more than a presidential campaign; it is a political revolution. We must make it clear that we have come to shake things up. Feathers will get ruffled. Apple carts will get upset. Shady dealings will be exposed.
chervilant
(8,267 posts)support of Senator Sanders. I've submitted a LTTE, and commented on the inevitable outcome of a refusal to recount: many of us will continue to believe that something stinks, and it AIN'T yesterday's fish.
Duval
(4,280 posts)This cannot stand as it is. I'm glad you and others are working on this!
bvf
(6,604 posts)nashville_brook
(20,958 posts)hopemountain
(3,919 posts)call in their results to the campaign, too.
this is a good rule to follow with any vote for any contentious issue on all levels of government.
WillyT
(72,631 posts)saltpoint
(50,986 posts)providing an accurate count of the caucus totals, if that isn't too traditional.
One or the other of them won. An actual total would be nice to have.
roguevalley
(40,656 posts)saltpoint
(50,986 posts)that a comprehensive analysis of the process might not be forthcoming.
DUbeornot2be
(367 posts)I believe all records will be kept and delivered to the appropriate people in the DOJ if things are too fishy.
Bernie is exactly the type or fighter we needed in 2000 and 2004. He won't leave the truth of a rigged election in the shadows but will shine a beacon on it for the good of the people.
People who think election fraud is just par for the course or that it is okay simply because people "offer" to do it are in for a real surprise under a Sanders Administration.
saltpoint
(50,986 posts)person in charge sported such a license plate.
I'm into accurate counts of actual voters.
DUbeornot2be
(367 posts)...all I ask, a fair count...
saltpoint
(50,986 posts)MrMickeysMom
(20,453 posts)That's a pretty accurate description of the ongoing process and progress of post election outcome.
saltpoint
(50,986 posts)they say.
I like the idea of an accurate vote count and a fair process. Call me old-fashioned. : )
MrMickeysMom
(20,453 posts)I believe we all like the idea of an accurate vote count and a fair process. It isn't just old-fashioned... it's right!
Fast Walker 52
(7,723 posts)so how could they recount?
That being said, I wouldn't be surprised if Bernie had more overall voters.
saltpoint
(50,986 posts)rehaul of the process. I also realize I'm likely not to get one.
But it surely did look like a mess at several of those precinct sites.
BillZBubb
(10,650 posts)He might have. We just don't have the vote tallies so there is no way of knowing for certain. I might suspect it, but I wouldn't believe it without proof.
Anyway, that's water under the bridge.
Ford_Prefect
(7,927 posts)If reasonable proofs exist then let those party members responsible show them. Otherwise it is only vaporware. This is not about what flavor ice cream you'd rather have. The Party has a real legal obligation to disprove any substantiated doubt. Otherwise the charge of Fraud is much more than an "attitude". There are good and documented reasons to re-examine the counts. To insist in the face of present testimony that there are no reasonable grounds is to deny credible witness and recorded facts. If you have nothing to hide about how the process worked, or perhaps did not, then you have nothing to keep from public view about how the counting was done, however embarrassing it may be to show it.
To insist without evidence that you have made no mistakes in the face of this testimony is to declare that you do not care if the Iowa Democratic Caucuses count since you do not certify that they are accurate and completely correct. You simply assert that there will be no recounting or even rechecking precincts where doubts have been raised. How very Democratic indeed. May as well throw out all of the delegates, super and otherwise, from Iowa since we Democrats cannot ascertain that they were apportioned legally and fairly.
Water under the effing bridge indeed!
BillZBubb
(10,650 posts)Your sense of priorities is very skewed.
bigtree
(86,009 posts)FSogol
(45,562 posts)RKP5637
(67,112 posts)in the US needs to be revamped and brought into the 21st century.
Zorra
(27,670 posts)demwing
(16,916 posts)and does it matter? Sanders came outta Iowa like a winner. Clinton? Meh...
SammyWinstonJack
(44,130 posts)Half-Century Man
(5,279 posts)As a matter of course.
As far as I care, unless the outcome is greater than 1% difference; it was a tie, no matter who gets the fractional advantage.
I would like to have had Bernie honestly win it, but I won't be heart broken if Ms. Clinton honestly won it.
chervilant
(8,267 posts)for me to use "honestly" and "Clinton" in the same sentence (except, maybe, to make this point).
fbc
(1,668 posts)I am hoping that a review of the results works him into a 22-22 delegate tie, but I'm not holding my breath.
I think a lot of these little corrections probably won't affect the crazy way they count them in Iowa.
Binkie The Clown
(7,911 posts)he started from so far behind, according to the press, that he wins on the first derivative. His rate of growth in popularity is high while Hillary's rate of growth is zero or negative. So extrapolating the popularity of both using the current rate of change (first derivative of a function) by next November Bernie will get at least 100% of the popular vote. (We don't really care about the unpopular vote anyway.)
Merryland
(1,134 posts)hiding transcripts, hiding email...Is there anything Hillary doesn't hide?
Avalux
(35,015 posts)The DNC must release result tabulation data to either confirm or prove wrong the many accounts of vote and delegate errors.
Dustlawyer
(10,497 posts)to Hillary to alter the outcome. We need an investigation! We do not need another Florida recount debacle.
SoapBox
(18,791 posts)But I will say this...now that we are pretty sure that there were more than a few irregularities it at worst was essentially a 50/50 result.
I would prefer the campaign to not use too much time and/or money (unless it's being done with volunteers and not taking many directly from the campaign) and focus on moving forward, as there is still lots coming up that needs their full attention.
Iowa and now the other states have been put on notice...to reign in any shenanigans.
basselope
(2,565 posts)But, much like our general election that isn't quite the way the system works.
It looks more likely than not that he won both ways, but in the short run, it doesn't matter. He did enough to sink the Clinton coronation.
However, we should improve the system for the future so the vote counts are far more transparent and easy to review.
99Forever
(14,524 posts)This is what Clintons do. Honesty has nothing to do with their game plan.
RKP5637
(67,112 posts)across the US should be transparent!
99Forever
(14,524 posts)... many of the same crowd that SCREAMED about election fraud in the past, have gone dead silent about this?
RKP5637
(67,112 posts)totodeinhere
(13,059 posts)This is just another reason why Clinton is unqualified to serve as POTUS. We don't need a cheater in the White House.
Duckhunter935
(16,974 posts)But a full an accurate count needs to be performed in the open.
bhikkhu
(10,725 posts)I'm not concerned whether he got an absolute majority or not, not nearly as important at this point.
scottie55
(1,400 posts)That would be a hit all around.
Scares the death out of HRC, and the MSM.
If there is 100% transparency, and Bernie still lost, I will be happy with that.
Lot to ask for though....
nxylas
(6,440 posts)Or whatever the TV equivalent is.
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)they would have been more than happy to pull a loud and public "told ya so". the fact that the clinton surrogate/iowa party chair won't release the raw data is all the proof i need thst this stinks to high heaven.
i just hope it wasn't more than a delegste or two they stole. he needs every one dammit.
Got it
(59 posts)avaistheone1
(14,626 posts)Inspired
(3,957 posts)But he did well. This was very close, but I think the results are accurate. Hillary won by a very, very, narrow margin. I say this as someone who caucused for Bernie. I was actually surprised that there was so much Hilary support in my precinct.
CoffeeCat
(24,411 posts)The pressure is on the IDP. Unless they release the raw numbers or the delegates sheets that were turned into them by the Precinct Captains, the result of the Iowa Caucuses will remain a mystery.
That's a tragedy.
gyroscope
(1,443 posts)and files a lawsuit against the DNC under Freedom of Information. It would be the next logical step.
The evidence for election fraud appears overwhelming.
pinebox
(5,761 posts)gyroscope
(1,443 posts)biggest paper in Silicon Valley CA.
I like how Bill has the fire extinguisher and aloe vera handy.
Festivito
(13,452 posts)If it were clear, there would be a link in the OP for certain. No rec.
druidity33
(6,450 posts)he would've won. If they released the actual head counts we would be able to verify that.
Erich Bloodaxe BSN
(14,733 posts)Certainly the one where Clinton got the sole delegate and the only voter there supposedly voted for Sanders seems odd, as does the 4/5 transposition one. Are there enough of those to actually flip how things went? Don't know.
CincyDem
(6,410 posts)If Bernie had just taken the "cough-shake" like a man - he'd be in. But no, he had to hold out for the "cough-wipe-shake" and where did it get him.
You damn well know that he'll be taking 2% in his coffee from now on !
Hoyt
(54,770 posts)Phil1934
(49 posts)if there is proven evidence of tampering than if she actually had to give one or two delegates to Bernie. Still 49 states to go.
Jack Rabbit
(45,984 posts)I doubt he won a "substantial" majority. Let the recount continue.
At most, the results might show a statistical tie in Bernie's favor instead of a statistical tie in Hillary's favor.
Not to suggest there should not be a recount, but we Sandernistas can be happy with the results as they now stand. Coming from a huge deficit about Christmas to close the gap to virtually even at the caucus is a moral victory for Bernie no matter how Camp Weathervane tries to frame it. Even given the results as they stand, the meme that Mrs. Clinton won, period, end of discussion is just a lot of hosrepucky.
Odin2005
(53,521 posts)Stevepol
(4,234 posts)asuhornets
(2,405 posts)840high
(17,196 posts)GoneFishin
(5,217 posts)know if there is emperical proof of cheating yet, but they do. So the message they telegraph is circumstantial, but important.
840high
(17,196 posts)Jennifer Jacobs, jejacobs@dmreg.com 8:56 a.m. CST February 7, 2016
635900058056863091-CaucusNight-BA-09.jpgBuy Photo
(Photo: Brian Achenbach/For the Register, Brian Achenbach)
Keane Schwarz is certain he knows the outcome of the vote in his precinct: He was the lone caucusgoer in Woodbury County No. 43.
But the Iowa Democratic Party's final results state that Hillary Clinton won one county delegate and Bernie Sanders received zero...
Betty Karlson
(7,231 posts)DrBulldog
(841 posts)The reported - and substantiated irregularities - already puts the delegate count in Bernie's favor. But I doubt the gutless and dishonest Iowa Democratic party leaders will recognize it.
99th_Monkey
(19,326 posts)When even the major Iowa newspaper (one that endorsed Hillary)
says it "stinks", well then .. hell yes it stinks.
dpatbrown
(368 posts)Chicago1980
(1,968 posts)oberliner
(58,724 posts)It is chaos with tons of irregularities and counting problems. Not to mention that whole idea of "being viable" and having to declare one's vote publicly. Also having to be available for several hours in the evening.
Every state should move to a primary system. Just go to a polling area at any time during the day at your convenience and vote privately for the candidate of your choice.
As for Iowa, let's just call it a tie and move on.
MissDeeds
(7,499 posts)Serious questions remain unanswered.
Dr Hobbitstein
(6,568 posts)Bjornsdotter
(6,123 posts)...without any doubt.
I want this finished up and put to bed. If we ran our business with dodgy numbers the government would be all over us. I wish an independent group would do the double checking.
Enthusiast
(50,983 posts)TheFarseer
(9,327 posts)Haven't seen or attempted to plot out a breakdown of if he won the delegate count taking into account all the irregularities.
Kalidurga
(14,177 posts)But, I don't really care all that much if he won by .2% or if Hillary won by .2%. Hillary was supposed to wallop him according to a whole lot of polls, on average by 5% IIRC. And let's not forget how they do things in Iowa. Most of Bernie's support was concentrated in the urban areas and that is problematic. Long story short, Hillary should have won by even more than 5%, just because of the way they count delegates.
olddots
(10,237 posts)N.T.
silvershadow
(10,336 posts)roody
(10,849 posts)Chemisse
(30,819 posts)If you 'believe' it, you are letting your heart lead your head.
Cold hard numbers are needed. Then we don't have to believe - we know.
Duval
(4,280 posts)GoneOffShore
(17,342 posts)States with actual urban voters should be the first primary states.
Bernblu
(441 posts)Response to scottie55 (Original post)
Name removed Message auto-removed
FailureToCommunicate
(14,027 posts)You see, this is a site for Democrats, and like minded progressive independents. If your name implies that you wouldn't vote for whomever the final Democratic nominee is, unless it was Hillary, than maybe you are not at the right place.
Just wondering.
scottie55
(1,400 posts)Not that hard right?
Doooooof.
Unknown Beatle
(2,672 posts)Feel The Bern!
jwirr
(39,215 posts)tie with the front runner and inevitable candidate then that candidate won. Especially when that front runner is rolling in corporate donations and media support.
Populist_Prole
(5,364 posts)Jean Genie
(280 posts)Let's nip this in the bud RIGHT NOW! Before we have to deal with the rest of the primaries, and more and more little "adjustments" that leave Bernie just a bit behind in the tallies. In other words, let the HONEST elections begin!
ThreeWayFanny
(80 posts)....about how bernie is "really" the winner. The more he losses the more he will have "really" won.
billhicks76
(5,082 posts)RiverLover
(7,830 posts)BainsBane
(53,093 posts)Last edited Mon Feb 8, 2016, 04:13 AM - Edit history (3)
Both the exit and entrance polls showed Clinton received the majority of support. There is no rational basis to assume the results are anything other than what the Iowa Secretary of State and Democratic Party reported.
Evidence means nothing. Facts mean nothing. The democratic rights of American citizens mean nothing. The only thing that matters is what you and those who think exactly like you want. Posts like these reveal an abiding contempt for the rights of the majority and a willful effort to eliminate them from the democratic process. If they don't vote as YOU demand, you will work to erase their votes and with them their basic rights.
Thankfully, what you think is absolutely inconsequential. Our votes still count, no matter how irrelevant and inferior you believe them to be. If you want to win an election, you will have to get out and work for it rather than simply seeking to rhetorically erase the votes of the majority of Americans.
scottie55
(1,400 posts)To me that does not amount to inconsequential.
If our democracy isn't open for examination, it isn't a democracy.
Tell you what.
Send all the vote tallies from New Hampshire to me, and I will tell everyone who won, and not let anyone see the numbers.
How's that?
Didn't think so.
I just want to see the totals.
I don't trust secrecy.
Call me a stickler....
scottie55
(1,400 posts)She could ask to have the results of the precinct counts published.
She won't.
What's that tell you?
scottie55
(1,400 posts)If they still counted, then why can't we count them?
Your "opinion" is an insult to transparency/democracy.
No one said anyone's vote is inferior.
I get out and work for my candidates almost every day.
No one is erasing votes I know.
The IDP? Who knows.
"There is no rational basis to assume the results are anything other than what the Iowa Secretary of State and Democratic Party reported. " = Bullshit. Even the newspaper of note says something stinks. It's not simply my, and three fourths of DU'ers opinion.
"You treat the rights of your fellow citizens with utter contempt, which is all too common. " = Bullshit We're all Americans. It's just some of us prefer the truth more than others.
I am tired of typing bullshit.
Everything you posted is bullshit.
Do I find you contemptible? Not really. Just a normal HRC supporter who is good at holding their nose.
brooklynite
(94,824 posts)That's the only opinion that counts
scottie55
(1,400 posts)I can't blame him.
Us Americans who want open honest elections, it is up to us to demand the raw data.
And we are.
It is up to "the establishment" to make sure they hold onto power at any price.
If Bernie truly lost, I think everyone will be satisfied.
Show us all he truly lost.
Post the numbers and lets root out the fraud/mistakes if there is any more than have already been reported.
scottie55
(1,400 posts)The corporate media, controlled by the 1% who has been against his campaign, and us the whole time.
The one that is not reporting "irregularities" cuz they have horse race crap to spew.
nxylas
(6,440 posts)Saying "a virtual tie is a virtual tie even if the totals are reversed in Bernie's favour" robs Clinton of her victory without allowing her campaign/the DNC (the two are effectively one entity) to play the "sore loser" card.
pnwmom
(109,020 posts)came to vote for him because caucuses are not set up that way. (Though the entrance and exit polls support Hillary's win.)
And they are also not set up to encourage voter participation; they deny absentee ballots to people who need them.
I hope everyone now understands why I've always said that caucuses should ALL be replaced by primaries.
scottie55
(1,400 posts)Did you see all the results which could be verified?
I sure didn't.
What I have seen is a list of mistakes, and "other stuff".
Show us the numbers, or just declare Bernie the winner.
pnwmom
(109,020 posts)they had been disputing.
And his observers had been in the precincts that day, so they knew what their questions were.
As a result, he gained tiny amounts in three precincts, and lost tiny amounts in two precincts. The overall vote still went to Hillary.
Did you see this:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511167906
Paka
(2,760 posts)but I too am convinced he won. The DNC has been and will keep doing everything they can to derail Bernie. We simply have to continue to turn out in huge numbers and make the vote impossible to steal. They have been watching the GOP and have learned all their dirty tricks.
hoosierlib
(710 posts)But its a caucus...
trillion
(1,859 posts)I'd be interested in the percent for each candidate on this site.
Better than trump.
Smarmie Doofus
(14,498 posts)RiverLover
(7,830 posts)*kick*
Roy Rolling
(6,943 posts)Let it go, my friend, let it go. Your point is accepted.
If he won by a few votes it is still a "virtual tie". Therefore, there is no change for me. I concluded Iowa was a virtual tie a week ago, and using my vital energy to rehash Iowa saps my strength for the present and future. Which is really what a Clinton campaign would wish for---Sanders supporters to waste their time.
RiverLover
(7,830 posts)Votes should matter.
We shouldn't collectively allow cheating. Its worth our time to make sure those in power know this.
Or why even have a primary?
Why encourage more cheating??
Its worth the time.