2016 Postmortem

islandmkl

(5,275 posts) Wed Feb 24, 2016, 07:31 AM Feb 2016

consider: this year's Super Tuesday is more like Semi-super Tuesday compared to 2008:

2008: @52% of Democratic delegates in play

2016: @21% of Democratic delegates in play

...making 'conclusions' this year is like calling a football game about half-way into the second quarter...

but then again...bad math can always be made to prove a point...for a while

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consider: this year's Super Tuesday is more like Semi-super Tuesday compared to 2008: (Original Post) islandmkl Feb 2016 OP

Nonetheless the emerging delegate counts bias the remaining climb HereSince1628 Feb 2016 #1

Actually, I don't think we have any winner-take-all states anymore, winter is coming Feb 2016 #2

This message was self-deleted by its author DCBob Feb 2016 #3

HereSince1628

(36,063 posts)

1. Nonetheless the emerging delegate counts bias the remaining climb

Reply to islandmkl (Original post)

Wed Feb 24, 2016, 08:46 AM

Feb 2016

He'll need to stay close on Mar 1 to get past the Ides of March and Florida & Missouri which iirc are hostile winner take all contests.

To me it seems Mar 15th is really this years mines of Moria. If Sanders comes out of middle March still competitive, June and California will be meaningful.

winter is coming

(11,785 posts)

2. Actually, I don't think we have any winner-take-all states anymore,

Reply to HereSince1628 (Reply #1)

Wed Feb 24, 2016, 10:39 AM

Feb 2016

although I agree that the next couple of weeks will be challenging for Bernie.

Response to islandmkl (Original post)

DCBob This message was self-deleted by its author.

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