2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumTexas Primary Poll: Clinton 56% Sanders 40%
In the Democratic primary, Hillary Clinton holds a solid lead, 56% to 40%, over Vermont
Senator Bernie Sanders. It appears the former Secretary of State is well positioned to notch
a decisive win in the delegate-rich Lone Star State, which ranks third−behind California and
New York−in the number of delegates up for grabs (252).
Clinton does well with women, who prefer her 62% to 36% over Sanders, and she holds her
own with men, who favor her 48% to 46%. Although Sanders has a massive lead, 81% to
18%, among voters ages 18-34, Clinton dominates in the other age categories, holding a
73-point advantage among voters 55-74 and a 76-point edge with those 75 and over.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/
floppyboo
(2,461 posts)Guess it just depends who comes out to vote. Reminds of Fox News always touting their #1 cable news status. Yeah, but who's watching?
hoosierlib
(710 posts)Bernie will still lose by 10...but it won't be a run away...
book_worm
(15,951 posts)Michigan, Illinois, Texas, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Florida all show double digit leads for Hillary, some by over 20 points. Plus in the south--SC, GA, Alabama, TN...big leads for Clinton.
I know...he's going to win big in Maine & Vermont and has a chance at Massachusetts, Minnesota and Colorado. At some point Bernie needs to demonstrate he can win a big industrial state and a state that has a big minority population.
floppyboo
(2,461 posts)floppyboo
(2,461 posts)book_worm
(15,951 posts)and I agree of the big states California is his best shot. But winning California while losing IL, MI, OH, PA, NY, NJ, TX, FL? Is that enough.
hoosierlib
(710 posts)CA (06/07) NY (04/19) and PA (04/26) are his best bets...IL, OH, FL and TX are too close (all in March)...HRC wins this by reputation and name recognition alone...
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)Yeah....that ain't happening ever it looks like.
hoosierlib
(710 posts)firebrand80
(2,760 posts)hoosierlib
(710 posts)I'm curious to know his campaign's strategy after Super Tuesday...need some big wins...
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)floppyboo
(2,461 posts)and choose your lifeboat wisely.
LondonReign2
(5,213 posts)workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)Go Hillary!!
DCBob
(24,689 posts)Should be a big delegate gain!
6chars
(3,967 posts)Vinca
(50,277 posts)HillDawg
(198 posts)That's a 35 point advantage from one state. That's double what Sanders would get if Hillary doesn't get one vote from Vermont. That's a big deal, and not the only state she has a big lead in where the delegates are a high number.