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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumEmerson Poll: Hillary opens up 42% lead in Texas, 11% lead in Massachusetts.
http://www.dailykos.com/stories/2016/2/29/1493582/-Emerson-Poll-Hillary-opens-up-42-lead-in-Texas-11-lead-in-MassachusettsHillary is apparently getting a good bounce out of the stunning and amazing South Carolina primary which she won by a 47.5% margin 73.5% to 26%.
A pair of Emerson polls conducted partly after the SC primary tell the tale, and has the following result:
TEXAS: Hillary 68%, Bernie 26%. LEAD: 42%
same polling firm from Feb. 24: Hillary 56%, Bernie 40%, 16% lead
MASSACHUSETTS: Hillary 54%, Bernie 43%. LEAD: 11%
same polling firm from Feb. 23: Hillary 46%, Bernie 46%. TIE
Here is the poll article: CLINTON PULLS AWAY FROM SANDERS
TEXAS
In the Lone Star States Democratic primary, Clinton has dramatically extended her lead over Bernie Sanders. On February 24, Clinton held a 14-point advantage, 56% to 40% but now leads by 40-plus points, 68% to 26%. Sanderss 63-point edge (81% to 18%) with voters 18-34 plummeted to just 22 points (59% to 37%), and Clinton is crushing him by margins of 49% or more in all other age categories. Support from men is way up; they now favor her 67% to 25% over Sanders, while women give her the nod, 68% to 27%. As was the case in South Carolina last Saturday, Clinton receives overwhelming support from African Americans, 82% to Sanderss 15% and data suggests that Hispanic/Latino voters were breaking for Clinton by a wide margin, 71% to 16%, among those surveyed.
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Emerson Poll: Hillary opens up 42% lead in Texas, 11% lead in Massachusetts. (Original Post)
MrWendel
Feb 2016
OP
Those seem way too big...I think Bernie has a good shot to win Massachusetts
alcibiades_mystery
Feb 2016
#1
alcibiades_mystery
(36,437 posts)1. Those seem way too big...I think Bernie has a good shot to win Massachusetts
LexVegas
(6,060 posts)2. Its tied. OMG! nt
SidDithers
(44,228 posts)4. Every percentage point difference in Texas is worth 2 delegates...
A 40 point lead by Hillary, and she gains 80ish delegates.
Sid
dsc
(52,161 posts)5. honestly those numbers are likely too good to be true
I can see some gain from the huge win in SC but not that big of a gain. Time will tell, but this appears to be an outlier.
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)6. Bernie is in trouble.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)7. Wowow!! Everything is big in Texas..
Including Hillary's blowout win tomorrow!
JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)9. SHE'S DOOMED.