2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumCurious about something regarding media coverage of the Democratic Massachusetts Primary
I can't tell you how often I heard commentators and reporters mention that Massachusetts is a neighboring state to Bennie Sander's Vermont, when they mentioned vote returns from there.
Did anyone here see or read anyone mention that Massachusetts also happens to be a neighboring State to Hillary Clinton's New York in any media reporting?
Vermont shares a short border with Massachusetts, New York's is longer, with it's state capital of Albany close to the Massachusetts state border.
bigwillq
(72,790 posts)I get your point, and agree, but won't change a darn thing
Tom Rinaldo
(22,912 posts)I suspect that the media will make due note of Maine being a New England state on Sunday, just like Bernie Sander's Vermont, though the two share no border. Will they ever talk about NJ, CT and PA either being neighboring states to New York, or in the case of the latter two, that they like NY are all in the same Mid Atlantic region?
R B Garr
(16,954 posts)of influence. If he's so well-known in the New England states, why didn't he do better in Mass. I took it that he hasn't had much exposure nationally, but couldn't even lock down New England.
This whole neighboring narrative came up with the New Hampshire Primary when Bill Clinton referenced actual voting history of New Hampshire supporting neighbors. It wasn't just some random connection to every other state in close proximity.
Tom Rinaldo
(22,912 posts)Vermont politicians do not start out with much of a public profile in Massachusetts or anywhere else until they do something that establishes them on the national stage. Someone from a large highly visible state containing a major media market, like Massachusetts does, might cast some shadow across the border, not the other way around.
As to this:
"This whole neighboring narrative came up with the New Hampshire Primary when Bill Clinton referenced actual voting history of New Hampshire supporting neighbors. It wasn't just some random connection to every other state in close proximity.
I tackled that matter with this:
"FACT CHECK: Do NH primary voters really favor politicians from neighboring states?"
http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511181157
It it my opinion that 90% of the commentary about how Bernie does in "neighboring states" is political spin grist. Which is why I asked the question that I did in this OP
R B Garr
(16,954 posts)himself, had campaigned there, he made a wonkish statement about NEW HAMPSHIRE's voting history as it relates to neighbors and how it would be difficult for Hillary if you consider NEW HAMPSHIRE's voting history of voting for neighbors.
In order for your "analysis" to be consistent with Bill's wonkish statement about New Hampshire, your own analysis would have to include an analysis of each neighboring state and who they favored in primary elections. Only if that analysis showed all the states you are concerned about as favoring neighbors would this even be a talking point. So your comment: "It is my opinion that 90% of the commentary about how Bernie does in "neighboring states" is political spin grist" is completely off the mark of why Bill Clinton brought up New Hampshire's primary voting history. Completely off the mark.
Bill's statement wasn't an attack on Sanders. It was just a cursory comment to a reporter about Hillary's expectations in NEW HAMPSHIRE. I saw him talking to a reporter when he said that, and a couple days later a reporter corrected his comment after research to reflect another election that he had not factored. It was not an attack on Sanders or anything to do with Sanders or expections for other neighboring states. I see the Bernie supporters have latched on to this and it's funny how it is consistently taken out of context.
Tom Rinaldo
(22,912 posts)Prior to the New Hampshire primary it was a wide spread talking heads talking point that NH voters always support their neighbors. I heard numerous official Clinton campaign spokespersons make the same point. I never said anyone made any overt attack on Sanders on this theme, it was simply part of spinning the expectations game, but the media played along.
Meanwhile I pointed out something factual that no one has refuted. Both Vermont and New York are physical neighbors of Massachusetts, and only Sanders was repeatedly referenced as being from a neighboring state. I think the implication being made was clear, that this was an advantage that Sanders had that should help boost his vote total. You may disagree. There has been some thoughtful discussion on this thread which I appreciate.
R B Garr
(16,954 posts)primary that I've heard, so I saw no such implication. New York doesn't even vote until way after New Hampshire, so how would that affect vote totals. It makes no sense as the comments were relating to the NEW HAMPSHIRE primary.
Not everything is an attack on Sanders. They were just wonkish talking points for the early NEW HAMPSHIRE primary. Trying to stretch it to mean Sanders is being picked on is really tedious and unnecessary.
bigwillq
(72,790 posts)That Bernie is not winning.
Bernie is doing better than I thought he would, but his base is limited. That's the reason why he's not winning in some of these states.
monicaangela
(1,508 posts)to attempt to make any Sanders loss no matter how miniscule look as though it says something about the candidate himself. The media is really trying to make sure Bernie doesn't win this election and we all know why.
Response to Tom Rinaldo (Original post)
mcar This message was self-deleted by its author.
Tom Rinaldo
(22,912 posts)mcar
(42,331 posts)My bad.
Tom Rinaldo
(22,912 posts)mcar
(42,331 posts)ConsiderThis_2016
(274 posts)Dumps into NY, buy a map
unc70
(6,114 posts)Albany is only 45 minutes from Stockbridge, MA. You must be using that screwed up GOP map.
JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)Tom Rinaldo
(22,912 posts)Last edited Thu Mar 3, 2016, 11:45 AM - Edit history (1)
Even Bernie's huge neighboring state advantage wasn't enough for him to win it
JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)Tom Rinaldo
(22,912 posts)Might have been USA Today - I can't find it again quickly, been to too many places today. I accept the 17,000 figure though and stand corrected on that.
ConsiderThis_2016
(274 posts)Clintons aren't from NY. They're NY carpet baggers from conservative AR. Same place Mike Huckabee is from... grits & gravy. The Clinton's gravy was wall street via Harlem.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Tom Rinaldo
(22,912 posts)Meaning Western Massachusetts, Upstate New York, and Southern Vermont
There are plenty of differences between Vermont and Massachusetts also, starting with urban/rural demographic breakdowns.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)When I think of NY I think of a big amalgam of different people, Massachusetts not so much, and Vermont even less.
Freddie Stubbs
(29,853 posts)Although MA borders NY, it is considered part of New England.
onenote
(42,703 posts)In 2000, Lazio won most of the border counties.
http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?fips=36&year=2000&f=0&off=3&class=1
Tom Rinaldo
(22,912 posts)The media point has always been, starting with New Hampshire, that Bernie should be expected to do well in his neighboring states so whatever support he shows in them can be discounted.
Now if they were willing to go to the trouble instead of making a case for regional identity differences diving voter profiles and results, that might be different.
onenote
(42,703 posts)Vermont and Massachusetts are more similar than Massachusetts and New York.
catnhatnh
(8,976 posts)If we really get into it Hillary's home states are Illinois, Connecticut, Arkansas, New York, and Washington DC. How many neighboring states is that?
Tom Rinaldo
(22,912 posts)But she did get elected from New York