2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumWP: "The Hillary Clinton-Bernie Sanders debate over the auto bailout, explained"
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/03/07/the-hillary-clinton-bernie-sanders-debate-over-the-auto-bailout-explained...
So it seems like she's willing to take the gamble that fact checkers may call her out for her tactic Sunday -- but that voters won't.
...
{Bush} hoped Congress would approve a separate bailout for GM and Chrysler. Democrats in Congress tried to, but in December 2008, Senate Republicans blocked a $14 billion plan over a disagreement about its terms.
...
Clinton and Sanders were both in the Senate at the time, and contrary to what Clinton implied Sunday, both supported the idea of an auto bailout.
Sanders argued that letting the auto industry go under was too big of a risk for middle-class workers...But Sanders was vehemently against the larger $700 billion bailout to prop up the banks. (As evidenced by his presidential campaign, Sanders is no fan of Wall Street.) So he voted against the bank bailout.
The bank bailout was so big it had to be doled out in portions. In January 2009, Senate Republicans tried to block the Treasury Department from releasing the second half of the money, some of which was designated for the auto industry. Sanders, based on his opposition to the Wall Street bailout, voted against releasing that money as well.
That vote gave Clinton the opening she needed to hit Sanders as anti-auto bailout on Sunday.
...
Clinton is technically correct that Sanders voted against releasing the money that went to the auto bailout, but Sanders can also correctly argue that he supported the auto bailout when it wasn't tied to the Wall Street one.
And you just know that, if he had voted the other way, Clinton would be taking him to task as a hypocrite, saying he had voted for the Wall Street bailout.
peacebird
(14,195 posts)And she will never stop cause that's who she is
senz
(11,945 posts)Octafish
(55,745 posts)The Ad aired an edited version of the audio clip from Sunday's debate. The voice over talked about when President Obama needed help for Detroit and auto industry -- nothing about Banksters or Wall Street bailout -- one candidate voted for help (HRC SOUND BITE)...who approved this message.
Heard the commercial at least ten times Monday driving around Michigan listening to sports and music radio Detroit to Lansing. (NPR, too)
TRANSCRIPT:
Narrator: It wasnt long ago. The auto industry was on the verge of collapse. Major American companies about to be liquidated. Millions of jobs were at risk. Michigan's economy was teetering. Americas auto companies asked for help. And President Obama came though. Now in Sundays debate we learn only one candidate for president supported him. Hillary Clinton.
Hillary Clinton: When it came down to it, you were either for saving the auto industry or you were against it. I voted to save the auto industry.
Narrator: And she was right. Today the auto industry is thriving and millions of people have jobs who could have lost them, jobs in manufacturing, technology, jobs up and down the supply chain. On Tuesday, March 8th, vote for the one candidate who stood up for the auto industry and came through for Michigan when it really mattered. Hillary Clinton.
SOURCE: "Came Through" http://blog.4president.org/2016/2016/03/new-hillary-clinton-2016-radio-ad-came-through.html
It was a low shot...a torpedo aimed below the waterline.
EmperorHasNoClothes
(4,797 posts)tk2kewl
(18,133 posts)beam me up scottie
(57,349 posts)yourpaljoey
(2,166 posts)Doctor_J
(36,392 posts)The issues simply don't play for her.
StandingInLeftField
(972 posts)lostnfound
(16,203 posts)Trust Buster
(7,299 posts)The immediate problem that Detroit ran into was that credit froze up as the banking system started failing and car sales fell off a cliff. Had the banks NOT been bailed out, credit would have remained in a frozen state, not only just for car loans, but for mortgages, school loans and business loans as well. Bernie could vote to bail out Detroit separately but, if consumers remained frozen out of the credit market, Bernie's financial appropriation to Detroit would have turned out to be a fruitless investment. Hillary could have explained that point better IMO.
DhhD
(4,695 posts)Trust Buster
(7,299 posts)Bailing out Detroit (supply side) while allowing the banks to fail and consumer credit to remain frozen (demand side) would have been a fruitless investment.
beedle
(1,235 posts).. but the source of funds for that 'demand side' stuck it's head inside its shell for years, effectively giving banks all kinds of money which they then held on and refused to lend out ... so the real affect to the overall economy (outside of the banking industry) was as though the bailout of the banks never happened.
The auto industry recovered while the consumer credit (your demand side) remained frozen.
Making Bernie's preferred choice the one that was actually implemented in practice. The only affect of the Wall St bailout portion was to provide BIG bonuses to crooks.
Trust Buster
(7,299 posts)Where did consumers get that money ?
beedle
(1,235 posts)...some got loans from banks that were not part of the TARP fiasco, and that along with government incentives and other support measures, and some real innovation from the auto industry helped to save the industry.
The TARP money sent to the banks was more or less useless ... most of the banks involved used it for paying off higher interest loans, storing it in 'rainy days' funds, or paying out bonuses.
Trust Buster
(7,299 posts)beedle
(1,235 posts)Did I say they weren't?
My point was that the TARP money had nothing to do with the consumer buying the product as the financial institutes that received TARP money horded it for years. That's what caused the long recession, no one loaning out the TARP money.
Armstead
(47,803 posts)Bernie was fighting for years to prevent the scenerio that climaxed in 2008. Clinton, not so much.
senz
(11,945 posts)Geronimoe
(1,539 posts)First Bill Clinton forced NAFTA through Congress, then he deregulated the banks. Both of these destroyed the auto industry.
Thespian2
(2,741 posts)any intelligent, well-read person could possibly support a Liar Lying with almost every breath...Clinton, another way to spell CORRUPTION...
Trust Buster
(7,299 posts)bailed out and credit remained unavailable ?
Armstead
(47,803 posts)Why did they help to create a climate in which that situation (and possibly worse) would be the inevitable outcome?
Trust Buster
(7,299 posts)Armstead
(47,803 posts)2008 was a period where there were NO good answers or silutions.
It was a perfect storm. Among otehr problems, the economy (including access to credit, etc.) had become too concentrated and at the mercy of too few financial monoliths. And a climate where chicanery had become standard operating procedure.
The auto industry was affected by that....as well as otehr problems of its own making.
Bernie supported the auto bailout, and he wanted to handle thata on its own terms. But he also -- based on years of opposing that larger reshaping of the economy -- believed it was more important to tend to the systemic problems of the larger economy.
One can disagree with that, but it should not be misrepresented as being "opposed" to the auto bailout.
Trust Buster
(7,299 posts)What good would it have done to give Detroit money to build cars just to allow the credit markets to fail leaving Detroit without qualified customers to buy those cars that they would have built with Bernie's money ? Simple question.
Armstead
(47,803 posts)Not a permanent one, but something that would take over and finance the actual benefits of banks, to augment the system while banks cleaned up their own houses.
I'm not a finance expert, but I have heard enough alternatives by peopoe who are that I am confident we could have handled it better than we did.
And in terms of the election, Bernie saw that coming years ago and tried to warn us but we didn't listen and we paid the price.
Trust Buster
(7,299 posts)Are you claiming that Bernie held the position that the banks should be nationalized ?
thesquanderer
(12,001 posts)Trust Buster
(7,299 posts)thesquanderer
(12,001 posts)The point is that your assertion, that the auto bailout would have been useless without the bank bailout, is false because it assumes there were no other possible solutions. I mentioned one, and here's an article discussing others:
http://www.motherjones.com/mojo/2008/09/five-alternative-bailout-plans
and also
http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=95026117
and since you asked, as I posted elsewhere, Bernie's own plan can be found at
https://web.archive.org/web/20081217043510/http://www.sanders.senate.gov/news/record.cfm?id=303313
which basically shifted risk away from--and benefit toward--the middle class.
Trust Buster
(7,299 posts)thesquanderer
(12,001 posts)Again:
https://web.archive.org/web/20081217043510/http://www.sanders.senate.gov/news/record.cfm?id=303313
Essentially, he was willing to go along with the Wall Street bailout (estimated at the time to possibly cost as much as $1 trillion), but with additional conditions, which had to do with how to pay for it (that it be partially paid for by increased taxes on the wealthy, which would raise $300 billion), and that, if it worked, the average taxpayer would see some of the benefit ("equity stakes" , and that it be accompanied by fixing the systemic problems that led to the crisis (undo some of the deregulation, break up companies that are too big to fail).
Trust Buster
(7,299 posts)Bernie stood with principle and activism. Hillary voted to save Detroit and our credit system.
thesquanderer
(12,001 posts)As it was, Bernie was voting on a bill that he saw as including $14 billion of "good" spending and the balance of $700 billion of "bad," which is a pretty bad trade-off, in cost-to-benefit ratio.
As I mentioned elsewhere, there are two possibilities: The bill passed anyway (which is what happened), OR the bill would have been stopped. It is hard to say he voted the wrong way without knowing what would have happened if TARP and its various disbursements did *not* pass. Presumably, there would have been further negotiation to come up with a solution.
Maybe one of those other solutions would have been better. From that perspective, it was the right vote, since "worst" case, we got what we got, and "best" case there would be a chance to make it better. It's not like Congress was just going to throw its hands up and walk away.
beedle
(1,235 posts)remember the main complaint for years was that the banks were holding on to the bailout money instead of circulating it in loans.
fbc
(1,668 posts)Trust Buster
(7,299 posts)hellraiser69
(49 posts)Ever hear of them?
Human101948
(3,457 posts)Interestingly, the five relatively-poorly-performing banks are the ones most deeply involved in exotic financial instruments, gambling in derivatives and wrongdoingthe activities that led to the financial meltdown of 2008, activities that have made Wall Street a synonym for bad behavior.
The two more profitable banks aresurprise!banks principally pursuing the boring business of traditional banking, namely, providing real products and services for real human beings.
http://www.forbes.com/sites/stevedenning/2016/01/17/the-stock-market-and-bernie-sanders-agree-break-up-the-banks/#4952925b3d2f
Trust Buster
(7,299 posts)If he would have gotten his way, banks would have failed, the credit markets would have seized up and consumers would not have had access to credit to enable them to purchase automobiles. It would have been a wasted investment to inject money into the auto industry (supple side) and allow the banks to fail and credit to freeze (demand side).
Human101948
(3,457 posts)The banks could have been nationalized, taken out of the hands of the crooks who created the crisis, and funded without leaving them in power. Think outside of your business school box.
Trust Buster
(7,299 posts)Human101948
(3,457 posts)I said that there are ways to handle these institutions other than protecting the bonuses of all those bankers.
Nine of the financial firms that were among the largest recipients of
federal bailout money paid about 5,000 of their traders and bankers bonuses
of more than $1 million apiece for 2008, according to a report released
Thursday by Andrew M. Cuomo, the New York attorney general.
At Goldman Sachs, for example, bonuses of more than $1 million went to
953 traders and bankers, and Morgan Stanley awarded sevenfigure bonuses
to 428 employees. Even at weaker banks like Citigroup and Bank of America,
million dollar awards were distributed to hundreds of workers.
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/07/31/business/31pay.html
Meme says Hillary Clinton's top donors are banks and corporations, Bernie Sanders' are labor unions
"Mostly true"
http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2015/jul/07/facebook-posts/meme-says-hillary-clintons-top-donors-are-banks-an/
hedda_foil
(16,379 posts)Trust Buster????
Nanjeanne
(5,004 posts)pangaia
(24,324 posts)Bernie MUST, he MUST get this out fast.....
Nonhlanhla
(2,074 posts)If everyone had voted his way, the auto industry would have folded. Indeed, the economy would have folded, since the reality is, distasteful as we might find it, the banks had to be bailed out in order to save the economy.
thesquanderer
(12,001 posts)Nonhlanhla
(2,074 posts)There wasn't time to negotiate with Bernie Sanders to please his particular sensibilities. Government is compromise. TARP was compromise, and everyone had things they disagreed with in it. But not to vote to rescue the economy because the bill did not meet his purity standards was irresponsible.
And Hillary's point is absolutely true: Bernie voted against the release of the money that actually went to the auto industry. Yes, he was on record as being (reluctantly) supportive of the auto bailout, but when it came to crunch time he voted against the money that was needed not only for the auto industry but also to keep credit flowing in the economy.
snort
(2,334 posts)to keep its coat glossy. A nit comb works great. I'm dismayed and disgusted at the level the Clinton campaign has fallen to but at least they're kind to animals.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)Sanders was not able to do that.. Hillary was.
Human101948
(3,457 posts)There could have been numerous other ways to solve the problems but the ones that were put forward were aimed most obviously at protected the wealthy,
DCBob
(24,689 posts)There was no time to put together another bill that would have satisfied Bernie.
Bernie blew it.
thesquanderer
(12,001 posts)see https://web.archive.org/web/20081217043510/http://www.sanders.senate.gov/news/record.cfm?id=303313
Basically, he wanted the bailout structure to be such that that, if it didn't work, average taxpayers wouldn't have been on the hook for the whole thing, and if it did work, they would share in the benefit. (Among other things, which you can read about in that link.) Basically, it was very Bernie.
Here's the thing: Nobody knew for sure whether the Wall Street bailout was the answer. And as is so often the case, bills are a mix of things you like and things you don't, and a congressperson has to weigh the good and bad as s/he sees it and ultimately vote one way or the other on the entire package. But look at the numbers! Bernie approved of the $14 billion for the auto industry, but not of the $700 billion total wall street bailout package. Look at the disparity in those figures! No matter how much you support $14 billion of spending, if you honestly believe the rest of the $700 billion is a mistake, that's an awful lot of "wrong" you have to support for a relatively small amount of "right."
DCBob
(24,689 posts)Or was he just writing Op-Eds?
There was no alternative bailout bill ready to go and most were on board with TARP and it was a crisis. They all had to make a decision yea or nay.
He voted the wrong way... simple as that.
thesquanderer
(12,001 posts)...without knowing what would have happened if TARP and its various disbursements did *not* pass. Presumably, there would have been further negotiation to come up with a solution. Perhaps something better. There were other plans being discussed, as I pointed out in post #46
mountain grammy
(26,668 posts)I remember it well.. following Senate debates and votes closely as a hapless citizen watching our future disappear before our eyes. My husband lost his $35/hr job as an aircraft mechanic and started driving a bus for $12/hr.
It was a crisis and at the time, I agreed with both of them, because, damn, I couldn't even figure out what was happening. I was too busy taking any stinking job I could get to keep our heads above water and the banks that did it were getting bailed out; but what would happen if they weren't?
DCBob
(24,689 posts)Nobody knows for sure but many think our economy would have spiraled out of control and into a deep depression. I tend to agree with that.
mountain grammy
(26,668 posts)but what we do know is there was plenty of culpability to go around that amounted to billions in fines, but no indictments, no prosecutions..I think I'd feel a lot better about the bailout if a few of these crooks were spending time with Bernie Madoff.
Trust Buster
(7,299 posts)the credit market for automobiles, homes, business and school would have dried up. The economy the would have failed and sunk into depression. He could have given Detroit billions but, if consumers were not able to access credit, Detroit's cars would have rusted on the lot. Bernie is an emotional activist and not a leader.
wa4297a
(4 posts)When it wasn't attached to the wall street bailout
Trust Buster
(7,299 posts)the credit necessary to buy those cars was not available to the consumers ?
islandmkl
(5,275 posts)better yet, they were able to keep doing business relatively the same way...and reward themselves for staying in business
NHprogressive
(56 posts)"And you just know that, if he had voted the other way, Clinton would be taking him to task as a hypocrite, saying he had voted for the Wall Street bailout."
I think her hope is that enough people won't think it through and/or research her claim to see what she's doing. I fear she may be right, but let's do what we can to shine some light on these misleading presentations of the issues
Trust Buster
(7,299 posts)What good would it have done to give Detroit money to build cars if the banks were allowed to fail and consumers were shut out of the credit market necessary to purchase those automobiles ?
Human101948
(3,457 posts)So Paulson came up with a more convincing lie. On paper, the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 was simple: Treasury would buy $700 billion of troubled mortgages from the banks and then modify them to help struggling homeowners. Section 109 of the act, in fact, specifically empowered the Treasury secretary to "facilitate loan modifications to prevent avoidable foreclosures." With that promise on the table, wary Democrats finally approved the bailout on October 3rd, 2008. "That provision," says Barofsky, "is what got the bill passed."
But within days of passage, the Fed and the Treasury unilaterally decided to abandon the planned purchase of toxic assets in favor of direct injections of billions in cash into companies like Goldman and Citigroup. Overnight, Section 109 was unceremoniously ditched, and what was pitched as a bailout of both banks and homeowners instantly became a bank-only operation marking the first in a long series of moves in which bailout officials either casually ignored or openly defied their own promises with regard to TARP.
Read more: http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/news/secret-and-lies-of-the-bailout-20130104#ixzz42EW5VaWp
Follow us: @rollingstone on Twitter | RollingStone on Facebook
Trust Buster
(7,299 posts)if he got his way and the banks weren't bailed out.
PatrickforO
(14,604 posts)Our 'presumptive nominee' then, is a liar. Oh, we can say, well, all politicians lie. But that isn't entirely true for Bernie. I haven't caught him in any lies.
Liar.
Trust Buster
(7,299 posts)You can't give Detroit money to make cars just to let the banks fail and deprive the consumer the access to credit to buy those same cars.
PatrickforO
(14,604 posts)fact that Sanders is actually on the record as supporting the auto bailout. He even voted for it.
...
So it seems like she's willing to take the gamble that fact checkers may call her out for her tactic Sunday -- but that voters won't."
So...........like I said in the first place, it was a lie and Clinton is a liar, in this case by omission. She also, you'll recall, attempted to have a surrogate lie about Bernie's 2007 vote against the immigration legislation. Remember? Bernie supported it in 05 and 06, but the bill in 07 included provisions that allowed guest workers to be treated like slaves. So Bernie voted against it, and he wasn't alone. Most Latino organizations did not support that version either.
So, again a lie.
Playing race politics? Again, a lie - this one particularly egregious.
No, I'm sorry. I don't trust Clinton and never will. Because I don't think she gives a shit about me or my family or the issues we actually care about, and I don't think she has any interest at all in implementing policies or passing legislation that would actually make our lives better. I don't know you, who you are or what your circumstance, but do you really think she's in your corner? Really?
BainsBane
(53,135 posts)and couldn't be trusted. But it's okay in this case?
The fact is he voted against the auto bailout. The issue isn't whether he supported "the idea" but that when push came to shove, he voted against it.
thesquanderer
(12,001 posts)I never said anything negative about the Washington Post.
But yes, Sanders voted against a $700 billion expenditure he thought was poorly devised, even though it included a $14 billion auto bailout he was in favor of. Looking at those numbers, it would be hard to justify such a large amount of "bad" for that amount of "good" if that is how you saw the bill.
So then there are two possibilities: The bill passed anyway (which is what happened), OR the bill would have been stopped. As I mentioned in another post, It is hard to say he voted the wrong way without knowing what would have happened if TARP and its various disbursements did *not* pass. Presumably, there would have been further negotiation to come up with a solution. Perhaps something better. There were other plans being discussed, as I pointed out in post #46.
amborin
(16,631 posts)madfloridian
(88,117 posts)pat_k
(9,313 posts)bigtree
(86,016 posts)...much less his supporters.
Y'all set the standard, now you have to live with it. If Sanders had his way, the money would never have made it to Detroit.
thesquanderer
(12,001 posts)re: "If Sanders had his way, the money would never have made it to Detroit."
Not true. As I said above, Congress was not just going to throw its hands up and walk away.
There were two possibilities. Possibility one, which happened, was that the bill passed. Possibility 2, if Sanders had gotten his way and prevented it, he would have had the opportunity to make it better. (For example he tried to get an amendment to the bill passed that would have partially funded the Wall Street bailout by a temporary surtax on incomes over a million dollars, so middle class taxpayers wouldn't be completely on the hook if things went south.) Either way, the auto industry gets bailed out.
There were enough votes and enough consensus to be assured that nobody was going to simply walk away on this. Sanders' vote addresses the fact that he saw $14 billion of "good" spending and the rest of the $700 billion as problematic, which, despite virtually every major bill having a mix of good and bad, is a pretty bad cost-to-benefit ratio overall, which he wanted to try to fix. And there had been discussions of other ways to address the Wall Street bailout, as discussed in post 46. But there was going to be an auto bailout, one way or the other.
re: accepting nuance in a vote...
As I posted in another thread:
Yes, Sanders voted for the crime bill, but you can see video of his floor speeches at the time where he praised what he liked about it (i.e. Violence Against Women Act), but also video where he complained about what he didn't like about it (as the debate questioner quoted back to him, "Back in 1994, here's what you warned, we are dooming tens of millions of young people to a future of bitterness, mystery, hopelessness, drugs, crime, and violence" . Meanwhile, Clinton's floor speeches of the time talked about super predators who must be brought to heel. So it is much harder for her to make the case that she didn't support the more onerous parts of the bill.
Similarly, you can read/view what Sanders said at the time, and see clearly that Sanders supported the auto bailout, but not the wall street bailout. AFAIK, Hillary never spoke against the Wall Street bailout, which would have made her vote an easier win-win from her perspective.
Meanwhile, in a previous debate, Hillary took Bernie to task for voting for the deregulation of derivates, which was part of an omnibus bill, and where the Bill Clinton administration had taken an active part in adding that deregulation to that bill.
Most bills have a balance of good and bad that have to be weighed. Sometimes we'll like the choices they made, other times we may not. But I don't see a difference in what latitude is being granted to different candidates, beyond the situations where one can more easily document what their exact positions were.
Picking up from that, Hillary has claimed that her IWR vote was merely to give Bush more leverage, and he misused the power she had voted for. But again, look at the videos of her speaking at the time, and it is hard to read her vote that way, that definitely comes off as revisionist history. She is hardly pleading for restraint when casting that vote.
But maybe I'm forgetting something. Can you point to some other time, when Hillary's vote was being explained by nuance, and Sanders (and his supporters) did not accept it, and there was no empirical reason to doubt it?