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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHow Many Democratic Delegates Does Florida Have? The Winner Will Walk Away With A Big Haul
The Sunshine State's day in the spotlight is almost upon us, and there's a whole lot on the line. On March 15, both parties will hold their primaries in Florida, and the outcomes figure to have a massive impact on the shape of the nominating races going forward. On the Republican side of things, the state carries a considerable number of delegates, 99 in all. But what about the other side? How many Democratic delegates does Florida have?
It's actually a far higher number, in keeping with the Democratic Party's higher total number of delegates they require a candidate to hit the mark of 2,383 to secure the nomination, while the Republicans only need 1,237. Even so, the difference is rather stark: there will be a staggering 291 delegates on the line come Tuesday's primary contest.
There is yet another crucial distinction that sets the Democratic Florida primary apart, however. Unlike the GOP, for which Florida is the first winner-take-all contest of the 2016 campaign season, the Democrats stick to proportional delegate allocation. In other words, even with the higher total number of delegates, the raw impact on the shape of the race figures to be less stark than it'll be for the Republicans barring an absolute bloodbath in Clinton's favor, which based on current polling as well as the Democratic voting trends seen across the south, is certainly a possibility.
The proportional system of delegate allocation may ultimately be the biggest obstacle facing Sanders' candidacy at this point. As FiveThirtyEight's Harry Enten noted in the immediate aftermath, Tuesday night's Michigan primary victory for Sanders was one of the biggest primary upsets ever, relative to what the polls indicated going in. But by virtue of proportional delegate allocation, he actually lost ground overall thanks to the flat-out drubbing he took in Mississippi, where he lost to Clinton with just 16 percent against her 82 percent.
http://www.bustle.com/articles/147013-how-many-democratic-delegates-does-florida-have-the-winner-will-walk-away-with-a-big-haul
It's actually a far higher number, in keeping with the Democratic Party's higher total number of delegates they require a candidate to hit the mark of 2,383 to secure the nomination, while the Republicans only need 1,237. Even so, the difference is rather stark: there will be a staggering 291 delegates on the line come Tuesday's primary contest.
There is yet another crucial distinction that sets the Democratic Florida primary apart, however. Unlike the GOP, for which Florida is the first winner-take-all contest of the 2016 campaign season, the Democrats stick to proportional delegate allocation. In other words, even with the higher total number of delegates, the raw impact on the shape of the race figures to be less stark than it'll be for the Republicans barring an absolute bloodbath in Clinton's favor, which based on current polling as well as the Democratic voting trends seen across the south, is certainly a possibility.
The proportional system of delegate allocation may ultimately be the biggest obstacle facing Sanders' candidacy at this point. As FiveThirtyEight's Harry Enten noted in the immediate aftermath, Tuesday night's Michigan primary victory for Sanders was one of the biggest primary upsets ever, relative to what the polls indicated going in. But by virtue of proportional delegate allocation, he actually lost ground overall thanks to the flat-out drubbing he took in Mississippi, where he lost to Clinton with just 16 percent against her 82 percent.
http://www.bustle.com/articles/147013-how-many-democratic-delegates-does-florida-have-the-winner-will-walk-away-with-a-big-haul
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How Many Democratic Delegates Does Florida Have? The Winner Will Walk Away With A Big Haul (Original Post)
SecularMotion
Mar 2016
OP
Hillary will do very well in Florida and increase her delegate lead. The beat goes on. :-)
Alfresco
Mar 2016
#2
It's all about math. And some statistics and probability too. But mostly, it's ...
NurseJackie
Mar 2016
#3
livetohike
(22,143 posts)1. K&R for Math!
Alfresco
(1,698 posts)2. Hillary will do very well in Florida and increase her delegate lead. The beat goes on. :-)
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)3. It's all about math. And some statistics and probability too. But mostly, it's ...
WhiteTara
(29,715 posts)4. winner take all is only for the pukes
democrats have a proportional system.
Garrett78
(10,721 posts)5. Which is what the article says.
But one thing it gets wrong is the number of Florida delegates. Florida has 214 pledged delegates.