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NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
Mon Mar 14, 2016, 05:41 PM Mar 2016

Why Hillary Clinton’s delegate lead over Bernie Sanders is bigger than it looks

A key question in the wake of Hillary Clinton's surprising loss in Michigan last week is whether or not she'll suffer the same fate in Ohio, Michigan's superior southern neighbor. New polling in the state from Monmouth University shows Clinton with a wide lead, including a 42-point lead among non-white voters. But, of course, polling in Michigan was way off before voters went to the polls.

Recent polling averages in the states that are voting on Tuesday -- Florida, Illinois, Missouri, North Carolina and Ohio -- shows that Clinton leads in the four where there have been recent polls. She leads by a bit in Ohio and her home state of Illinois and by a lot in Florida and North Carolina. (The only recent poll in Missouri gives Bernie Sanders a 1-point lead.)



https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/03/14/why-hillary-clintons-delegate-lead-over-bernie-sanders-is-bigger-than-it-looks/

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Betty Karlson

(7,231 posts)
2. Can we hear the goalposts moving, everyone?
Mon Mar 14, 2016, 05:46 PM
Mar 2016

Make way: Clinton needs quite some distance to move these goalposts to expectations she can deliver on.

LuvLoogie

(6,999 posts)
5. The Revolution is highly invested in anti-Hillary Republicans. Democrats? Not so much.
Mon Mar 14, 2016, 05:59 PM
Mar 2016

So while the goal is to win the Democratic nomination, Hillary Clinton is closer to that goal, Popular vote-wise and pledged delegate-wise.

Bernie does well in open primary states. He wins, hands down among anti-Hillary voters and the young and the restless.

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
9. "Go Sanders! Go Clinton!" What's wrong with that as a battle-cry?
Mon Mar 14, 2016, 06:31 PM
Mar 2016

[hr][font color="blue"][center]Stop looking for heroes. BE one.[/center][/font][hr]

 

peace13

(11,076 posts)
3. Yesterday's numbers.
Mon Mar 14, 2016, 05:48 PM
Mar 2016

Worry no more. The day will come when the answer is in, and not a minute before the time is up. I wish you well. Saying the same thing over and over doesn't change things.

jeepers

(314 posts)
4. Almost all of Hillarys strength in the primary is in southern states
Mon Mar 14, 2016, 05:54 PM
Mar 2016

all of which will go republican in the general

Bernies strength is in blue states which will go dem in the general where winner takes all the electors.

Agony

(2,605 posts)
6. Yeah but…Bill Clinton is an "unpledged" superdelegate he might go with Bernie!
Mon Mar 14, 2016, 05:59 PM
Mar 2016

JFC you can't make this shit up.

 

Bluenorthwest

(45,319 posts)
10. Everything looks different through Hillary Goggles, even Ronald Reagan looks like an AIDS hero!
Mon Mar 14, 2016, 06:33 PM
Mar 2016

Warning: objects may be closer than they appear!!!!

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