Bernie and Trump are so excited about polls that show them winning the GE.

[onehandle]

GE polls about specific candidates in March are about desperation, not about the GE.

[saltpoint]

1. Ya never can tell. The gods and goddesses

conspire against the mortal narrative any time they please.

[berningman]

2. see and I think this OP is about desperaton

[revbones]

3. Guess desperation is why

I keep seeing Hillary supporters posting those predictwise percentages for Hillay in the general then. Thanks for the info!

[GeorgiaPeanuts]

7. For real

At least polls have some basis in reality, since they are polling real people. Prediction markets right now are mostly conjecture...

[Land Shark]

4. Spring one on one match ups have been increasingly accurate predictors of fall results lately

The message of the OP has truthiness but to really discuss the topic you gotta deal with the assertion above which I have heard from several experts but haven't done the research on myself. Maybe someone who replies to be has some data or information.

[George II]

9. But a candidate has to get through the spring results to get to the fall results.

[Kalidurga]

5. Yep

I am still waiting for substance. I could starve around her if it was all Hillary people.

[saltpoint]

6. If some or all of those polls play

against a statistical backdrop then it's not out of the question that Bernie wins for us and Trump wins for the Pukes.

There is analysis supporting more than one outcome. There is also analysis supporting that particular outcome, including polling.

I think it's ok for presidential aspirants to be excited by good tidings related to their campaigns. I think it's ok for Olympic athletes to be excited about their participation in that world competition. I think it's ok for Yo Yo Ma to be excited about a cello concerto he might perform with the Boston Philharmonic and ok for his audience to be excited about just hearing one of the best musicians in the world when the concerto is performed. I think it's ok for historians to be excited about their study of North Africa or ancient Peru. My late aunt could get fairly excited over peach cobbler.

[George II]

8. .

[Motown_Johnny]

10. Exactly why we should focus on long term trends, like these.....

Hillary, 12% upside down and constantly getting worse.




Bernie, 12.5% right side up and constantly getting better.