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question everything

(47,487 posts)
Mon Mar 14, 2016, 11:44 PM Mar 2016

Sanders Puts Emphasis on Delegate Math

On the eve of a five-state showdown Tuesday Bernie Sanders’s campaign has dropped its focus on winning marquee states in favor of scooping up delegates anywhere it can find them, hoping to show he still has a chance of overcoming Hillary Clinton’s large lead and capturing the Democratic presidential nomination.

Mr. Sanders’s shift in strategy is a response to the hard realities of delegate math: Despite an upset victory in Michigan last week that cheered his supporters he is losing ground to Mrs. Clinton and in danger of reaching the point where it is impossible to catch up.

Two states where the Sanders campaign concedes he will have a tough time winning Tuesday are Florida and North Carolina. Rather than cede them to Mrs. Clinton and focus on winning a trio of Midwestern states where his prospects are brighter, Mr. Sanders late last week expanded his television advertising in certain Florida and North Carolina markets, his advisers said. The idea is to pluck a few extra delegates in the face of an expected Clinton victory in both states.

(snip)

But the limitations of targeting a few high-profile states have become clear. Delegates are awarded proportionally based on results and because of Mrs. Clinton’s lopsided victories in Southern states she has taken a commanding lead.

Take the case of Michigan. For all the attention paid to Mr. Sanders’s upset victory there, the tight margins in the race—he won by 1.5 percentage points—meant he netted just seven more pledged delegates than Mrs. Clinton. Meanwhile, Mrs. Clinton won 26 more delegates than Mr. Sanders in Mississippi, which she won in a landslide. So, when the voting was all done that night, Mr. Sanders won the headline while Mrs. Clinton expanded her lead by 19 delegates.

More..

http://www.wsj.com/articles/sanders-puts-emphasis-on-delegate-math-1457913012

12 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Sanders Puts Emphasis on Delegate Math (Original Post) question everything Mar 2016 OP
Who owned the WSJ again? Anyone think that explains the slanted coverage/tone? Vincardog Mar 2016 #1
Math is just not in his favor UMTerp01 Mar 2016 #2
He hopes that many superdelegates will switch question everything Mar 2016 #5
They did so only after Obama had secured a majority of the pledged delegates. morningfog Mar 2016 #9
When are we going to put an end to superdelegates? UMTerp01 Mar 2016 #12
So, you're saying WSJ is wrong and Sanders DOESN'T want to win delegates? brooklynite Mar 2016 #3
Hahahaha, even 538 predicted Bernie would win in Michigan!! Major Hogwash Mar 2016 #4
"These editoirals" report from Sanders' campaign question everything Mar 2016 #6
Let the people vote. Major Hogwash Mar 2016 #7
They have and they will (nt) question everything Mar 2016 #8
"wouldn't" win right? revbones Mar 2016 #10
Sheesh. Michigan was an upset. revbones Mar 2016 #11
 

UMTerp01

(1,048 posts)
2. Math is just not in his favor
Mon Mar 14, 2016, 11:56 PM
Mar 2016

I will probably end up voting Sanders in April when my state votes, but he not only needs wins, he needs OVERWHELMING wins because of how Hillary has already racked up a lead in the delegate count with her overwhelming victories in the south. The whole "the calendar looks great for him going forward" doesn't mean much when you are playing catch up and when there are no winner take all states, but proportional delegates. After tomorrow, Clinton is most likely going to expand her delegate lead tomorrow and through all the noise about her struggling campaign, she's still in the driver's seat.

question everything

(47,487 posts)
5. He hopes that many superdelegates will switch
Mon Mar 14, 2016, 11:59 PM
Mar 2016

from Hillary, they way they did in 2008.

I doubt it. For one reason - Sanders is not a Democrat even though he has been caucusing with them.

 

morningfog

(18,115 posts)
9. They did so only after Obama had secured a majority of the pledged delegates.
Tue Mar 15, 2016, 12:07 AM
Mar 2016

And I expect they would do the same this year.

 

UMTerp01

(1,048 posts)
12. When are we going to put an end to superdelegates?
Tue Mar 15, 2016, 12:29 AM
Mar 2016

Its certainly not a new thing but I think it goes against the Democratic process itself. Superdelegates?? These shadowy figures who aren't really committed and can switch if they want? No. Superdelegates need to be swept out with the trash along with Debbie Wasserman Schultz after this election.

brooklynite

(94,598 posts)
3. So, you're saying WSJ is wrong and Sanders DOESN'T want to win delegates?
Mon Mar 14, 2016, 11:58 PM
Mar 2016

Boy, this campaign strategy is confusing...

Major Hogwash

(17,656 posts)
4. Hahahaha, even 538 predicted Bernie would win in Michigan!!
Mon Mar 14, 2016, 11:59 PM
Mar 2016

Jesus, let the people decide who they want to vote for, and take all these editorials and bern them!!

 

revbones

(3,660 posts)
11. Sheesh. Michigan was an upset.
Tue Mar 15, 2016, 12:16 AM
Mar 2016

I'm not sure it counts toward the marqee states the article had jsut previously mentioned.

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