2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumSanders Puts Emphasis on Delegate Math
On the eve of a five-state showdown Tuesday Bernie Sanderss campaign has dropped its focus on winning marquee states in favor of scooping up delegates anywhere it can find them, hoping to show he still has a chance of overcoming Hillary Clintons large lead and capturing the Democratic presidential nomination.
Mr. Sanderss shift in strategy is a response to the hard realities of delegate math: Despite an upset victory in Michigan last week that cheered his supporters he is losing ground to Mrs. Clinton and in danger of reaching the point where it is impossible to catch up.
Two states where the Sanders campaign concedes he will have a tough time winning Tuesday are Florida and North Carolina. Rather than cede them to Mrs. Clinton and focus on winning a trio of Midwestern states where his prospects are brighter, Mr. Sanders late last week expanded his television advertising in certain Florida and North Carolina markets, his advisers said. The idea is to pluck a few extra delegates in the face of an expected Clinton victory in both states.
(snip)
But the limitations of targeting a few high-profile states have become clear. Delegates are awarded proportionally based on results and because of Mrs. Clintons lopsided victories in Southern states she has taken a commanding lead.
Take the case of Michigan. For all the attention paid to Mr. Sanderss upset victory there, the tight margins in the racehe won by 1.5 percentage pointsmeant he netted just seven more pledged delegates than Mrs. Clinton. Meanwhile, Mrs. Clinton won 26 more delegates than Mr. Sanders in Mississippi, which she won in a landslide. So, when the voting was all done that night, Mr. Sanders won the headline while Mrs. Clinton expanded her lead by 19 delegates.
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http://www.wsj.com/articles/sanders-puts-emphasis-on-delegate-math-1457913012
Vincardog
(20,234 posts)UMTerp01
(1,048 posts)I will probably end up voting Sanders in April when my state votes, but he not only needs wins, he needs OVERWHELMING wins because of how Hillary has already racked up a lead in the delegate count with her overwhelming victories in the south. The whole "the calendar looks great for him going forward" doesn't mean much when you are playing catch up and when there are no winner take all states, but proportional delegates. After tomorrow, Clinton is most likely going to expand her delegate lead tomorrow and through all the noise about her struggling campaign, she's still in the driver's seat.
question everything
(47,487 posts)from Hillary, they way they did in 2008.
I doubt it. For one reason - Sanders is not a Democrat even though he has been caucusing with them.
morningfog
(18,115 posts)And I expect they would do the same this year.
UMTerp01
(1,048 posts)Its certainly not a new thing but I think it goes against the Democratic process itself. Superdelegates?? These shadowy figures who aren't really committed and can switch if they want? No. Superdelegates need to be swept out with the trash along with Debbie Wasserman Schultz after this election.
brooklynite
(94,598 posts)Boy, this campaign strategy is confusing...
Major Hogwash
(17,656 posts)Jesus, let the people decide who they want to vote for, and take all these editorials and bern them!!
question everything
(47,487 posts)they ask them, you know.
Major Hogwash
(17,656 posts)A novel concept.
question everything
(47,487 posts)revbones
(3,660 posts)revbones
(3,660 posts)I'm not sure it counts toward the marqee states the article had jsut previously mentioned.