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peacebird

(14,195 posts)
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 01:49 PM Mar 2016

Bernie Sanders is about to start winning

Geography is one thing that’s suddenly tipping in Mr. Sanders’s favor. Mrs. Clinton has dominated in the Deep South and Appalachian border states due to their preponderance of African-American Democratic voters. But now the party’s presidential struggles are moving west. Of the next eight contests, only one is in a state east of the Mississippi.

And that one is Wisconsin, which holds a primary on April 5. With a long history of liberalism and an electorate that’s 82 percent white, the Badger State could well be Bernie Country. Right now (sketchy) state polls show Sanders slightly ahead.

Voting methods are also changing to favor Sanders. Six of the next 8 Democratic contests are caucuses, not primaries. Caucuses reward fervor – you’ve got to hang around while people make speeches and organize. You can’t just vote and leave. And fervor is something Sanders supporters appear to have in abundance. Just disagree with them on Twitter – you’ll see.

http://news.yahoo.com/bernie-sanders-start-winning-matter-160106394.html;_ylt=A0LEVwtZP.xWmo4AP1XBGOd_;_ylu=X3oDMTEyZ2VicG5pBGNvbG8DYmYxBHBvcwMxBHZ0aWQDQjE4ODBfMQRzZWMDc2M-

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Bernie Sanders is about to start winning (Original Post) peacebird Mar 2016 OP
Your keyboard to God's eyes: but, we need to keep working and donating! LongTomH Mar 2016 #1
And this is why Hillary's fans in the media and her keyboard warriors keep yelling Fawke Em Mar 2016 #2
Exactly! Fight on, fellow Berners, fight on! peacebird Mar 2016 #4
In the spirit of Monty Python... Surya Gayatri Mar 2016 #11
I do love the sound of silence! peacebird Mar 2016 #12
bookmarking wyldwolf Mar 2016 #3
Why don't you bookmark this? - "Florida voters "fed up" with Trump and Clinton speak out" Attorney in Texas Mar 2016 #5
In every election cycle, there are parts of the electorate 'fed up' with something or someone wyldwolf Mar 2016 #16
Uh, no, she won't. Fawke Em Mar 2016 #23
uh, yes, she will (sorry if it disappoints you.) wyldwolf Mar 2016 #25
If you didn't give a rat's ass, you wouldn't have responded. Fawke Em Mar 2016 #59
Hillary got more votes than Trump in Florida oberliner Mar 2016 #30
Yeah, they were so fed up, she won Florida by half a million votes. NuclearDem Mar 2016 #42
Message auto-removed Name removed Mar 2016 #6
: ) peacebird Mar 2016 #8
Message auto-removed Name removed Mar 2016 #15
Kinda weird how Bernies hope rests on a white electorate. JaneyVee Mar 2016 #7
And it appears... cwydro Mar 2016 #9
But, surely the brotherhood will be enough to carry him across the finish line, no? Surya Gayatri Mar 2016 #38
That made me giggle. cwydro Mar 2016 #45
Mea culpa, mea maxima culpa...sometimes I just need a good giggle, too! Surya Gayatri Mar 2016 #46
Post removed Post removed Mar 2016 #47
Your guy (inspite of his age) practices reverse ageism...his "youth brigade" vote should Surya Gayatri Mar 2016 #48
Message auto-removed Name removed Mar 2016 #49
By the by, welcome to DU. "You say you want a revolution"...huh? Surya Gayatri Mar 2016 #52
Message auto-removed Name removed Mar 2016 #53
I do, too. Classic for the ages. Surya Gayatri Mar 2016 #56
Jury results JustABozoOnThisBus Mar 2016 #50
Thanks. Surya Gayatri Mar 2016 #57
You survived the jury. Tarheel_Dem Mar 2016 #51
Thanks, Tarheel. I knew that was flying a little close to the wind, but at 70-years-old myself, Surya Gayatri Mar 2016 #54
I thought it was cute, but nerves are on edge, so you never know anymore. Tarheel_Dem Mar 2016 #58
On a knife edge...LOL! Surya Gayatri Mar 2016 #60
Sanders has more energy than LiberalElite Mar 2016 #68
Kinda weird how easy it seems for you to write off the will of Cal Carpenter Mar 2016 #14
too bad it's the will of the majority that usually wins wyldwolf Mar 2016 #26
Well, the majority of those who aren't disenfranchised or totally alienated, anyway Cal Carpenter Mar 2016 #33
who are you saying is 'disenfranchised?' wyldwolf Mar 2016 #35
Off the top of my head Cal Carpenter Mar 2016 #39
So, your contention is if these disenfranchised people could vote or vote consistently... wyldwolf Mar 2016 #40
Uh, no Cal Carpenter Mar 2016 #43
Kinda weird how so many have no problem wrting off the will of the millions who synergie Mar 2016 #67
Nah, most progressive revolutions are for the most part gender and racially homogeneous /sarcasm uponit7771 Mar 2016 #20
Are you saying that poor white people don't matter? Odin2005 Mar 2016 #71
Goalposts moved...noted. nt LexVegas Mar 2016 #10
The first half team pinebox Mar 2016 #13
Bernie can conceivably win every remaining state and still lose the nomination hack89 Mar 2016 #17
This isn't funny any more, please stop stepping on others dreams its time for us to unite ok? uponit7771 Mar 2016 #18
Ok, let's unite behind Bernie for President! peacebird Mar 2016 #32
Any day now... alcibiades_mystery Mar 2016 #19
. hrmjustin Mar 2016 #21
From the article cited by the seminal poster. DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2016 #22
Go, Bernie...GO!! AzDar Mar 2016 #24
Yes he is the west belongs to sanders dr60omg Mar 2016 #27
Yeah, if you exclude Nevada, Arizona, Texas, and California. DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2016 #28
They're new members of the Bible Belt. Praise Jesus! Squinch Mar 2016 #55
We will need a bigger country to accommodate all the states that don't matter. DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2016 #61
Big rally in Seattle this Sunday artislife Mar 2016 #29
Oh, is there a rally this Sunday in Seattle? I don't know how I missed that. I have to go to that. liberal_at_heart Mar 2016 #36
Remember when Sanders was about to start winning when we left the South? brooklynite Mar 2016 #31
His biggest hurdle now... ljm2002 Mar 2016 #34
That's why the attacks just keep getting nastier and nastier. All we have to do is hang in there. liberal_at_heart Mar 2016 #37
I wish you all the best of luck! I'm a Clinton supporter, but know how hard we all work for anotherproletariat Mar 2016 #41
Post removed Post removed Mar 2016 #44
I'm seeing a lot of states that go red in general election, which I thought were disqualified... CalvinballPro Mar 2016 #62
Bernie gets way more support from Independents and even some Republicans than Hillary. liberal_at_heart Mar 2016 #64
Have a nice life! peacebird Mar 2016 #65
well arent you cute...............ignore litlbilly Mar 2016 #66
Why are some Sanders supporters completely unable to handle people with an opposing pint of view? Tarc Mar 2016 #69
Thanks lmbradford Mar 2016 #63
I'm sorry, but, did you read past the headline of your source? Tarc Mar 2016 #70

Fawke Em

(11,366 posts)
2. And this is why Hillary's fans in the media and her keyboard warriors keep yelling
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 01:55 PM
Mar 2016

for him to get out.

His momentum is about to return.

wyldwolf

(43,867 posts)
16. In every election cycle, there are parts of the electorate 'fed up' with something or someone
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 02:18 PM
Mar 2016

Hillary won FL in the primaries. She'll win it in the general.

Fawke Em

(11,366 posts)
23. Uh, no, she won't.
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 02:30 PM
Mar 2016

Republicans got nearly 2.3 million votes total to the Democrats' 1.7 million.

Take into consideration that 33 percent of Bernie's voters say they won't vote for Hillary and that 1.7 million number drops.

She won't win Florida.

wyldwolf

(43,867 posts)
25. uh, yes, she will (sorry if it disappoints you.)
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 02:34 PM
Mar 2016

Sorry if Bernie's 'revolution' fizzled.
Sorry if you'd rather see Trump win (and really, you do. You'd like nothing more than to spite Hillary and the Democratic party for denying Bernie the Socialist's triumph.)

Sorry you have a sad.

No, actually, I'm not. I don't really give a rat's ass.

Fawke Em

(11,366 posts)
59. If you didn't give a rat's ass, you wouldn't have responded.
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 04:55 PM
Mar 2016

What's fizzled is Democratic turnout thanks to Debbie Wasserman-Shultz. I'd rather see neither Hillary, the Criminal, nor Trump, the Blowhard. I'd rather see honesty and integrity and since the primary isn't over, I'm not throwing in any towel.

But you really didn't answer how she was going to overcome that Independent deficit given Indies don't really like your Queen.

?1442490338

http://www.mcclatchydc.com/news/politics-government/election/article44496063.html

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2015/9/17/1422117/-Poll-of-Independents-Sanders-45-Trump-26-HRC-9

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/us/us08272015_Ueg38d.pdf

[link:http://www.cnbc.com/2016/02/26/trump-vs-clinton-the-election-no-one-wants-commentary.html|
Trump vs. Clinton: The election no one wants]

Seems you'll be having the sad. I already live in a red state.

 

oberliner

(58,724 posts)
30. Hillary got more votes than Trump in Florida
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 02:44 PM
Mar 2016

Latinos make up almost 25 percent of the state's population.

Also 25 percent of the population is over 65.

These are very good demographics for Hillary.

Response to peacebird (Original post)

Response to peacebird (Reply #8)

Response to Surya Gayatri (Reply #38)

 

Surya Gayatri

(15,445 posts)
48. Your guy (inspite of his age) practices reverse ageism...his "youth brigade" vote should
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 04:25 PM
Mar 2016

weigh more heavily than everybody else's and should sway the supers in his favor. Youth TRUMPS all.

Tasteless, you say? Calling Hillary a demented, cheating RW corporatist, now there's tasteless for ya.

Nauseating, you say? Feel free to vomit at will. A healthy purge is good for the soul.

Response to Surya Gayatri (Reply #48)

 

Surya Gayatri

(15,445 posts)
52. By the by, welcome to DU. "You say you want a revolution"...huh?
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 04:45 PM
Mar 2016

Some reflections on "REVOLUUUTIONNNN" from those RW shills (sarc.), the Beatles.


http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511361551

You say you want a revolution
Well, you know
We all want to change the world

You tell me that it's evolution
Well, you know
We all want to change the world
But when you talk about destruction
Don't you know that you can count me out

Don't you know it's gonna be all right
all right, all right

You say you got a real solution
Well, you know
We'd all love to see the plan

You ask me for a contribution
Well, you know
We're doing what we can
But when you want money
for people with minds that hate
All I can tell is brother you have to wait
Don't you know it's gonna be all right
all right, all right
Ah

ah, ah, ah, ah, ah...

You say you'll change the constitution
Well, you know
We all want to change your head
You tell me it's the institution
Well, you know
You better free your mind instead
But if you go carrying pictures of chairman Mao
You ain't going to make it with anyone anyhow
Don't you know it's gonna be all right
all right, all right
all right, all right, all right
all right, all right, all right

Response to Surya Gayatri (Reply #52)

JustABozoOnThisBus

(23,340 posts)
50. Jury results
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 04:38 PM
Mar 2016

On Fri Mar 18, 2016, 04:18 PM an alert was sent on the following post:

But, surely the brotherhood will be enough to carry him across the finish line, no?
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=1525565

REASON FOR ALERT

This post is disruptive, hurtful, rude, insensitive, over-the-top, or otherwise inappropriate.

ALERTER'S COMMENTS

This is a shameless display of agism, in caricaturing Bernie Sanders' age.

You served on a randomly-selected Jury of DU members which reviewed this post. The review was completed at Fri Mar 18, 2016, 04:36 PM, and the Jury voted 3-4 to LEAVE IT.

Juror #1 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #2 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: Can we stop this snide catcalling?
It won't make a difference since Skinner opened the floodgates to the suspended.
Carry on with the insults.
Juror #3 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #4 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #5 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: Please.
Juror #6 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: It's a good photo. Yes, a bit ageist. I think Bernie would be helping those others cross the line. Neither BXS nor HDRC is exactly a youngster.
Juror #7 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: There are effective ways to engage in a debate about Bernie Sanders that do not require mocking his age. This is not necessary and rude and insensitive.

Thank you very much for participating in our Jury system, and we hope you will be able to participate again in the future.

Tarheel_Dem

(31,234 posts)
51. You survived the jury.
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 04:41 PM
Mar 2016
AUTOMATED MESSAGE: Results of your Jury Service

On Fri Mar 18, 2016, 04:18 PM an alert was sent on the following post:

But, surely the brotherhood will be enough to carry him across the finish line, no?
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=1525565

REASON FOR ALERT

This post is disruptive, hurtful, rude, insensitive, over-the-top, or otherwise inappropriate.

ALERTER'S COMMENTS

This is a shameless display of agism, in caricaturing Bernie Sanders' age.

You served on a randomly-selected Jury of DU members which reviewed this post. The review was completed at Fri Mar 18, 2016, 04:36 PM, and the Jury voted 3-4 to LEAVE IT.

Juror #1 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #2 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: Can we stop this snide catcalling?
It won't make a difference since Skinner opened the floodgates to the suspended.
Carry on with the insults.
Juror #3 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #4 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #5 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: Please.
Juror #6 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: It's a good photo. Yes, a bit ageist. I think Bernie would be helping those others cross the line. Neither BXS nor HDRC is exactly a youngster.
Juror #7 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: There are effective ways to engage in a debate about Bernie Sanders that do not require mocking his age. This is not necessary and rude and insensitive.
 

Surya Gayatri

(15,445 posts)
54. Thanks, Tarheel. I knew that was flying a little close to the wind, but at 70-years-old myself,
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 04:49 PM
Mar 2016

I got a chuckle out of it.

Cal Carpenter

(4,959 posts)
14. Kinda weird how easy it seems for you to write off the will of
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 02:18 PM
Mar 2016

tens of thousands (at least) of people of color who have already voted for him, and the hundreds of thousands or millions who will have voted for him by the end of this whole thing.

Cal Carpenter

(4,959 posts)
33. Well, the majority of those who aren't disenfranchised or totally alienated, anyway
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 02:52 PM
Mar 2016

seeing as how a huge percentage of the population cannot or will not vote.

I reiterate what I said above to JaneyVee. Dismissing the existence of hundreds of thousands of voters of color who support Bernie with blanket statements like that is no better than whatever racist thing some Bernie supporter did or didn't do.

All I know is that I am so grateful that the people I talk to about politics in the real world do not communicate like most people here do. It's so dangerously divisive. And just sad, frankly.

Cal Carpenter

(4,959 posts)
39. Off the top of my head
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 03:20 PM
Mar 2016

Felons in some states

People in states with Voter ID laws which are deliberate attempts to disenfranchise people (and primarily effect the poor, elderly people, young people, and disproportionately people of color)

People with shitty jobs/multiple jobs who, despite the law, cannot afford to miss work in order to vote or they may risk their livelihoods

People with transportation issues who aren't tapped into a network of those who are willing to help get them to the polls

People in many US territories - US citizens, some of who can participate in primaries but not the general, oddly enough, tens of thousands of whom are veterans of the US military

In general, in all of these categories, poor people and minorities are overrepresented, and they are people who are more likely to vote for Dems in general elections. I'm surprised you don't seem to be aware of these categories of people. Voter ID laws have been very controversial in recent years, for example, undoing the progress made by the Voting Rights Act decades ago for which people fought and died.


wyldwolf

(43,867 posts)
40. So, your contention is if these disenfranchised people could vote or vote consistently...
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 03:23 PM
Mar 2016

... they'd vote for Bernie?

Cal Carpenter

(4,959 posts)
43. Uh, no
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 03:33 PM
Mar 2016

That's not my contention at all. If it was, I would have said so.

Just read my words, they speak for themselves. Primary season is a fucking nightmare on this website. I'm not taking any of this bait.





 

synergie

(1,901 posts)
67. Kinda weird how so many have no problem wrting off the will of the millions who
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 07:19 PM
Mar 2016

have already voted for her, but must be dismissed because of the Confederacy or whatever. How do these plans to harass and convince PLEDGED delegates to ignore the will of the voters to deliver votes to Bernie when he ddn't earn them?

It's kinda weird how you're ignoring the numerous posts that abused and dismissed the entire South, any red state and the black vote, all over this site, twitter and other parts of the internet, and even by Bernie himself.

Do you wonder why you don't criticize the dismissal of the millions who voted for her?

 

pinebox

(5,761 posts)
13. The first half team
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 02:15 PM
Mar 2016

Tends to get a tad cocky and lazy when the second half team comes out after half time

hack89

(39,171 posts)
17. Bernie can conceivably win every remaining state and still lose the nomination
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 02:19 PM
Mar 2016

margin of victory and the resulting net gain (or loss) in delegates is all that matters now. Unless he starts winning big states with blow out margins, he is not going to overtake Hillary.

peacebird

(14,195 posts)
32. Ok, let's unite behind Bernie for President!
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 02:47 PM
Mar 2016

But if that is NOT what you meant, get back to me about uniting *after* California votes. Then we can talk.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
22. From the article cited by the seminal poster.
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 02:25 PM
Mar 2016

Closing a lead that big would be extremely difficult. All the Democratic votes are proportional, meaning even the loser gets a proportion of the delegates awarded. Thus to catch up to Clinton, Sanders needs blowout wins, not just victories. He needs to take home between 58 and 60 percent of the delegates awarded between now and the end of primary season.

Could that happen? Yes. Yale “could” also continue to blow through March Madness to an NCAA basketball crown. Then it could win the NBA for good measure. It’s not against the laws of physics. Just those of probability.



https://www.yahoo.com/news/bernie-sanders-start-winning-matter-160106394.html

 

artislife

(9,497 posts)
29. Big rally in Seattle this Sunday
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 02:44 PM
Mar 2016

and the caucus next Saturday.

My goal is to turn people against the establishment candidate..

liberal_at_heart

(12,081 posts)
36. Oh, is there a rally this Sunday in Seattle? I don't know how I missed that. I have to go to that.
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 03:08 PM
Mar 2016

And look forward to casting my vote next Saturday for Bernie!

ljm2002

(10,751 posts)
34. His biggest hurdle now...
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 02:53 PM
Mar 2016

...is the ability to convince Democratic voters that he can actually win.

After the 3/15 votes, the other side has a lot of ammunition to say see, he really can't win and you should all get behind the one candidate who can win, or risk a Trump presidency.

Yes, those of us who follow polls know that Bernie does better against Trump, according to almost all of the head-to-head match-up polling we have seen. But most voters don't follow things that closely, and the results on 3/15 were all Hillary wins. I don't like it, but there it is. I just talked to some friends who live in California, even before 3/15, and they basically were already saying "But he can't win" -- they did not understand the difference between pledged and unpledged delegates, and they were buying the spin based on total delegate counts. Now they will probably buy that spin even more.

It always was an uphill battle, but now it is even more so. Bernie really needs some big wins in the upcoming states; without that, he won't see the kinds of wins he needs in the biggest states.

Well however it goes from here, I'm with Bernie, all the way to the convention.

Go, Bernie!!!!!

 

anotherproletariat

(1,446 posts)
41. I wish you all the best of luck! I'm a Clinton supporter, but know how hard we all work for
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 03:27 PM
Mar 2016

our candidates. If Bernie were to win the primary I would absolutely support him, as the only means to preventing a repub from getting the presidency. I hope that you and all the other Bernie supporters would do the same if the situation is reversed.

Response to peacebird (Original post)

 

CalvinballPro

(1,019 posts)
62. I'm seeing a lot of states that go red in general election, which I thought were disqualified...
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 05:25 PM
Mar 2016

But I guess red states Bernie wins count and red states Clinton wins don't, right?

I call this phenomenon The Bernie Sanders Double Standard.

Tarc

(10,476 posts)
69. Why are some Sanders supporters completely unable to handle people with an opposing pint of view?
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 08:16 PM
Mar 2016

Y'know, out in the real world, say your co-workers or your neighbors or whoever it is you may have a disagreement with one day, you don't get to slip the blinders on and pretend they don't exist.

Judging by the many, many threads about it in the Bernie group, you lot are pretty quick to make use of Ignore.

Engage, stop running away from things you don't like.

Tarc

(10,476 posts)
70. I'm sorry, but, did you read past the headline of your source?
Fri Mar 18, 2016, 08:20 PM
Mar 2016
Bernie Sanders is poised to win a slew of states in the coming weeks. But Hillary Clinton probably won't be sweating it.


Remember the math that you're dealing with; Sander would have to win every primary and caucus left on the calendar at a 60%-40% clip. Every state that he does not just increases the % needed in the rest.

It's really not going to happen, not with California, NY, Pennsylvania, Maryland, etc...coming up.

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