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It's not looking too good for the GOP in state polls.
Let's hope this trend continues.
Diane
Anishinaabe in MI & mom to Sophie, Leo, Taz & Nigel, proud members of Dogs Against Romney, Cat Division
"We Ride Inside--Hiss!"
pick Rubio and FL is lost. 
still takes VA. McDonnell keeps putting his foot into it and along with the VA Republican House/Senate overreach, I think he's finished. VA will turn blue again in the next election.
VA is a relatively conservative state-- maybe less so now than in the 1980's since their demographics have changed a bit. I'm pleased to see Obama doing so well there.
I'm keeping my fingers crossed that Santorum or Gingrich receives the nod for their party's nomination; wouldn't that be a fun race to watch? 
Virginia is a little strange in that "cities" are a separate political district from the counties in which they are located. For at least 300 years, Virginia has also regularly practiced the idea of trying to fit a center of higher education into each of those commerce centers.
That makes it much easier to see on an election results map that Virginia is sharply divided among education and population density lines. Here's a map I pulled from Dave Leip's Election Atlas years ago, edited to show how Virginia's Democrats usually have an advantage in every city, and every education center. (Leip's maps use blue as incumbent and red as challenger, which is why Dem districts are red in that map.)
The key to a Democratic Virginia is a drop-off in rural Virginian interest. I'd say the folks on the other side of the aisle in Richmond have just done an excellent job of killing off interest in this election for female Republicans. It is unlikely they will forget before November.
The problem is further complicated by the fact that at least two of the candidates still in the mix failed to get on the primary ballot at all, and Gingrich and Santorum quite likely have not bothered to build a robust political network in Virginia. Should one of them get the nomination, they won't have an on-the-ground campaign here.
We can also expect oil speculators to drive the price of fuel through the roof this summer, as they always do in election years when Democrats threaten to do well. While that works on a national scale, it works directly against them in Virginia, where the majority of Republicans are now much poorer than they were ten years ago, just as remote, and quite possibly unable or unwilling to dump five bucks' worth of diesel through the F-250 just to vote for a clown they dislike at least as much as they hate President Obama.
Democrats, on the other hand, live much closer to their polling places, if voter suppression efforts fail to keep them out.
And none of this considers the under-reported Great Republican Die-Off, where the life expectancy of white males in southern states has in some cases dropped below 50 years (probably exacerbated by distance from hospital facilities, which are all in Democratic areas because rednecks don't want to pay for hospitals), meaning that an alarming percentage of Republicans who voted for Bush are already dead. This is exacerbated by the fact that Virginia is a "right to work" state, so a great many of us have shitty health care benefits if we have it at all.
The GOP has done an excellent job of killing off its base here, quite literally.
The moral of the story? Don't eff with women and their ability to make their own choices. 
a bit "outlier-ish" as of late. I wouldn't be surprised if he's fudging the demos to overstate Obama's approval in an attempt to engender complacency among Democrats. 
