That would be good.
But there isn't a whole lot in the "about" section to inspire confidence in the predictor. Here's what it says:
Italian Psychologist and Political Scientist. Social Media Expert, Trends and Sentiment Analyzer, Memetica Expert, Frames Guru, Storyteller, Marketing and Communication, Musician, Rapper, Writer, Ghostwriter, and many more.
What just happened (Sanders blowouts in WA, Alaska and HI) brought her lead down by about 70 delegates. I can't remember exactly what it was. I'm thinking 300, but I think Idaho and Utah brought it under 300. So now it's hovering around 200+(?).
I think CA is going to be more difficult, partly because it is a semi-closed primary. Independents can't vote in it, unless they change their registration before the deadline of
May 23. (Note: "Decline to state" voters
can vote in it.) That's one problem. Another is I think the CA state party is very corporate-entrenched, and the Hollywood $$$ glitteratti is reflexive pro-Clinton. (I mean look what George Clooney just did! Yuck!) So it's up to the GRASS ROOTS!
It's not at all impossible that Sanders could win CA, but I think it will be closer than 14%. Sanders may net delegates over Clinton but not 70. More in the 20 to 40 range. PA and NY intervene before CA, if I recall correctly. A lot depends on what happens there, as this race narrows. He really needs a net gain in one of them, at least. If Wisconsin comes through this week, he will be in a better position going forward, both as to delegates and momentum. If her delegate lead gets down to 100 or under, this race becomes a toss-up.
And I think if she goes into the convention with a pledged delegate lead of only 200 or under, she is in big trouble and there will be a very big fight at the convention. The Sanders campaign will argue momentum and electability--because he IS, really and truly, more electable than she is. (Repeated national polls since Feb. show him trouncing Trump and all Republicans. She doesn't nearly match those numbers, and she loses to a couple of R's.) Independents, the largest political bloc in the country, loathe her.
But to back up a minute: If she can't beat down Sanders in NY and PA--say he ties or comes close in those states--she is even more unelectable. It means she has only a marginal base (as to a national election), strictly within the Dem party. He has much wider appeal.
This could influence CA voters.
Super-delegates could be swayed by these arguments. She's been running a lousy campaign, given her initial huge advantages. She should have knocked him out long ago, in theory--when you add in his huge DISadvantages, which have been incredible--and he's still in the game! If he stays within 200 delegates, she is arguably a loser, despite her lead.
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