LA Times California Poll: Hillary Stays +11 among likely voters matching Field poll from December

[riversedge]

Suki in Calif. ‏@freeandclear1 5h5 hours ago

LA Times California Poll: Hillary Stays +11 among likely voters matching Field poll from December #ImWithHer http://ln.is/www.dailykos.com/sto/cr7H2 …




LA Times California Poll: Hillary Stays +11 among likely voters matching Field poll from

A new poll from LA TImes shows a stable race in the Golden State. In December Field found the same +11 Clinton advantage

When Bernie Sanders' followers were asked about November prospects:

While both Democratic camps prepare for a final battle in the state’s June 7 primary, the latest USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times statewide poll that just over half of Sanders’ supporters said they expected Clinton to be the next president. About a third of Sanders’ backers said they expected the Vermont senator to emerge the winner, and 12% said they thought Donald Trump would prevail...........

[Wilms]

1. Not sure how the DK poster came up with that. Her lead is down to 8%.

This is from the article "El Mito" cited.



http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-pol-ca-latimes-democratic-primary-poll-20160328-story.html

So that link of yours is a load of misinfo. El Mito should apply for a job at People's View. Blue Nation Review, and Daily News Bin.

[Dem2]

2. Pollster shows 47-36 LVs

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/usc-la-times-24155

[Wilms]

3. This is AMAZING!

Dem2, go to the Huff link and look for "Source", then click on "USC/LA Times" which takes you to this link:

http://www.gqrr.com/articles/2016/3/25/new-university-of-southern-california-dornsife-college-of-letters-arts-and-scienceslos-angeles-times-poll

Then scroll down to "KEY FINDINGS" and click on "USC Dornsife/LA Time s Topline Results"

which takes you to this pdf:

https://gqrr.app.box.com/s/v75gw0x5crbafafmsrkvvfs8oqdheyyk

Scroll down to the bottom of page four. It's the same as the numbers in the graph I posted above...which is from the LA Times.

Am I missing something?? WTH is going on?

[Dem2]

4. I think it's Registered Voters vs Likely Voters

I noticed the table said Registered Voters, the Huffpo poll shows Likely Voters.

[Wilms]

5. Sorry for the bad directions. Please have another look.

At the bottom of Page 4 of the pdf it reads:

Q.32 (REGISTERED DEMOCRATS OR LIKELY DTS/NPP DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS) Now, thinking about the Democratic primary election for president in June, if the election for president was held today, would you vote for Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, or another candidate?

That's where the numbers are.

[Dem2]

6. OK, that took a while

If you look at the crosstabs here: https://gqrr.app.box.com/s/k000yvcmq0flmf56jw26vkm4mm52az3g

You'll see on page 6 results for RV and LV, that's where the discrepancy creeps in.

[Wilms]

7. I think I am where you pointed.

I see the November Likely is a 10 point spread, not 11, with the "Total" showing the 8 point spread. Odd. And then there's the graph I posted which is from the article itself.

[riversedge]

9. 11% is for Likely voters. Best indicator IMHO

In the primary race, Clinton holds a modest lead over Sanders, 45% to 37%, among all Democrats and independent voters eligible to vote. Her lead is slightly larger, 47% to 36%, among those most likely to vote. Either way, that’s a significant problem for Sanders............................


http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-pol-ca-latimes-democratic-primary-poll-20160328-story.html

[JaneyVee]

8. K AND R!