2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumCNN exit polls suggest Romney should pull out Michigan...
http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/primaries/epolls/miHe leads Santorum 38-37 among men and 42-37 among women.
Based on these numbers, Romney would win by about 41-38.
cash__whatiwant
(396 posts)Old and In the Way
(37,540 posts)Last edited Tue Feb 28, 2012, 10:59 PM - Edit history (1)
Even if Romney wins Michigan...and it should have been a no-brainer 2 weeks ago - the "inevitability" crown no longer fits. He's looking at a lot of states where he won't do well, primarlly the Southern States. So this isn't going to be settled anytime soon. And I do hope that Mitt is the eventually winner. Here's why. (1) he's going to have a very unenthusiastic Party behind him. Hard to get excited about a northeastern Mormon governor with his liberal Romneycare agenda. And longer term, (2) assuming he loses the GE, the Republican brand is far from settled. There will be a big push to go further right in 2016 because "Mitt wasn't conservative enough." The moral certitudists will be demanding a candidate to Rick Santorum's right - and there lies the path to toal oblivion.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)Romney is damaged goods and will likely get even more damaged as this clown show goes on.
Glimmer of Hope
(5,823 posts)rufus dog
(8,419 posts)and be covered in Santorum?
LiberalFighter
(50,912 posts)Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)Renew Deal
(81,856 posts)Alexander
(15,318 posts)Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)Kwarg
(89 posts)aaaaaa5a
(4,667 posts)It looks like he may win by by a couple of points (3-5%).
Romney is running up good totals in Detroit and the suburbs.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)The suburbs around Detroit and Lansing are only half counted and Romney trends high in those areas.