The surge continues in RAND tracking poll. Obama now leads Romney by 6.3 points.

[Drunken Irishman]

https://mmicdata.rand.org/alp/?page=election#election-forecast

Obama's at 50.93, which is the highest percentage he's been at in the poll.

[writes3000]

1. Great News! Correcting my headline.

I saw this poll update on DailyKos and I've spent the last 20 minutes trying to figure out where they saw the 10/26 update. I'm stumped.

Great news though!

[Drunken Irishman]

2. The chart is actually updated.

[writes3000]

3. Thank you!

[littlemissmartypants]

10. Hold your cursor over the symbol on the

line in the graph and it gives you the date. LMSP

[Maximumnegro]

4. I wonder if Rand is catching the RV

vs LV. So those who actually will vote versus those the other pollster think will vote.

[writes3000]

5. Well, the Obama voters' intention to vote seems to be climbing while...

The Romney voters' intention to vote seems to be holding steady.

I wonder if/where they factor in the "who do you think will win" percentages into their analysis. I can't figure that out.

[A-Schwarzenegger]

6. Here...

"It is also important to note that the predictions combine the percent chance of voting for a candidate with the percent chance that a respondent will actually vote. For example, if someone says in response to the first question that he or she has a 50-percent chance of actually voting, then this person's response to the question of who they will vote for gets a “weight” of 50 percent in the calculation of our prediction (which is then further weighted by the percent chance that he or she says that they are likely to vote for their chosen candidate)."

(Second paragraph of "Election Forecast" page.)

[imgbitepolitic]

7. Rand is leading indicator

Vis a vis state polls correct?

[SleeplessinSoCal]

8. Thanks for posting.

[TroyD]

9. Looks like Obama went up, but that Romney's decline has leveled off

The RAND Continuous 2012 Presidential Election Poll

October 26 (Obama + 6.35)

Obama - 50.93

Romney - 44.58

https://mmicdata.rand.org/alp/?page=election

[MJJP21]

11. Taliban

Anyone voting for the party that believes rape is the will of god is voting for the Taliban.

[DCBob]

12. Anything over 50 is good enough for me.

I think Romney is toast.