2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumPreliminary Exit Polling- Youth Vote Down/Minority Vote Up
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Kendall BreitmanVerified account
@KendallBreitman
EARLY EXIT POLL - DEMS UNDER THE AGE OF 30 BY STATE
PA: 10%
CT: 14%
MD: 12%
https://twitter.com/KendallBreitman/status/725072449839218688
CrowCityDem
(2,348 posts)brooklynite
(94,703 posts)grossproffit
(5,591 posts)stonecutter357
(12,697 posts)salinsky
(1,065 posts).... just getting a head start.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)bigtree
(86,005 posts)uponit7771
(90,359 posts)NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)democrattotheend
(11,605 posts)Given that blacks came out in historic proportions to vote for Obama, and black turnout has been significantly lower as a share of the electorate when he is not on the ballot, I find it hard to believe that black turnout today is higher proportionally than in 2008.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)It could be that the African American participation stayed constant while white participation went down or they both went down but white participation went down more.
We saw that phenomenon in NY.
democrattotheend
(11,605 posts)That is the only plausible explanation if black turnout is indeed up as a share of the vote. It could be that the white vote dropped as a percentage because more whites switched parties and crossed over, since unlike in 2008 the GOP primary is still competitive.
NWCorona
(8,541 posts)Maru Kitteh
(28,342 posts)I understand more youth would mean more Sanders. It's good to have everyone involved.
We are approaching semester finals and such. That may have played into it a bit as well.
Lucinda
(31,170 posts)at the time I read the comment earlier, so the adjusted numbers might be better later...these are early exits, and we know how that can go.
Maru Kitteh
(28,342 posts)For the record, I expect to see Hillary's numbers with voters under 30 improve with these states. Just a feeling.
Lucinda
(31,170 posts)Marrah_G
(28,581 posts)unusually busy.
Lucinda
(31,170 posts)that sure does look nice!