PPP Florida Poll: Obama 49, Romney 48

[MadBadger]

More to come...

https://twitter.com/ppppolls

[Drunken Irishman]

1. Wow.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

2. If PPP Is Even Remotely Accurate Robme Needs A Royal Straight Flush To Win/nt

[flamingdem]

19. Robme's momentum just got flushed!

[MSMITH33156]

25. He does have momentum

it's just not going in the direction he thinks it is.

[mzmolly]

26. "In 2011, PPP was praised for its accuracy in polling primaries and special elections, which are ...

... notoriously hard to predict."

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Public_Policy_Polling

[CloneClinton]

3. fyi

In 2008 ppp was 1 of 2 pollsters that had Obama winning North Caolina by less than a point. Everyone else had McCain winning nc..

[helpisontheway]

4. Wooohoooo! What were the stats for the last PPP poll? Nt

[Drunken Irishman]

5. Their last poll had Romney up 1.

[helpisontheway]

8. Cool! Thanks! Nt

[tarheelsunc]

6. I imagine it will take RCP quite a while to add this one to their FL average.

[Azathoth]

7. Definately detecting a trend here...

[DCBob]

9. Not looking good for Willard and the Rats.

All the trends are now going Obamas way.

[David Zephyr]

10. Florida! This will scare the shit out of Romney's team.

yes!

[Drunken Irishman]

11. Explains why Romney is on a plane heading to Florida this week!

Also explains why Obama and Clinton are gonna be there tomorrow!

[helpisontheway]

12. I think they cancelled that trip because of the storm! Nt

[writes3000]

13. This is going to drive the haters crazy! Swing state momentum!

[mucifer]

14. It will be better when President Obama gets ahead more than the

margin of error. But, up is good.

[smorkingapple]

15. I don't like some of the crosstabs but it's a robopoll so not too surprising

Floridians trust Romney over Obama on economy (50/46) and foreign policy (49/48) so something else driving Obama edge

- Really? What the fuck?

Romney's up in FL with men (53/43), whites (57/39), seniors (53/46), Hispanics (54/46), and independents (50/43)

- men and whites, duh. But seniors by such a large margin? Hispanics? No fucking way

Obama's strength in Florida is with women (54/45), African Americans (89/10), and young votes (55/39)

- We knew this already...

I guess this is the robopoll curse. Unless they only polled older Hispanics, no way Romney is taking that much of the Hispanic share. Surprised on the senior numbers too.

[LisaL]

17. A lot of hispanics in FL are from Cuba.

So Obama might not be doing as well with FL hispanics.

[iqbal1980]

30. Cubans

Many hispanics in FL are Cubans and somehow they compare Obama to Castro. They say we know communism when we see it. Whatever, I keep telling them how come Dow is doing fine under his communist presidency.

[Jennicut]

18. Obama most likely has a majority of non cuban Hispanics.

Remember, FL has a huge Cuban population and they trend conservative. Think Marco Rubio.

[ncav53]

16. Nice, a Florida win would be so epic

[julian09]

20. That should be easy to steal. nt

[cheezmaka]

21. Bye Bye Romney momentum!

[thatsrightimirish]

22. As Governor Chiles once said in a debate against Bush

“The old he-coon (male racoon) walks just before the light of day”

Nothing is over until it is over.

[Zax2me]

23. Cherry picking.

RCP has five polls with little r in the lead, only 2 with Big O
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/fl/florida_romney_vs_obama-1883.html
Not saying O won't win it, but you can't play this game of taking the high and tossing out all the lows.
That's called denial.

[damnedifIknow]

24. They also have NC tied now at 48.

Their earlier poll was 49-47 Romney. Wisconsin 51-45 Obama and Virginia 51-46 Obama. Washington post poll in Virginia 51-47 Obama.

[iqbal1980]

28. I think it more than that

I live in Orlando, I went for early voting this Saturday. I have no evidence but I think based on the looks and the discussions I overheard. My guess was that 60% are pro Obama. By the way there was a lady behind me singing church songs and saying things like: "What have we become". "Jesus died for us so we can be free not socialists". She then called her son and said "There lots of them here", "The others are here", "I can't talk about it now". LOL.

[Doctor_J]

29. I thought Nate had Rmoney at 80% to win FL