Accuracy List of Pollsters (based on 2008) - And current poll numbers

[Laura PourMeADrink]

Last edited Mon Oct 29, 2012, 06:39 AM - Edit history (1)

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Pollsters (Most Accurate to Least Accurate - 2008 Election) with Off Numbers
CNN/Opinion Research-0.5 [font color=blue] Obama +4 (10/25) [font color=black]
GWU/Battleground-0.5 [font color=blue]Obama +1 (10/25) [font color=black]
Ipsos/McClatchy- 0.5 [font color=blue]Obama +2 (10/27) [font color=black]
Fox News-0.5 [font color=red]Romney +1 (10/9) [font color=black]
Pew-0.5 [font color=red]Romney +4 (10/7) [font color=black]
Rasmussen Reports-0.5[font color=red] Romney +3 (10/27) [font color=black]
Diageo/Hotline-1.5 (None)
Gallup Traditional-1.5 [font color=red]Romney +4 (10/27) [font color=black]
IBD/TIPP-1.5 [font color=blue]Obama +1 (10/27) [font color=black]
NBC News / Wall St. Journal-1.5 [font color=purple]TIE (10/20) [font color=black]
ABC News / Wash Post-2.5 [font color=red] Romney +1 (10/26) [font color=black]
CBS News / NYT-2.5 [font color=blue]Obama +2 (10/20) [font color=black]
Marist -2.5 (None)
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby-4.5 [font color=blue]Obama +2 (10/27) [font color=black]

Note: Ipsos and Reuters now together

Note: Rankings of 2008 pollster accuracy from
http://electoralmap.net/2012/2008_election.php
http://www.cnn.com/POLITICS/pollingcenter/index.html
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html
http://images.politico.com/global/2012/10/politico_gwbgp_oct29_questionnaire.html

[cilla4progress]

1. hmmm...

not too hopeful, actually ...

[Laura PourMeADrink]

3. we need to see Gallup and Rasmussen drop. There was an article on Politico

that talks about these two polls and how it must be keeping the Obama team up at night.

Bright side...the Ipsos and CNN polls

[TexasBushwhacker]

2. But the Redskins have a home game against Carolina on the 4th

The aren't having a great year, but Carolina is 1-6. If the Redskins win the home game before election day, it favors the incumbent. It's been accurate every election except 1, going back to 1932.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

4. Go Redskins !