We Will WIN! Nate Silver's Now Cast Update: 300 EVs for Obama, 80.1% chance of winning

[ashtonelijah]

Guys, we've got this. We will win. Now let's really push it into a 300+ landslide! 340? Let's do this! We can have decisive PV and EV wins and a true mandate. Virginia, North Carolina, Iowa, Nevada, Ohio, Florida. Hell, maybe the sampling will turn out to have been so off that we will snatch Arizona. Seriously, we're winning. Now we need to work harder than ever to make it a landslide and pull the house and senate along with us!

[demosincebirth]

1. Well said. nt

[imgbitepolitic]

2. Gobama

!!!

[world wide wally]

19. Barack & Roll

[Beaverhausen]

3. If power is out for millions of people on election day

What will happen?

[Aviation Pro]

5. Nothing...

...the emergency measures probably have generators in place at the polls. Nothing stops this train.

[lexw]

16. But you know those bastards are going to try everything to use this to their advantage...

I'm sure Rove is working on it right now.

[Maximumnegro]

26. Um. Yeah. No.

The evil genius thing is getting old. If he was so brilliantly clever the Romney campaign would not have the the train wreck it's been. It's one thing if Barack was a challenger, but it's gonna be kinda hard to pull anything on the President of the United States. What with the entire government at his command. If Obama got Bin Laden (and pretty much the ENTIRE Al-qaida leadership), I think he can handle turdblossom on his front porch.

[ItsTheMediaStupid]

31. There certainly won't be any county election offices isolated due to a "Terrist Alert"

Like 2004.

I think the possibility of the US Dept of Justice showing up NOV 7 and investigating reported election frauc is something even the most arrogant pug doesn't want to risk.

[Silent3]

8. If any net effect at all, I'd guess it's a plus for Obama...

...since power generally gets restored to larger urban areas (which tend toward Democrats) first and fastest, while more rural areas (which tend toward Republicans) are more often the places that suffer from prolonged outages.

[Aviation Pro]

4. Roll on....

...like a steamroller, no, like the treads of a tank.

Crush the Fucking Stiff to ground. Crush him so that he's so psychologically damaged that he drools through his concession speech. While were at it crush his donors, the 1%ers who thought they could buy America, to the core. Crush the Republicant House by dictating to them or let their constituents suffer the consequences.

Crush them, crush them, crush them.

[Grown2Hate]

9. Exactly! NO fucking mercy for the wicked. I will be out Election Day here in AZ driving people

to the polls. I have a friend with a torn ACL (just had surgery). My roomate and I are going to his apartment, carrying him down 3 flights of stairs, and wheeling him to the polls.

We will WIN this mother fucker, and hopefully pick up a Senate seat (Carmona).

Oh, and for good measure... FUCK ARPAIO.

[ffr]

11. No mercy. I'll fly there and help you out.

And No More Republicans! Vote them all OUT!

Lights out on the GOP.

[SunSeeker]

13. Thank you for your service to your country!

[snort]

18. Have you seen the ad for Carmona?

Using McCain and Kyl against Flake? Brilliant!

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

6. Can't wait to continue work in VA. Looking forward to it. Me and my D.C./MD friends are fired up...

READY TO GO!!

Voted in Maryland on Saturday after nearly 2 hours! Proud to be a Marylander! Proud to be an American!!

OBAMA-BIDEN 2012!!!!!

[ffr]

10. THAT'S THE EXCITEMENT I'M TALKING ABOUT!

[flamingdem]

7. WAIT! What about CNN!

Just kidding, that's amazing when did it hit 80

[SunSeeker]

12. CNN seems to have "too close to call" tourettes.

Seriously, if you go to the CNN homepage right now, http://www.cnn.com/ it has a link to a story entitled "Ticker: Neck and neck...in Minnesota?"--but when you click on the story, you realize Obama is three points ahead (and has been ahead for some time). http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/?hpt=hp_t2

Hell, even that disasterous Meatloaf appearance with Romney is described on CNN online as having "unconventional appeal." Ya can't make this stuff up.
http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/10/27/romney-guest-mash-up-everybody-loves-meatloaf/?

[Doctor Jack]

14. Remember the november 7th projection and now cast will begin to merge soon

The now cast is becoming our preview of upcoming projections

[Left Coast2020]

15. I want to see Wolf Blitzer cry on air after announcing Obama victory.

I know he's a big repug. And while I'm thinking of it, we really do need to bust our tails for the House and Senate. I was told by a dem staffer (while phone banking) last month that we may not get control of HOR. He thought batshit Bachman is likely to get her seat back--as is that freak Alan west. We need to prove these pundits wrong.

[Surya Gayatri]

17. Hallelujah!!! Millions of Souls to the Polls!!!!!

Last edited Mon Oct 29, 2012, 07:58 AM - Edit history (1)

A popular uprising to defy the prognosticators and prove wrong the pundits.

[dolphinsrule]

20. we need ages 18-30 to VOTE EARLY AND OFTEN FOR OUR MAN OBAMA

We need this key age group to get out and VOTE espec. in OHIO, VIRGINIA, COLORADO AND NEVADA. This is crucial. This is a key demographic for our President to get re-elected. Anyone who knows people in this age group, PLEEEEEEEEEZE spread the word!!!

[SleeplessinSoCal]

21. Is there a link to this number some place?

[dolphinsrule]

23. no link

because it was never announced

[dolphinsrule]

22. I think he's still in the low 70's

Silver updated today @ 2:50 pm edt and Obama was still in the low 70's, so I think your numbers are slightly high. Only hope it happens.

[Divine Discontent]

29. the OP is referring to the "now cast" option next to the Nov 6 Forecast

So, apparently, Silver feels the president is doing very well at this moment, and if it were election day today, he'd have an 80% chance of winning, is what I think that means. Great to hear, regardless!

[Lucinda]

24. It's 296.6 EV and 74.6%

Which rocks.
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

[SleeplessinSoCal]

25. Mid seventies. That's not glass half full. It's a great number

[Lucinda]

27. Yup!

I think so too!

[budkin]

28. Finally approaching pre-debate levels!

Work hard and we got this!

[workinclasszero]

30. GO OBAMA! GOTV!!! /nt