Nate twittered: Dems now 90% likely to retain control of Senate

[flamingdem]

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/#senate

Nate Silver ‏@fivethirtyeight

Dems now 90% likely to retain control of Senate, per 538 forecast. And that's before any post-Mourdock polls in IN. http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/#senate

[NCLefty]

1. Exxxxxxcellent *rubs hands together*

[flamingdem]

2. It would be nice to get the House

but I'll take the Senate & Potus! It would also be a good thing to win the popular vote so the rethugs know they have to deal..

[LiberalFighter]

4. The odds are greater that a Democrat will also have the popular vote vs a Republican

Look at the states Republicans usually have in their pockets and what they would generally pick up to win.

[TroyD]

3. 90.9% Chance, to be precise : )

Here's how Nate Silver projects the chances for the Democratic candidates in the following states:

ARIZONA - 27% Chance for Carmona

CALIFORNIA - 100% Chance for Feinstein

CONNECTICUT - 86% Chance for Murphy

DELAWARE - 100% Chance for Carper

FLORIDA - 99% Chance for Nelson

HAWAII - 99% Chance for Hirono

INDIANA - 36% Chance for Donnelly (Nate says this could change with post-Mourdock controversy polls)

MAINE - 91% Chance for King (I)

MARYLAND - 99% Chance for Cardin

MASSACHUSETTS - 95% Chance for Warren

MICHIGAN - 99% Chance for Stabenow

MINNESOTA - 100% Chance for Klobuchar

MISSISSIPPI - 0% Chance for Gore

MISSOURI - 88% Chance for McCaskill

MONTANA - 36% Chance for Tester

NEBRASKA - 13% Chance for Kerrey

NEVADA - 28% Chance for Berkley

NEW JERSEY - 99% Chance for Menendez

NEW MEXICO - 94% Chance for Heinrich

NEW YORK - 100% Chance for Gillibrand

NORTH DAKOTA - 13% Chance for Heitkamp

OHIO - 97% Chance for Brown

PENNSYLVANIA - 94% Chance for Casey

RHODE ISLAND - 99% Chance for Whitehouse

TENNESSEE - 0% Chance for Clayton (Democrats have disowned the candidate)

TEXAS - 3% Chance for Sadler

UTAH - 0% Chance for Howell

VERMONT - 100% Chance for Sanders (I)

VIRGINIA - 92% Chance for Kaine

WASHINGTON - 100% Chance for Cantwell

WEST VIRGINIA - 91% Chance for Manchin

WISCONSIN - 83% Chance for Baldwin

WYOMING - 0% Chance for Chesnut


http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

[flamingdem]

5. great list

plus for smilies!