2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumYeah b-tches! New Politico/GWU O: 49; R: 48 (adjusted for raw numbers or whatever)...
http://www.politico.com/polls/politico-george-washington-university-battleground-poll.htmlleftynyc
(26,060 posts)You're pushing this pretty hard.
Tutonic
(2,522 posts)nt
imgbitepolitic
(179 posts)piechartking
(617 posts)Sorry for being excited, but when I think of the conservatives who were waiting on that R +5, only to get this...yeah, I am pushing it hard. Also, people were saying it was a forgery, or that the raw numbers had to be adjusted...so when they officially released it I wanted to post again.
leftynyc
(26,060 posts)My nerves are absolutely frayed. This is the update I was looking for.
piechartking
(617 posts)A +3 swing in one week is a great note to end on for Obama, and I doubt that the MSM will be able to ignore the story much longer, if they aren't talking Hurricane all the time.
Plus, it has even more value because of Brit Hume's prediction. All in all, very satisfying news story surrounding this particular poll.
leftynyc
(26,060 posts)got his information. He's pretty tuned in with many souces. He went pretty far out there with his prediction.
blazeKing
(329 posts)Day has just been ruined
Jennicut
(25,415 posts)He is the Repub that does part of the poll, Celinda Lake is the Dem. Saying he leads on "pocketbook" issues. But Obama has widened the gap with women again. The men that disapprove of Obama on the economy will vote for Mittens anyway. This is really, really good news but not surprising as the Purple Poll showed Obama had a slight lead in the battleground states as well. And it is hard to say how accurate this is for each state since Politco/GWU polled like Purple Strategies did and took a few people from each state to make their sample. 1,000 people through all the battlegrounds. When each state is broken down and looked at with the average of all polling, Obama is ahead in WI, OH, IA and NV and tied in CO and VA.
A-Schwarzenegger
(15,596 posts)Jennicut
(25,415 posts)Thanks.
A-Schwarzenegger
(15,596 posts)imgbitepolitic
(179 posts)geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)TroyD
(4,551 posts)MARION, Ohio With eight days to go until the election, President Barack Obama has recaptured a narrow national lead over Mitt Romney, riding increased support from women and an edge in early voting.
A new POLITICO/George Washington University Battleground Tracking Poll of 1,000 likely voters taken from last Monday through Thursday shows Obama ahead of Romney by 1 percent, 49 to 48 percent. That represents a 3-point swing in Obamas direction from a week ago but reflects a race that remains statistically tied.
Obama leads by 8 points among those who have already voted, 53 to 45 percent. These early voters represent 15 percent of the electorate, with many more expected to vote in the next few days though Hurricane Sandy could change that.
SNIP
Obama leads among women by 11 points, 54 to 43 percent. The gap had narrowed to six points a week ago, but much of that survey was conducted before the GOP nominees comment at the second debate that he had reviewed binders full of women as part of a gender diversity effort as Massachusetts governor. Obama and his allies have also been hitting full swing at Romney as an enemy of womens rights on abortion and contraception in their advertising and speeches.
The president is now closer in standing to where hes been the last few months, and the swing is due to female support. On every issue and question of character, women now favor Obama over Romney.
Men, meanwhile, support Romney over Obama by 12 points, 55 to 43 percent.
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1012/82986.html