Rasmussen: Romney drops to (+2) (Romney 49, Obama 47)

[TroyD]

Romney drops in Rasmussen for the 2nd day in a row. He was (+4) two days ago.

Independents tightened over the weekend from what I'm reading.

http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/polls/508e878aebcabf048a00003b

[fugop]

1. ROMENTUM, BABY!

And that's good news for John McCain!

[JiminyJominy]

2. As Some

Of us predicted in recent days..you are going to see polls like Rasmussen drift over to showing O leading by the end of next weekend. Looks like the drift has begun.

As election day nears they are no longer going to peddle their agenda, but instead try to set themselves up to try and be right so that post election they can be on the list of "most accurate pollls".

[DemocratSinceBirth]

4. Rass Has Been Using The Same (D) And (R) Weighting For The Past Month

A weighting that favors (R)s. Of course, any momentum for Obama has to come from Indys as it is logical to assume Democratic and Republican preference is fixed.

[WI_DEM]

3. Hopefully Ras is trying to move his poll toward reality.

[Tutonic]

14. Yep. Here we go! Seat belts on folks

Our pilot Scott Ras is about to make a sharp turn toward O Street.

[TroyD]

5. Now I'm reading on Twitter that Ras will show Romney +2 in OHIO

People are saying on Twitter that Ras is showing Romney +2 in OHIO today, up from a TIE last week.

Doesn't make sense considering that Romney has dropped 2 days in a row in the National numbers.

Is this a last-ditch attempt to give Romney a good poll in OHIO?

[RomneyLies]

8. State polls are never taken into consideration when it is determined which pollster is most accurate

They only look at the final national poll prior to the election, so Scotty (R)asmussen is trying to drive an Ohio narrative now. Expect more fo the same in other state polls, too. Watch for Mitt to take the lead in WI and VA according to Scotty (R)asmussen.

[Jennicut]

9. Probably. There is no way Ohio is plus 2 for Romney.

Hey, it will bump up Romney's chances in the average polling and make the Repubs feel less bad. All the recent polls are going against them, especially the state polling.

[fugop]

10. Of course it is.

It doesn't matter. With Sandy pushing in, no one but the media will care about the polls anymore. Ras may have hoped to shift gears this week, pull in line on national numbers while trying to swing opinions by pumping up Romentum in places like Ohio, but Sandy has made the last week of the election irrelevant in terms of news.

The prez will be in the spotlight, showing what a great leader he is in a crisis. Mitt's whining about ... whatever. It's all a muddle now.

[Alekei_Firebird]

12. OH +2 for Romney? LOL

Most polls give Obama at least a 2 pt lead in OH, and Rasmussen's gonna come out with a +2 for Romney? Goddamn conservatives.

[imgbitepolitic]

6. Yes, i called this on intrade a couple days back

It means nothing.

[RomneyLies]

7. I called it two days ago

(R)asmussen is moving towards being more in line with reality because Scotty (R)asmussen desperately wants to be the "most accurate pollster" again.

This has ALWAYS been his MO. He posts bogus numbers trying to drive a narrative for months, then right before the election he goaes for accuracy so the final poll is his most accurate. When the decisioin is made about which pollster is most accurate, they only look at the last NATIONAL poll before the election.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

11. But He Remained Full Crazy In 010 And Was The Third Most (In)accurate Pollster

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/11/03/how-did-the-polls-do_n_778216.html

[TroyD]

13. The OHIO poll is only available to Premium Subscribers until it is released later today

And since I don't subscribe to Rasmussen, I can't get anymore information about it other than what people are saying online.

I did note though that not only did Romney's national numbers drop today, but Obama's approval in Rasmussen went back up. It was 47 yesterday and it's 49 today:

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/obama_approval_index_history