We predicted it last night! You guys knew Ras would cook the books. OH Poll: R+2

[aaaaaa5a]

Scotty Rasmussen has to make sure he gets paid. That means giving his constituents what they want to see.


Here is the latest poll of Ohio from the Hous of Ras....


Romney 50%

Obama 48%




http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/ohio/election_2012_ohio_president

It's interesting that Romney somehow took the lead in OH, at the exact same time he lost 2 points in Scotty boy's national tracker. Yea.. that makes a lot of sense.



Have at it!


Edit to add:

Here is the bulk of the survey. (I don't want to contribute to any hits on his site.)

Nearly one-in-three Ohio voters (32%) have already cast their ballots. Obama leads 62% to 36% among these voters. Romney has a large lead among those who still plan to vote. The question of who wins Ohio may come down to whether enough Romney voters get to the polls on Election Day to overcome the president’s lead among early voters.

Scott Rasmussen has noted that “Wisconsin May Be The New Ohio.”To win the election, Romney will have to win at least one of these two battleground states.

Among all Ohio voters, Romney now has a 12-point lead over the president in voter trust – 53% to 41% - when it comes to the economy. Last week, he had just a seven-point advantage among voters in the state when they were asked which candidate they trusted more to deal with the economy.

Romney’s also trusted more by eight points in the areas of job creation and energy policy but leads Obama by just two when it comes to housing issues.

National security has been an area where the president has typically had an advantage over Romney this year. But, the Republican challenger now has a 52% to 42% advantage on the issue.

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(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on October 28, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Obama carried Ohio by a 51% to 47% margin in 2008, but just 46% of the state’s voters now approve of the job he is doing. Fifty-one percent (51%) disapprove. This includes Strong Approval from 29% and Strong Disapproval from 44%, giving the president a slightly worse job approval rating in Ohio than he earns nationally.

Forty-seven percent (47%) have a favorable opinion of the president and 52% have an unfavorable view. Those figures include 32% with a Very Favorable opinion and 42% who have a Very Unfavorable view of him.

Romney is viewed favorably by 53% and unfavorably by 45%, including 40% with a Very Favorable opinion of the former Massachusetts governor and 32% with a Very Unfavorable one.

Romney leads by 14 points among male voters in Ohio but trails by eight among female voters. Voters not affiliated with either of the major parties prefer the president 50% to 46%.

Fifteen percent (15%) of all voters in the state now rate the U.S. economy as good or excellent, while 49% view it as poor. But 41% consider their own finances good or excellent, compared to 17% who regard their finances as poor.

[Welcome_hubby]

1. Rasmussen reacts to other pollsters

And adjusts numbers accordingly. An alarming proportion of his poll comes quickly after a different poll shows an advantage for Obama.

[Ace Rothstein]

2. 750 Surveys

750 surveys done in 1 day. Is that some sort of record?

[aaaaaa5a]

4. With all of the polls coming out over the last few days.

Scotty boy had to work quickly. After all, he didn't want the Romney momentum storyline to change!



BTW... no cell phones.

[smorkingapple]

15. Easy with robopolls..

This is why they robopoll, you can blast out polls and get responses for cheap

[berni_mccoy]

3. In same Poll: 32% of Ohio Voters have Voted; Obama leads in the early voters 63-36.

I don't see how Romney can overcome that given the current numbers.

[Jennicut]

5. Someone on twitter posted the voter ID. He has the party ID as even.

David Winston ‏@dhwinston
OH Rasmussen Oct 28 Romney +2 - Party Even; Exit Polls 2008 +8D, 2004 +5R, 2000 +1D, 1996 +5D http://www.rasmussenreports.com/platinum/election_2012_state_polls/ohio/crosstabs_election_2012_ohio_president_october_28_2012 …

No other poll out there shows Repubs with the party ID even in OH. There are more Dems then Repubs in OH right now and the early voting is overwhelmingly Dem. Just for perspective the party ID in ARG's Obama plus 2 Ohio poll is Dem+7. PPP is Dem+8, CNN is Dem+3, Time is Dem+9. Some of these are not weighted by party ID but simply what people say when they are asked. Some polls are weighted demographically.

Gotta love Rasmussen, giving hope to Repubs everywhere.

[aaaaaa5a]

9. Party ID even?

As I said in the OP, we knew he was going to cook the books last night.



BTW... doesn't Ras claim to always adjust the sample to assure party ID balance. Hmmm.... I wonder why that was not done here?

[RomneyLies]

14. That's his likely voter screen in operation

It always favors Republicans, except in the national polls leading up to election day. For some magical reason, those get closer to reality.

[BeyondGeography]

6. What a joke

[cash__whatiwant]

7. Lol. Let them be delusional. But now

We will have to hear about election fraud when they lose Ohio

[SingleSeatBiggerMeat]

8. This Is As About As Predictable....

...as pro wrestling.

The number (can't be too big or too small!) and the timing (need to do it before the Hurricane hits the shore!) is just laughable.

These people make Bernie Madoff look honest.

[aaaaaa5a]

10. That is maybe the funniest thing.

I was sitting around watching football and looking at the numbers yesterday. And me and my family were thinking... you know, by tomorrow afternoon Ras is going to have to have numbers to counteract this.


And then....



Ras produces a SAME DAY POLL just so he can release it on Monday? YOU CAN'T MAKE THIS UP! If this were legit, why not do it over 2 or 3 days like a normal poll?


BTW... I love how fast RCP gets the Ras poll into its data base. It can literally take days for a PPP poll to get included, if it is included at all.

[Democratopia]

11. Rasmussen should know that anonymous watching this election

Your relationship with Republicans and Fox News is incestuous.

Anonymous stated that Karl Rove was ensuring this was a close election and here we see it.

In other developed nations, Rasmussen, you would be barred from joining organizations that are there to ensure transparency and integrity by pollsters.

You are a disgrace to America and a disgrace to democracy. How do you sleep at night?

[jvjr711]

12. I wipe my ass with Rasmussen! nt

[TexasCPA]

13. This is all I need to know from this poll

Nearly one-in-three Ohio voters (32%) have already cast their ballots. Obama leads 62% to 36% among these voters.

The rest of this poll is garbage.

[smorkingapple]

16. Low sample size... Obama trails by 15 "voters"

So Romney has 375
And Obama has 360


This is nothing and depending on what markets he reached it's bunk.

[blazeKing]

17. LOL HAHHAHAHA

Scotty should join the unskewed polls guy. They can team up in their delusions.