2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumScott Brown 45, Elizabeth Warren 43 in new Boston Globe poll.
http://www.bostonglobe.com/metro/2012/10/29/new-globe-poll-shows-dead-heat-senate-race/ugFImC2h7jozpTxEBmIQsN/story.htmlWait, what?
BlueDemKev
(3,003 posts)aaaaaa5a
(4,667 posts)Scott Brown needs to be up by more than 2 if he is going to win on election day.
Not THAT MANY people split tickets.
Outlier.
Liberal_Stalwart71
(20,450 posts)Proud Liberal Dem
(24,412 posts)Every poll for awhile now has had Warren in the lead. Did something happen????
CreekDog
(46,192 posts)last time i checked, it was not.
DarthDem
(5,255 posts)Warren's going to win. Bad poll and total outlier.
ProudProgressiveNow
(6,129 posts)Mass
(27,315 posts)Mr.Turnip
(645 posts)WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)and they will break for Obama and Warren.
RightBWrong
(26 posts).... that there is a reason Massachusetts is not voting for their "native son". Romney was very unpopular after his term as governor.
marlakay
(11,470 posts)In mass. I hope this isn't true!
RightBWrong
(26 posts)hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)Brown Overtakes Warren in Massachusetts
A new Boston Globe poll in Massachusetts shows Sen. Scott Brown (R) with a razor thin lead over Elizabeth Warren (D) in their U.S. Senate race among likely voters, 45% to 43%.
In September, Warren held a five point lead.
However, Brown's lead evaporates, with 47% for each candidate, when voters who are undecided are asked which candidate they are leaning toward.
http://politicalwire.com/
John2
(2,730 posts)had endorsed Mitt Romney so they do have a dog in this fight. My correction, they endorsed Scott Brown.
ProSense
(116,464 posts)http://www.bostonglobe.com/opinion/editorials/2012/10/27/election-endorsement-elizabeth-warren-for-senate/RpqzpCLnVh0epLaNYBpicJ/story.html
Barack Obama deserves another term
http://www.bostonglobe.com/opinion/editorials/2012/10/28/election-endorsement-barack-obama-deserves-another-term/KuJG4aANDHHpEqKVYsLIaM/story.html
Jennicut
(25,415 posts)brings bad non consistent polls. Just look at the average and overall trends. Warren leads by a little over 3 points at Pollster.
TroyD
(4,551 posts)Warren has been ahead in almost every poll this month. Even Rasmussen's most recent poll has her (+5).
Both Larry Sabato and Stu Rothenberg have the race as Leans Dem in their rankings, and Nate Silver gives her a 95% chance of winning!
RosedaleGuy
(89 posts)Obama has a good lead in Massachusetts. So, why doesn't Warren get the same lead? If you want Obama then you certainly want the Senate on his side. Who are these Massachusetts Obama voters voting for Scott Brown?
duster00
(1 post)The chickens may be coming home to roost. Late-breakers for the incumbent, since we've had all year to watch if the economy's getting better and the alleged bipartisanism of Brown may be looking more attractive to voters.
If Obama is beating Romney by +14, and Brown is drawing 12% of Obama voters, doesn't that mean that this race really is a tie?