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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumCNN Florida poll: Romney up 1 point (LV, no change), Obama up 7 points (RV, no change)
CNN Florida: 48/48 Tie - O +7 in Registered Voters
by joelgp
The lengths that CNN goes to be Fox-light is becoming so laughable. They are blasting: Romney leads Obama 50/49!! But reading closer shows this:
Why are these nuts doing HYPOTHETICAL IF YOU ADD's?
That's the freakin ballot!!!
All of those people are on the actual ballot.
And, how can they still claim lower turnout rates among Dems by 7% when we now have real numbers?
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/10/29/1152140/-CNN-Florida-48-48-Tie-O-7-in-Registered-Voters
by joelgp
The lengths that CNN goes to be Fox-light is becoming so laughable. They are blasting: Romney leads Obama 50/49!! But reading closer shows this:
"It's tough to tell, but it is intriguing to note that when three minor party candidates are included in a separate horse race question, a 50%-49% margin for Romney becomes a 48%-48% tie, with Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green party candidate Jill Stein claiming one percent apiece and Constitution Party candidate Virgil Goode coming in with less than one-half of one percent."
http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/10/29/cnn-poll-romney-50-obama-49-in-florida/
Why are these nuts doing HYPOTHETICAL IF YOU ADD's?
That's the freakin ballot!!!
All of those people are on the actual ballot.
And, how can they still claim lower turnout rates among Dems by 7% when we now have real numbers?
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/10/29/1152140/-CNN-Florida-48-48-Tie-O-7-in-Registered-Voters
Also, the President gained a point when third parties are included, leading to the tie.
http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2012/images/10/29/topfl3.pdf
GOTV
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CNN Florida poll: Romney up 1 point (LV, no change), Obama up 7 points (RV, no change) (Original Post)
ProSense
Oct 2012
OP
Have a feeling a lot of these "likely" voter models will end up with egg on their face
Lord_Maculus
Oct 2012
#1
Lord_Maculus
(53 posts)1. Have a feeling a lot of these "likely" voter models will end up with egg on their face
It's not wise to nonchalantly dismiss the Obama campaign's turnout machine. They may not turn out ALL of their registered voters, but I have a feeling that they'll get a good portion of them to the polls and we'll see results that are closer to the registered voter model as opposed to "likely" voters, especially in the swing states.
Dubster
(427 posts)2. Spam deleted by gkhouston (MIR Team)
Thrill
(19,178 posts)3. They never report their RV numbers
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