2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNC: Record Breaking African American Voter Turnout
From a Daily Kos Diary:
Record Breaking African American Voter Turnout:
Now, where were we? Oh yeah:
30% of African Americans in North Carolina age 18+ have already voted.
That's 440,941 voters - 30% of North Carolina's entire 1,480,769 person African American voting age population counted by the Census Bureau in 2010.
That's not 30% of African American registered voters. That's 30% of all African American adults. Because, for one more week in North Carolina, you can register to vote and actually cast your ballot at the same time, all in one stop. So even if a would-be voter is not registered to vote right now, they can still register and vote.
But that 30% number will go much higher.
Because there's still another week of early voting left to go.
At this time in 2008, half of the African Americans who voted early had already voted. And so if we keep up at the pace we're going, another 440,000 African Americans in North Carolina will have voted by the end of the early voting period, bringing turnout up to about 60% of the North Carolina's total African American adult population.
Plus, then there's Election Day on top of that.
How high will turnout go on election day? I don't know, exactly. But I do know it'll be some really high, historic number. It'll certainly be much higher than 56.9%, which is the national U.S. Voting Age Population turnout rate from the 2008 election. At this rate, it'll be that high by election day, and some amount higher afterwards.
So regardless of exactly how African American turnout in NC goes, this is not the sort of voter turnout we normally see in America. This is more typical of the voter turnout we might see in some other country, like Australia, where there is always very near to 100% turnout (because not voting is illegal in Australia).
This is something special - something that doesn't happen very often.
Keep in mind that turnout in 2008 already shattered all previous records, by a long way. In October and November of 2008, African American voters in North Carolina flocked to the polls to help elect the first African American President in American history. They were fired up, ready to go, excited, hopeful, and just a few months ago had been the center of national attention as they delivered Barack Obama his 56-42 Democratic Primary win over Hillary Clinton.
By all reasonable expectations, it ought to be essentially impossible to increase turnout above the level of 2008 turnout.
And yet...
So far, African American turnout is up from 357,160 to 440,941 votes, a 23.5% increase over this same time in 2008.
If that is not an amazing statistic, then I'm afraid you are just not the sort of person who can possibly be amazed by statistics.
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/10/29/1151889/-North-Carolina-Early-Voting-Day-11-30-of-NC-Af-Ams-Age-18-Have-Voted-New-Elon-Poll-Has-NC-Tied
sinkingfeeling
(51,457 posts)dixiegrrrrl
(60,010 posts)Thank you...
VirginiaTarheel
(823 posts)woolldog
(8,791 posts)Nothing is going to energize Republicans more than hearing this kind of stuff. Please keep it under wraps. Let them be complacent and think they've won.
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)central scrutinizer
(11,648 posts)I have a couple of relatives in NC, who are, I hate to admit, Tea Party fundies. I hope their votes and money and energy and prayers are all for naught.
VirginiaTarheel
(823 posts)31% Turnout so far in Durham
62,000 votes in one of NC's bluest counties. Early voting hours are extended to 7 PM starting today, so the numbers should begin to ramp up from here to Saturday.
vilify
(102 posts)I'm starting to feel good about Nov 6.
Alekei_Firebird
(320 posts)ieoeja
(9,748 posts)Slaves still count only 3/5th when determining electoral votes and how many Representatives a state gets in the House.
Two, it was the North, not the South that wanted slaves to count only 3/5th. Actually, the North argued that slaves should count ZERO since the Representatives were clearly not representing them, but rather representing their masters.
The South wanted their slaves to count fully so their masters would have even more power. As it was the South dominated US politics prior to the 1860 election even with that 60% rule. A 100% rule would have allowed the South to continue their dominance for decades longer.
kwolf68
(7,365 posts)In the end counting slaves as 3/5 actually 'helped' the slaves.
Alekei_Firebird
(320 posts)ieoeja
(9,748 posts)... believing there wasn't a chance in heck of the United States ever election a Black man President. Obviously, that argument is now moot.
I also heard from Black people who did not vote because they did not want see Obama assassinated. If he survived the first term, he has a good chance of surviving the second.
ProudProgressiveNow
(6,129 posts)Thrill
(19,178 posts)around the building.
Pisces
(5,599 posts)made people angry and determined to vote. The undermining of the first African American President has also ignited a fire
under people. When you dismiss people like Romney does with his 47%, it can come back and bite you in the ass.
Here's to Obama taking NC and all the swing states!!!!
Hulk
(6,699 posts)This election really has me up-tight! The media are talking like it's "neck-and-neck", the fox-propaganda network and reich-wing radio are claiming "willard has the lead and the momentum"...and even the websites that are strictly poll related show it too damn close for my liking.
How this country can be so damned stupid, ignorant, blind...to even consider this slick used-car-salesman as a possible President just boggles my mind.
I'm hoping my gut feeling, that is laying dormant for the past few weeks, is right, and President Obama will hand this sleazy two-faced liar even a bigger defeat than old man mcAncient and Lipstick-on-a-Pig got. I just hope my gut is right...for the sake of our country!!
momsrule
(100 posts)Would love for NC to turn blue, my favorite color. After presidential elections I avoid travel to red states as much as possible. Unfortunately, my home state has little chance of staying blue like in'08. Sure would love to vacation in NC and shake hands with a lot of folks!
WillyT
(72,631 posts)TIBBLES
(1 post)Great news NC !!!! A win here will surely make it a landslide!!!!!
A Brand New World
(1,119 posts)Hope you'll stick around for the victory party!!
beac
(9,992 posts)And hurrah for Carolina Blue!!!
MyNameIsKhan
(2,205 posts)I just lost my prepared spreadsheet, Pres Obama has about 1.05 Mil votes as of 1.5M cast until today. He has 20pts margin in the early voters. Remember last time president got 2.12M votes and with demographics in is his favor, I guess NC will be decided even before Nov 6th. I am trying to rebuild my spreadsheet and will post it.
Dalai_1
(1,301 posts)blm
(113,061 posts)Last edited Tue Oct 30, 2012, 08:03 AM - Edit history (1)
for their GOTV - $20 is 1/2 a tank of gas. This county is working its @ss off for these results and doing it on a shoestring.
If you can PLEASE HELP!!!
http://www.mecklenburgdemocrat.org/
-LOKI -BAD FOR YA
(308 posts)nc has become my personal favorite,not to take away from any else ,i love all ,knowing people are taking time out of their lives for us,having to endure hateful people,cold,and Fatigue .[[link:http://www.mecklenburgdemocrat.org please donate.
blm
(113,061 posts)since most people never know who any of the judges are and whether or not they are a Dem or a GOP. We cannot afford more GOPs on the bench chipping away at justice for all.
-LOKI -BAD FOR YA
(308 posts)these topic is not well known,i donate to many dems,but my favor are nc dems i like their spirit, not that ohio,fl,va or others are less valiant. i am glad to buy a piece of history,it will be treasured. now join in donate http://www.mecklenburgdemocrat.org/
Dalai_1
(1,301 posts)I do not think there is any doubt NC will go for our President...
oswaldactedalone
(3,491 posts)from your GOTV colleague in Guilford County. Keep up the great work!
blm
(113,061 posts)Every drop of gas counts at this point.
marew
(1,588 posts)Cha
(297,240 posts)MittMess!
TroyD
(4,551 posts)More than 250K African American voters in GA have early voted - highest participation rate ever recorded. Watch for the unexpected!
https://twitter.com/NicholsUprising/status/263248357126963200