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WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)
Mon Oct 29, 2012, 03:39 PM Oct 2012

NC: Record Breaking African American Voter Turnout

From a Daily Kos Diary:

Record Breaking African American Voter Turnout:
Now, where were we? Oh yeah:

30% of African Americans in North Carolina age 18+ have already voted.

That's 440,941 voters - 30% of North Carolina's entire 1,480,769 person African American voting age population counted by the Census Bureau in 2010.


That's not 30% of African American registered voters. That's 30% of all African American adults. Because, for one more week in North Carolina, you can register to vote and actually cast your ballot at the same time, all in one stop. So even if a would-be voter is not registered to vote right now, they can still register and vote.

But that 30% number will go much higher.

Because there's still another week of early voting left to go.

At this time in 2008, half of the African Americans who voted early had already voted. And so if we keep up at the pace we're going, another 440,000 African Americans in North Carolina will have voted by the end of the early voting period, bringing turnout up to about 60% of the North Carolina's total African American adult population.
Plus, then there's Election Day on top of that.

How high will turnout go on election day? I don't know, exactly. But I do know it'll be some really high, historic number. It'll certainly be much higher than 56.9%, which is the national U.S. Voting Age Population turnout rate from the 2008 election. At this rate, it'll be that high by election day, and some amount higher afterwards.

So regardless of exactly how African American turnout in NC goes, this is not the sort of voter turnout we normally see in America. This is more typical of the voter turnout we might see in some other country, like Australia, where there is always very near to 100% turnout (because not voting is illegal in Australia).

This is something special - something that doesn't happen very often.

Keep in mind that turnout in 2008 already shattered all previous records, by a long way. In October and November of 2008, African American voters in North Carolina flocked to the polls to help elect the first African American President in American history. They were fired up, ready to go, excited, hopeful, and just a few months ago had been the center of national attention as they delivered Barack Obama his 56-42 Democratic Primary win over Hillary Clinton.

By all reasonable expectations, it ought to be essentially impossible to increase turnout above the level of 2008 turnout.

And yet...

So far, African American turnout is up from 357,160 to 440,941 votes, a 23.5% increase over this same time in 2008.
If that is not an amazing statistic, then I'm afraid you are just not the sort of person who can possibly be amazed by statistics.

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/10/29/1151889/-North-Carolina-Early-Voting-Day-11-30-of-NC-Af-Ams-Age-18-Have-Voted-New-Elon-Poll-Has-NC-Tied

36 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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NC: Record Breaking African American Voter Turnout (Original Post) WI_DEM Oct 2012 OP
Go NC!! sinkingfeeling Oct 2012 #1
Very good news! dixiegrrrrl Oct 2012 #2
sorry for dup thread. must have posted at same time! VirginiaTarheel Oct 2012 #3
Shhhhhh woolldog Oct 2012 #4
It's public knowledge and posted on state websites every day. WI_DEM Oct 2012 #5
GO NC - if NC goes blue, it will be a relative landslide. central scrutinizer Oct 2012 #6
Durham County VirginiaTarheel Oct 2012 #7
great news! vilify Oct 2012 #8
Meanwhile, conservatives long for the days of the 3/5 rule... Alekei_Firebird Oct 2012 #9
One, the 3/5th rule was never repealed. ieoeja Oct 2012 #11
Good history lesson kwolf68 Oct 2012 #18
Thanks for the info, but I think you know what I mean :) Alekei_Firebird Oct 2012 #19
I am not surprised it is higher than 2008. I'm sure a lot did not vote in 2008 ... ieoeja Oct 2012 #10
Fantastic.. K&R nt ProudProgressiveNow Oct 2012 #12
I've been saying it. I live here and the Early voting lines have been wrapped Thrill Oct 2012 #13
Trying to take away people's right to vote, deceiving signs and mailers, have all backfired. It has Pisces Oct 2012 #14
That's what I like to see johnlucas Oct 2012 #15
I have NEVER been so nervous for politics before in my 65 years... Hulk Oct 2012 #16
Also nervous in Hoosier land... momsrule Oct 2012 #21
HUGE K & R !!! WillyT Oct 2012 #17
Turn North Carolina blue !!! TIBBLES Oct 2012 #20
Welcome to DU! A Brand New World Oct 2012 #22
Welcome to DU! beac Oct 2012 #27
We are going to win NC MyNameIsKhan Oct 2012 #23
Thank you Khan for those numbers! Dalai_1 Oct 2012 #26
WI - please add to your post that NC's GOTV is crucial - we need donations directed to Meck County blm Oct 2012 #24
just donated,they are running on shoestring,but they are the forgotten heroes -LOKI -BAD FOR YA Oct 2012 #31
So appreciated - those passing out voter guides at polling places are crucial for Dem JUDGES blm Oct 2012 #34
i have always wondered why we never pass out voter guides.its helps to preserve our vote . -LOKI -BAD FOR YA Oct 2012 #35
The Presidents Ground game in NC has been incredible Dalai_1 Oct 2012 #25
$20 in for Mecklenburg County Dems oswaldactedalone Oct 2012 #28
Thank you!!! blm Oct 2012 #32
Excellent!!! n/t marew Oct 2012 #29
Bless their HEARTS! They're helping to Save Our Country from Cha Oct 2012 #30
John Nichols (The Nation) reports the same thing for GEORGIA TroyD Oct 2012 #33
yes georgia going purple or blue heartburn for gop n\t -LOKI -BAD FOR YA Oct 2012 #36
 

woolldog

(8,791 posts)
4. Shhhhhh
Mon Oct 29, 2012, 03:49 PM
Oct 2012

Nothing is going to energize Republicans more than hearing this kind of stuff. Please keep it under wraps. Let them be complacent and think they've won.

central scrutinizer

(11,648 posts)
6. GO NC - if NC goes blue, it will be a relative landslide.
Mon Oct 29, 2012, 03:53 PM
Oct 2012

I have a couple of relatives in NC, who are, I hate to admit, Tea Party fundies. I hope their votes and money and energy and prayers are all for naught.

VirginiaTarheel

(823 posts)
7. Durham County
Mon Oct 29, 2012, 04:00 PM
Oct 2012

31% Turnout so far in Durham

62,000 votes in one of NC's bluest counties. Early voting hours are extended to 7 PM starting today, so the numbers should begin to ramp up from here to Saturday.

 

ieoeja

(9,748 posts)
11. One, the 3/5th rule was never repealed.
Mon Oct 29, 2012, 04:57 PM
Oct 2012

Slaves still count only 3/5th when determining electoral votes and how many Representatives a state gets in the House.

Two, it was the North, not the South that wanted slaves to count only 3/5th. Actually, the North argued that slaves should count ZERO since the Representatives were clearly not representing them, but rather representing their masters.

The South wanted their slaves to count fully so their masters would have even more power. As it was the South dominated US politics prior to the 1860 election even with that 60% rule. A 100% rule would have allowed the South to continue their dominance for decades longer.


 

ieoeja

(9,748 posts)
10. I am not surprised it is higher than 2008. I'm sure a lot did not vote in 2008 ...
Mon Oct 29, 2012, 04:51 PM
Oct 2012

... believing there wasn't a chance in heck of the United States ever election a Black man President. Obviously, that argument is now moot.

I also heard from Black people who did not vote because they did not want see Obama assassinated. If he survived the first term, he has a good chance of surviving the second.


Thrill

(19,178 posts)
13. I've been saying it. I live here and the Early voting lines have been wrapped
Mon Oct 29, 2012, 05:00 PM
Oct 2012

around the building.

Pisces

(5,599 posts)
14. Trying to take away people's right to vote, deceiving signs and mailers, have all backfired. It has
Mon Oct 29, 2012, 05:18 PM
Oct 2012

made people angry and determined to vote. The undermining of the first African American President has also ignited a fire
under people. When you dismiss people like Romney does with his 47%, it can come back and bite you in the ass.

Here's to Obama taking NC and all the swing states!!!!

 

johnlucas

(1,250 posts)
15. That's what I like to see
Mon Oct 29, 2012, 05:24 PM
Oct 2012

Black turnout is up.
Underlines what I see in Obama's coming landslide victory.
Obama's demographics are raising & Romney's are shrinking.
Obama will destroy Romney in 8 more days.
John Lucas

 

Hulk

(6,699 posts)
16. I have NEVER been so nervous for politics before in my 65 years...
Mon Oct 29, 2012, 05:41 PM
Oct 2012

This election really has me up-tight! The media are talking like it's "neck-and-neck", the fox-propaganda network and reich-wing radio are claiming "willard has the lead and the momentum"...and even the websites that are strictly poll related show it too damn close for my liking.

How this country can be so damned stupid, ignorant, blind...to even consider this slick used-car-salesman as a possible President just boggles my mind.

I'm hoping my gut feeling, that is laying dormant for the past few weeks, is right, and President Obama will hand this sleazy two-faced liar even a bigger defeat than old man mcAncient and Lipstick-on-a-Pig got. I just hope my gut is right...for the sake of our country!!

momsrule

(100 posts)
21. Also nervous in Hoosier land...
Mon Oct 29, 2012, 06:06 PM
Oct 2012

Would love for NC to turn blue, my favorite color. After presidential elections I avoid travel to red states as much as possible. Unfortunately, my home state has little chance of staying blue like in'08. Sure would love to vacation in NC and shake hands with a lot of folks!

MyNameIsKhan

(2,205 posts)
23. We are going to win NC
Mon Oct 29, 2012, 06:24 PM
Oct 2012

I just lost my prepared spreadsheet, Pres Obama has about 1.05 Mil votes as of 1.5M cast until today. He has 20pts margin in the early voters. Remember last time president got 2.12M votes and with demographics in is his favor, I guess NC will be decided even before Nov 6th. I am trying to rebuild my spreadsheet and will post it.

blm

(113,061 posts)
24. WI - please add to your post that NC's GOTV is crucial - we need donations directed to Meck County
Mon Oct 29, 2012, 06:35 PM
Oct 2012

Last edited Tue Oct 30, 2012, 08:03 AM - Edit history (1)

for their GOTV - $20 is 1/2 a tank of gas. This county is working its @ss off for these results and doing it on a shoestring.

If you can PLEASE HELP!!!
http://www.mecklenburgdemocrat.org/

-LOKI -BAD FOR YA

(308 posts)
31. just donated,they are running on shoestring,but they are the forgotten heroes
Tue Oct 30, 2012, 04:07 AM
Oct 2012

nc has become my personal favorite,not to take away from any else ,i love all ,knowing people are taking time out of their lives for us,having to endure hateful people,cold,and Fatigue .[[link:http://www.mecklenburgdemocrat.org please donate.

blm

(113,061 posts)
34. So appreciated - those passing out voter guides at polling places are crucial for Dem JUDGES
Tue Oct 30, 2012, 08:08 AM
Oct 2012

since most people never know who any of the judges are and whether or not they are a Dem or a GOP. We cannot afford more GOPs on the bench chipping away at justice for all.

-LOKI -BAD FOR YA

(308 posts)
35. i have always wondered why we never pass out voter guides.its helps to preserve our vote .
Tue Oct 30, 2012, 11:08 AM
Oct 2012

these topic is not well known,i donate to many dems,but my favor are nc dems i like their spirit, not that ohio,fl,va or others are less valiant. i am glad to buy a piece of history,it will be treasured. now join in donate http://www.mecklenburgdemocrat.org/

Dalai_1

(1,301 posts)
25. The Presidents Ground game in NC has been incredible
Mon Oct 29, 2012, 06:35 PM
Oct 2012

I do not think there is any doubt NC will go for our President...

TroyD

(4,551 posts)
33. John Nichols (The Nation) reports the same thing for GEORGIA
Tue Oct 30, 2012, 08:06 AM
Oct 2012
John Nichols ‏@NicholsUprising

More than 250K African American voters in GA have early voted - highest participation rate ever recorded. Watch for the unexpected!


https://twitter.com/NicholsUprising/status/263248357126963200
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