2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNew poll: Obama up 6 in Nevada
<snip>
Obama is up 49 percent to 43 percent in the survey. Among the 23 percent who answered they had voted early, Obama has an 8 percentage point edge. (The Democratic statewide edge in early/mail ballots is about 8 percentage points.)
<snip>
Jon Ralston Reports
Nevada GOTV is getting the job done.
Dalai_1
(1,301 posts)Thank you for posting this!
courseofhistory
(801 posts)Democrats4All
(54 posts)I do believe these numbers as they reflect how early voting is going. the more emphasis that a state takes on in an election, the more likely people are to vote and they are voting in great numbers in Nevada (especially Dems) who hold a very large lead in registered voters.
ffr
(22,670 posts)In Clark and Washoe counties combined.
DU thread link here
ffr
(22,670 posts)The polls show Obama with a lead of 6 points, but early voting results, at least from the numbers I'm running into, show he has a lead of ~8 points.
Poll is just a poll, but EVs are actual Dems flipping a switch.
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)They asked my sex, age grouping, if I voted early, and if I did who I voted for (I assume if I had said I didn't vote early it would have asked who I expected to vote for). It was an automated survey.
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)Maximumnegro
(1,134 posts)Berkley has not been able to seal the deal even w/ Dems so she'll have to hope that women carry her through I'm guessing.
BlueDemKev
(3,003 posts)...after we win the quadpack of PA, MI, OH, and WI.
jcgoldie
(11,631 posts)So I can relax and get drunk before the polls ever close in Nevada...
BlueDemKev
(3,003 posts)But I don't believe we can definitely count on them.
TroyD
(4,551 posts)Berkley will need Obama's coattails if she is going to get over the top.
It could be a very close miss for this Senate seat. That would suck.
Here's hoping for the best.
MyNameIsKhan
(2,205 posts)and we can see that happening right in front of us. Clark County AKA las vegas voters are unionized and I do not see Romney making any cracks into that block. NV is going to green this year and 2016.
-LOKI -BAD FOR YA
(308 posts)Big Hit Buda
(22 posts)Obama is up 80 here in Illinois