NPR Poll Finds Presidential Race Too Close To Call

[Tony_FLADEM]

The latest and last NPR Battleground Poll for 2012 shows former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney holding the narrowest of leads in the national sample, but trailing President Obama in the dozen states that will decide the election.

The poll adds evidence that the Oct. 3 debate between the two men redefined the race. But the movement toward Romney that emerged after that night in Denver also seems to have stalled after the race drew even — leaving the outcome difficult to call.

The former governor had a 1 percentage point lead overall in the head-to-head preference poll. The president led by 4 percentage points in the smaller sample of 466 voters in 12 states: Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico, Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Virginia, North Carolina and Florida. Both the Romney lead and the Obama lead were within the poll's margin of error.

http://www.npr.org/blogs/itsallpolitics/2012/10/29/163914429/npr-poll-finds-presidential-race-too-close-to-call

[rzemanfl]

1. NPR is today's CNN. n/t

[cash__whatiwant]

3. lol

[Kurovski]

24. Chronic CNN, brought on by the Romnesia Virus.

lots of Pukes.

[mucifer]

2. Maybe someone should teach them about this thing called "The Electoral College".

Grrrrrrrr arggghhhh!

[Blue Idaho]

4. National rePublican Radio you say...

Now there's a real shocker.

[qkvhj]

8. Right

So you won't mind if the funding is withdrawn for NPR???
Give me a break.
This race is that tight. Look around you and smell the coffee. Our nation is very much split right down the middle. Like it or not this is true. I know who I want to win and I do believe it will turn out to be a progressive victory but I have no doubt it is going to be a very close race.
I think I'll keep NPR around for awhile.

[Blue Idaho]

14. Ok.

But if you look objectively at what has happened to NPR since W gutted it and installed conservative bosses you would see the news operation has shifted to a more conservative take on its political coverage.

There is plenty of things I like about NPR but political coverage isn't one of them. If they had any real journalistic integrity they would be reporting on the Electoral College outlook which is not "too close to call" instead to re-inforcing the "horse race" meme.

If you like NPR - good for you, after all its a free country.

[Kurovski]

20. +1

[WI_DEM]

5. But what is important is this:

The president led by 4 percentage points in the smaller sample of 466 voters in 12 states: Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico, Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Virginia, North Carolina and Florida. Both the Romney lead and the Obama lead were within the poll's margin of error.

[Dsummer]

6. Nervous

I have been reading this board for a long time but I have to say that I'm getting very nervous about this election. When looking at the polls and ID it looks like Romney has a good chance. Everyone I talk to in the suburbs of Illinois says they are voting for Romney.

[WI_DEM]

7. Actually a lot of good state polls have come out in the last 2-3 days for Obama

and even tracking polls are moving towards obama. I'm very nervous for Romney.

p.s. look at this thread:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251185500

[Dsummer]

10. Needed that

Feel better now. Thanks

[davidn3600]

11. I dont trust the polls. Most are well within the margin of error

Everyone needs to act as if we are behind, not ahead.

[HERVEPA]

9. To quote Alvin dark, when asked by a kid for an autograph "Take a hike, son, take a hike"

[SunSeeker]

12. Keep your eye on Nate Silver's 538.

He takes all polls into account. That way you don't go bipolar looking at one bad poll, then one good poll.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/


By the way, the white suburban Illinois voter does not represent the electorate. Relax. Try hanging out with a more diverse crowd.

[wisteria]

13. I am not worried, this election will be bigger than everyone you talk to. n/t

[Maximumnegro]

15. If you're nervous, you haven't been paying attention.

[Kurovski]

19. Do tell

pull up a chair, hon. Lemme cut 'ya a slice of pizza...

[Cha]

27. They're so freaking obvious..do they all go to the same

school for trolls? "everyone I know is voting for romney"! Is that not a dead give away? rofl

[Kurovski]

28. In Illinois? Right.

I would have let it go, except why pick THAT as your first DU post.

There are other clues, but why let out all the secrets to the "enemy"?

They already have at least one post hidden. So we shall see.

[Proud Liberal Dem]

29. Illinois isn't a swing state in this election

I wouldn't worry. That would be the LAST place I would be worried about.

[Thekaspervote]

16. Illinois belongs to the dems...

NPR has gone soft... I think Diane reem wants to keep her job. In other words spin it girl!!

[Kurovski]

25. Yes, and everyone from Illinois knows that.

Obama always gets huge numbers. I repeat: Illinoisians know this.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

17. Poll Was Completed On Thursday

It's already stale by now.

[Kurovski]

18. there are better places to support than NPR

Do they still take oil money? Sure they do. good luck getting any real non-1percenter news.

Still have that nice jazz and smart funny folks features?

their reporting on election 2004 was so irresponsible, that I stopped tuning in and havent been back since.

[abumbyanyothername]

22. I have noticed that KCRW

is being sponsored by some natural gas trade group.

But KPFK doesn't always have great programming 24/7 so sometimes I flip over.

If you're not in LA, check out KPFK.org they stream and they have archives. Politics for the 99% and a lot of new age, meditation, alternative diet sort of stuff.

[Kurovski]

23. Yes, you do have to be judicious, and pay attention to who backs whom.

Dan Rather reports, for indepth stuff

http://www.axs.tv/programs/danrather/

Democracy now

http://www.democracynow.org/

Plenty more. I even like rachel maddow as a regular show to consume

it goes on. there is even better radio than NPR. I think it's great for smart entertainment(used to be anyway) , it's just a mistake to get news there.

[LiberalFighter]

21. How does one compute the results at a national level

when they don't know what will be the turnout? It is not feasible to determine the totals when each state will be different in turnout and if the states that favor Romney have a lower turnout while the Obama favored have even or higher turnout.

They are using Lyan Ryan Math that 5th graders would know doesn't work.

[DJWBlue]

26. I keep reading and hearing these pundits proclaim that the race is too close to call, but if early

voting is any indication, it doesn't seem that close. I voted this weekend here in Houston and the lines were VERY long and were overwhelmingly comprised of African-Americans, Hispanics, and young people. I realize that there is little chance that Texas will go to Obama this year, but if voter turnout in the swing states is comparable to Houston, the race won't be close at all. And from my discussions with the other voters in line, there is no lack of enthusiasm for Obama. Many of them seemed to me to be as fired up to vote for the President as they were in 2008.