Important takeaways from recent NPR poll

[imgbitepolitic]

Obama leads 4pts in crucial Battlegrounds:

The president led by 4 percentage points in the smaller sample of 466 voters in 12 states: Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico, Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Virginia, North Carolina and Florida. Both the Romney lead and the Obama lead were within the poll's margin of error.


Also, he has much better favorability in these states, that matter:

The battleground offers some support for Greenberg's view (that Obama will be reelected), because attitudes toward the president are better there (54 percent favorable to 44 percent unfavorable) and attitudes toward Romney are worse (46 percent favorable to 49 percent unfavorable).




http://www.npr.org/blogs/itsallpolitics/2012/10/30/163914429/npr-poll-finds-presidential-race-too-close-to-call

[postulater]

1. "Within the margin of error"?

Those polls as useless. They didn't get a big enough sample to claim a thing. They should not stop polling till they have a definitive result.

[hoosierlib]

2. I concur...

While Obama will perform worse in almost all states in 2012 as compared to 2008 (specifically among white voters as a whole), he will win re-election because of higher favorability and job approval numbers in swing states. Romney is leading in most national polls because he is running high margins in strong Republican states where thr President is hated and performing better than McCain in most swing states. However its not enough to overtake President Obama. I fully expect to win almost all swing states (except FL and NC) and lose the popular vote because the election will be over after 9:00 PM after OH, VA, NH, WI and IA go blue making the CO and NV outcomes irrelevant. As long as GOTV efforts succeed (which we are ahead of schedule), we will prevail!

[imgbitepolitic]

3. Um

Pollster Greenberg disagrees with you. @postulator