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Romney has edge in turnout? Excuse Me?? (Original Post) BlueDemKev Oct 2012 OP
I think they are talking about likely voters Proud liberal 80 Oct 2012 #1
Whatever DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #2
^^^^^^^^THIS^^^^^^^^ alcibiades_mystery Oct 2012 #5
LV Mojo2 Oct 2012 #3
Given that Alabama and 'Ole Miss are my neighboring states.... BlueDemKev Oct 2012 #4
Your concern does not concern me. nt RomneyLies Oct 2012 #6
You sound like Mittens... BlueDemKev Oct 2012 #7
I Will Fix That.Thank You. DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #8
Likely voter models from some pollsters are going against the early voting enthusiasm Jennicut Oct 2012 #9
The correct characterization is that Obama hs more margin for improvement. geek tragedy Oct 2012 #10
 

Mojo2

(332 posts)
3. LV
Tue Oct 30, 2012, 09:50 AM
Oct 2012

I think they are talking about Likely Voters, but keep in mind that many of these LV's are from deep red states that will have no impact on the Electoral College. The only poll that would worth something is the LV's in the Battle Ground States. No one cares if Alabama, Ole Miss, etc...have huge turnouts for Romney, they were going with the Republican anyways.

BlueDemKev

(3,003 posts)
4. Given that Alabama and 'Ole Miss are my neighboring states....
Tue Oct 30, 2012, 09:56 AM
Oct 2012

...I totally understand. My question is this: who has the superior ground game/get-out-the-vote efforts in THESE states???

OHIO
WISCONSIN
MINNESOTA
NEVADA
PENNSYLVANIA

That's the election right there!


DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
8. I Will Fix That.Thank You.
Tue Oct 30, 2012, 12:18 PM
Oct 2012

You don't sound like Mittens...The legitimate concerns of others are of no concern to him.

Jennicut

(25,415 posts)
9. Likely voter models from some pollsters are going against the early voting enthusiasm
Tue Oct 30, 2012, 12:46 PM
Oct 2012

seen in IA, NC, OH, NV and even in FL seen for Obama. We are still a bit behind in CO. I don't have the numbers on WI but I assume it is more like the other mid west states.

Likely voter models are not always right. They could mistake outright hatred of the President in red areas as more enthusiasm for Romney, when it matters little in the electoral college.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
10. The correct characterization is that Obama hs more margin for improvement.
Tue Oct 30, 2012, 01:29 PM
Oct 2012

If he gets more unlikely Dems to the polls, he wins. And there are a lot more unlikely Dems.

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