Election Forecast Summaries: 10/30 (afternoon)

[Chichiri]

From now until the election I'll post once or twice a day with these summaries. "p(RE)" means "probability of re-election," although I've now gone to a standard percentage-based unit. "unch" means unchanged from last report.

[font color="blue"]
Votamatic: O 332 (unch)

University of Illinois U-C: O 291.4 (unch); p(RE)=94.9% (unch)

Electoral-vote.com: O 280, R 235, T 23 (unch)

Huffington Post: O 277, R 191, T 70 (unch)

FiveThirtyEight: O 294.6 (unch); p(RE)=72.9% (unch)

Princeton: O 303 (unch); p(RE)=93%, 98% (+3%, +1%)

DeSart/Holbrook: O 281 (unch); p(RE)=86.66% (-0.16%)[/font]
[font color="red"]
...And Just For Laughs, UnSkewedPolls: O 179, R 359 (unch from 10/25) [/font] which means my bet with Dean Chambers is presently worth $2,312.00.

[faithfulcitizen]

1. Great idea! Thanks!

[Chichiri]

4. My pleasure! Keep it bumped so that people can see it! eom

[faithfulcitizen]

9. ok, bump! :)

[doc03]

2. Thanks, are there any credible polls that show Romney winning? n/t

[Chichiri]

3. If you mean poll averages or forecast models, nope. eom

[doc03]

5. That's good to know that gives me hope. Please keep

posting the polls.

[Chichiri]

6. Will do! eom

[flamingdem]

7. boomp n/t

[Maeve]

8. Ah, a breath of sanity!

I hope he pays!