2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumSandy Unlikley to Impact the Electrol Vote
I have read a few articles today that look at the areas that are being affected by the storm and which ones may have trouble voting on election day. The conclusions seem to be that while the popular vote, as well as some down ticket races may be impacted, this is unlikely to cause a change in the electoral vote outcome. So the idea that Romney can somehow win a state like Pennsylvania because democratic areas won't be able to vote next week is almost certainly not going to happen. Now that isn't to say this event won't change who people want to vote for (i think movement towards Obama is 10000x more likely than movement towards Romney after this) but fears that Romney would be able to win a state like New York or Maryland because democratic areas are so devastated, ain't gonna happen. If obama was destined to win the electoral vote, this storm hasn't somehow changed that.
http://www.politico.com/blogs/charlie-mahtesian/
http://news.yahoo.com/why-hurricane-sandy-might-cost-obama-the-popular-vote-but-not-the-presidency-1030125687.html
Alekei_Firebird
(320 posts)Doctor Jack
(3,072 posts)But it doesn't seem the infrastructure was damaged enough to make voting impossible in any state, by next week.
rightsideout
(978 posts)Maryland is a pretty Democratic state. Before the storm, early voter turnout was a lot larger then expected. People waited 4 hours to vote and lines went around the block.
Maryland's population that is out of power is 300,000. That number will be close to zero by election day. By the end of the week most people will have their power back.
Governor O'Malley extended early voting to Friday.
There are tons of opportunities to vote in Maryland.
The whole state of New York wasn't devestated. Manhattan seemed to take the brunt of the damage. I imagine it won't effect NY too much.
Overall, I don't think the electoral Blue States on the East Coast will change to Red. They will stay as predicted.
The storm blew through quicker then anticipated so cleanup will begin sooner.
Jackpine Radical
(45,274 posts)How are the Electrols gonna vote?
The fact that they don't have to honor our vote is the worst tragedy in politics today. There are going to be some dishonest behind closed door shenanigans this year.