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Doctor Jack

(3,072 posts)
Tue Oct 30, 2012, 05:36 PM Oct 2012

Sandy Unlikley to Impact the Electrol Vote

I have read a few articles today that look at the areas that are being affected by the storm and which ones may have trouble voting on election day. The conclusions seem to be that while the popular vote, as well as some down ticket races may be impacted, this is unlikely to cause a change in the electoral vote outcome. So the idea that Romney can somehow win a state like Pennsylvania because democratic areas won't be able to vote next week is almost certainly not going to happen. Now that isn't to say this event won't change who people want to vote for (i think movement towards Obama is 10000x more likely than movement towards Romney after this) but fears that Romney would be able to win a state like New York or Maryland because democratic areas are so devastated, ain't gonna happen. If obama was destined to win the electoral vote, this storm hasn't somehow changed that.

http://www.politico.com/blogs/charlie-mahtesian/

http://news.yahoo.com/why-hurricane-sandy-might-cost-obama-the-popular-vote-but-not-the-presidency-1030125687.html

6 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Sandy Unlikley to Impact the Electrol Vote (Original Post) Doctor Jack Oct 2012 OP
Imagine NY going red. LOL. Nobody would buy that. Alekei_Firebird Oct 2012 #1
My biggest concerns were Pennsylvania and Virgina Doctor Jack Oct 2012 #2
No way Maryland is going Red rightsideout Oct 2012 #3
Inquiring minds want to know-- Jackpine Radical Oct 2012 #4
This! jenw2 Oct 2012 #5
via Electrolysis, of course onenote Oct 2012 #6

Doctor Jack

(3,072 posts)
2. My biggest concerns were Pennsylvania and Virgina
Tue Oct 30, 2012, 05:40 PM
Oct 2012

But it doesn't seem the infrastructure was damaged enough to make voting impossible in any state, by next week.

rightsideout

(978 posts)
3. No way Maryland is going Red
Tue Oct 30, 2012, 05:47 PM
Oct 2012

Maryland is a pretty Democratic state. Before the storm, early voter turnout was a lot larger then expected. People waited 4 hours to vote and lines went around the block.

Maryland's population that is out of power is 300,000. That number will be close to zero by election day. By the end of the week most people will have their power back.

Governor O'Malley extended early voting to Friday.

There are tons of opportunities to vote in Maryland.

The whole state of New York wasn't devestated. Manhattan seemed to take the brunt of the damage. I imagine it won't effect NY too much.

Overall, I don't think the electoral Blue States on the East Coast will change to Red. They will stay as predicted.

The storm blew through quicker then anticipated so cleanup will begin sooner.

 

jenw2

(374 posts)
5. This!
Tue Oct 30, 2012, 06:56 PM
Oct 2012

The fact that they don't have to honor our vote is the worst tragedy in politics today. There are going to be some dishonest behind closed door shenanigans this year.

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