New Poll PA: Obama 48% Romney 44%

[aaaaaa5a]

Last edited Wed Oct 31, 2012, 12:59 AM - Edit history (1)

There is a new poll out of PA from Franklin and Marshall.

Obama 48%

Romney 44%


http://lancasteronline.com/article/local/767700_New-Franklin---Marshall-poll-shows-Romney-closes-gap-on-Obama-in-Pennsylvania.html


I still don't think we are at risk of losing PA. At this point in the race, a 4-6 point lead in a state the size of PA is real good. But we are not likely to have the margin here we had in 2008.


For scale:

2004-Kerry won PA by 2.5%

2000- Gore won PA by 4.2%

[woolldog]

1. Anyone know if Michigan and PA have early voting?

[LisaL]

2. PA doesn't for sure.

[woolldog]

3. Thanks

[Alekei_Firebird]

4. Polls consistently give Obama a 4-6% cushion

PA is not in play. 2008 was a blowout year in which Obama won by 10%, but that's probably not going to happen every year.

[GallopingGhost]

5. There was an article on yahoo

tonight saying Romney is making a play for PA, especially Western.

Apparently he is trying to push the Obama-war-on-coal crapola.

PA is the President's, although agreed, not by '08 margins.

[tbennett76]

6. Ancient poll he is not only winning 73

percent of non whites. No cell phone calls. It does not say that but any pollster that does call them mentions it, so saying no.

[Drunken Irishman]

7. Correction - Kerry won PA by 2.5 points...

I think Obama will win it by 4-7 points. I'm not terribly worried about it. It seems the media, every election cycle, tries to push this narrative the Democrats might lose it ... and they never do.

[aaaaaa5a]

9. Thanks for the correction. nt

[Doctor Jack]

8. Only 6 days left

Romney is out of time there

[outsideworld]

10. Too close for confort

[davidpdx]

11. I agree and not to dis either Kerry or Gore

But Obama has a much stronger campaign then either of them had. He won in 2008 by a little over 10%. If I had to guess it will be a tad under that but still not close.

[TroyD]

12. Interesting that in this same poll they show Casey +10 for the SENATE

Hmmm.

http://thetimes-tribune.com/news/new-poll-shows-obama-casey-still-up-in-pa-1.1396339