Another poll shows Sanders, Clinton even in California

[NWCorona]

"Less than a week before California voters head to the polls on Tuesday, the Democratic race between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders is effectively tied in the state, according to the results of the latest Field Poll released Thursday, as reported by local media outlets, including the Sacramento Bee and San Francisco Chronicle.
Clinton leads Sanders 45 percent to 43 percent, with 12 percent undecided or unreported. In the last survey in April, Clinton led Sanders by 6 points — 47 percent to 41 percent. The results in the latest Field survey mirror those of the NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll out Wednesday evening, which showed Clinton with a lead of 49 percent to 47 percent.
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Sanders has devoted most of his resources to winning California, holding multiple events in the state in recent weeks as he looks to bolster his case with superdelegates at the Democratic National Convention. Both Hillary and Bill Clinton will return to the state carrying the largest delegate prize in the days leading up to the Tuesday vote.

While Sanders holds a double-digit advantage over those expressing no party preference (54 percent to 40 percent), Clinton leads by a slightly smaller margin among the nearly 8 in 10 likely Democratic primary voters who identified as Democrats (49 percent to 40 percent).
As has been the case in nearly every state and national poll, Sanders holds wide advantages with voters under the age of 40 and fwith irst-time voters, while Clinton leads among voters older than 40. Clinton and Sanders are within the margin of error among white, non-Hispanic voters (where Clinton leads 44 percent to 43 percent) and among Latino voters (Clinton 46 percent, Sanders 42 percent). Among African-American voters, Clinton leads by 21 points — 57 percent to 36 percent. But among Asian-Americans, Sanders leads 47 percent to 34 percent. In all instances, Sanders has either cut into Clinton's advantage with all groups or, as is the case with non-Hispanic white support, Clinton's level of support has slightly dipped.

Sanders voters indicated a higher level of enthusiasm for their candidate compared with Clinton voters, with 65 percent of those backing the Vermont senator saying they are enthusiastic about their choice compared with 45 percent who said the same of Clinton. And while Sanders' favorability numbers have largely held steady over the past several months in the survey, Clinton's image rating has dropped to 64 percent favorable in the latest survey, down 6 points from April.


Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/06/poll-california-hillary-clinton-bernie-sanders-223810#ixzz4AQj4QySU

[MineralMan]

1. And California, like all other jurisdictions,

allocates its pledged delegates proportionally to the election results. Both candidates will win some delegates. A tie does not help Bernie Sanders overcome Clinton's pledged delegate lead in any way. Even a small percentage win will not help him win a majority of pledged delegates nationwide. That's how the primary system works.

[firebrand80]

3. And he's not even competing in NJ

Which kinda proves that he knows that it's all symbolic at this point

[NWCorona]

4. Really? I didn't know that's how it works.

[MineralMan]

7. I'm quite certain that you do know.

That doesn't stop me from posting factual information, though.

[NWCorona]

9. Fair enough 😀

[thesquanderer]

6. Yup, he needs something in the 70% range to be a real threat, and he won't get that. But...

...any win at all better positions him for his hail mary pass at the super delegates. And even that would probably require a lot more bad news for Hillary between now and the convention.

[frylock]

10. Optics.

[MineralMan]

13. Optics don't trump delegates.

Never have. Never will. The only thing anyone needs to look at is the count of pledged delegates. That's what will decide the nomination, and nothing else.

If optics were how we elected people, we wouldn't need to vote.

But, we do vote. Most states already have voted. The pledged delegate count so far can be found at:

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/D

You can look just at pledged delegates there or look at the totals with super delegates. It's your choice.

That site is the first place I'll go in the mornings of June 8 and June 15. It's the first place I go after every primary.

The numbers tell the story. How things "look" is a different matter. I have two pairs of glasses. One for close viewing and one for distant viewing. Those are my optics.

[frylock]

14. You know what does trump delegates?

Recommendation for indictment.

[MineralMan]

15. Yah...whatever you say. You let me know when that happens, OK?

[frylock]

16. Oh, you'll hear all about it.

Rest assured.

[beachbum bob]

2. doesn't matter, hillary has won

its only interest is to the media and sanders keep conning more money


its over

[NWCorona]

5. Keep telling yourself that.

[lagomorph777]

12. Unless you have a flux capacitor and a DeLorean, she has not "won."

“It's tough to make predictions, especially about the future.” - Yogi Berra

[Skink]

8. HRC can't afford any loss in Ca

[taught_me_patience]

11. Why not?

She can lose by 20and still easily wrap up the nomination.

[DCBob]

17. Look like its going to be close but that doesn't help Bernie.

He needs a massive blowout in CA plus massive blowouts in the other remaining states. Its simply not going to happen.

[QC]

18. Don't worry--someone will unskew it soon enough!!! n/t

[reddread]

19. How many polls have overstated Sanders support so far?

I would love to know.
(excluding exit polls, thanks!)

[reddread]

21. has anyone a quick answer?

seems like a complicated question to research, but maybe someone has insight?
thanks!

[GreatGazoo]

24. None that I can find

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/jonathan-greenberg/polldefying-pattern-predi_b_9434118.html

[LoverOfLiberty]

20. She's going to do in CA like she did in KY

Let her large lead slip while she's focused on the general, but swoop in at the last minute to eke out a win and deny Sanders his last gasp moral victory.