No need to watch the returns Tuesday, this is how it'll go down.

[Drunken Irishman]

I did this four years ago. I want to stick with tradition. Here's how election night is going to go down.

*times might not be exact

7:00 ET:

Polls close in Georgia, Indiana, Kentucky, South Carolina, Vermont and Virginia. Romney will be declared the winner in Kentucky, Obama in Vermont, while Georgia, Indiana, South Carolina and Virginia will be labeled either too close to call or too early to call.

Romney will lead in the electoral college 8-3.

7:30 ET:

Polls in Ohio, North Carolina and West Virginia close. Both Ohio and North Carolina will be too close to call, while Romney will be declared the winner in West Virginia.

He now leads 13-3.

8:00 ET:

At this point, a great deal of states will close and Obama will be declared the winner in:

Connecticut
Delaware
Illinois
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
Washington, DC

Romney will be declared the winner in:

Alabama
Mississippi
Oklahoma
Tennessee

Pennsylvania, Missouri, New Hampshire and Florida will be too close/early to call.

Now Obama seizes the lead in the electoral college 79-46.

8:25 ET:

South Carolina is called for Romney. He now trails 79-55.

8:30 ET:

Polls close in Arkansas and Romney is called the winner. He now has 61 electoral votes.

8:50 ET:

Indiana is called for Romney. He now stands at 72 electoral votes.

9:00 ET:

Here comes another big swing of polls closing. Obama is declared the winner in:

New York
New Mexico

Romney declared the winner in:

Kansas
Louisiana
Nebraska
South Dakota
Wyoming

Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota, Texas and Wisconsin are too close/early to call.

Obama now leads 113-97.

9:30 ET:

Pennsylvania is called for Obama. Georgia for Romney. Obama now has 133 electoral votes to Romney's 110.

9:40 ET:

Minnesota and Michigan are called for Obama. Texas for Romney.

Obama now has 159 electoral votes to Romney's 151.

9:50 ET:

WE HAVE AN IMPORTANT CALL TO MAKE. THIS IS A BIG ONE. WE ARE PROJECTING THAT PRESIDENT OBAMA WILL CARRY THE STATE OF OHIO.

Obama now sits at 177 electoral votes, Romney 151. The mood shifts to Romney finding another path to victory ... one that doesn't appear viable with Michigan and Pennsylvania being called for Obama.

10:00 ET:

Polls close in Iowa, Montana, Nevada and Utah. Romney wins Utah - but the other three states are too early or too close to call.

Obama leads Romney 177-157 in the electoral college.

10:30 ET:

New Hampshire is called for Obama.

He now has 181 electoral votes. There is word from Boston that the mood is dower at Romney head quarters.

10:45 ET:

Wisconsin is called for Obama, Missouri for Romney. Obama leads 191 to 167.

10:50 ET:

Nevada is called for Obama. Early voting is what won him the state. Montana for Romney.

Obama now sits at 197, Romney at 170.

11:00 ET:

Polls close in California, Washington, Oregon, Hawaii, Idaho and North Dakota.

Obama is declared the winner in California, Washington, Oregon and Hawaii. Romney in Idaho and North Dakota.

With California's 55 electoral votes, the networks announce Obama has been reelected.

He leads Romney 275-177. Crowds are celebrating in Chicago.

11:40 ET:

Romney takes the stage to concede. Obama is expected to speak at midnight.

11:45 ET:

Obama is declared the winner in Colorado.

11:50 ET:

Arizona is called for Romney.

12:00 ET:

Obama speaks to supporters in Chicago.

12:10 ET:

Obama wins Virginia and Iowa - now sitting at 303-188.

12:30 ET:

Florida is called for Obama.

1:00 ET:

Polls close in Alaska, where Romney is declared the winner.

Sometime Wednesday:

North Carolina goes...

Does it matter?

Obama wins 332 (347) to 206 (191).

Bring on the inauguration.

[Dawson Leery]

1. k/r

[Lex]

2. I bookmarked this

just to see how close you'll be.

[freshwest]

34. +1

[trayfoot]

75. ditto!

[NoOtherMedicineNovel]

79. Me, too...and will follow it closely. Thank you, Drunken Irishman.Can't wait to see Scott's face at

12:50 ET when Florida turns vivid BLUE.
Yessss!

[ProudProgressiveNow]

92. Great idea. nt

[Obamamama44]

118. So did I!

[blazeKing]

4. Once Ohio and Wisconsin and Iowa or NV are called for Obama

He'll be projected to retain the Presidency. Won't even have to wait for Cali

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

5. I LOVE THIS!! LOVE IT!!!!! Thank you so much. Bookmarking thread because I will be THRILLED

If O wins Ohio and Florida ***TOMORROW NIGHT*** rather than both states being too close to call for days, even weeks!

[PsychProfessor]

6. Awesome! I just hope I have a big case of deja vu come tomorrow night! nt

[sheshe2]

7. Make it SO!

[Lisa D]

8. I'm going to print this out and use it

as a guide on election night. Thanks!

[RedSpartan]

9. From your keyboard...

Bottom line, if Obama has 192 votes when the polls close in the West, he's got 270, so that's what to watch for.

[meti57b]

10. Extremely cool!!! I like it!!!

[JNelson6563]

11. That sounds about right.

I can't wait to see how the Senate/House races shake out!

Julie

[JoyBugaloo]

58. I'm waiting for those races too

[Evil Wolf]

12. Love it.

I can be a happy camper in bed by 9pm. Nah, I'll be having a celebratory cocktail! Then bed.

Portland, OR here

[hlthe2b]

13. I'm just back in town, have very early call tomorrow: Maybe we need a volunteer phone tree

to just call those of us unable to follow our normal obsessive path on these nights--without risk of very adverse consequences.

I know your scenario is on the mark, but I honestly don't know how well I will sleep without knowing. I won't even be able to stay up for my own state's results (CO)--which are very very important to me.

[liberalmuse]

14. You were pretty damn close last time...

and even underestimated Obama's EV's and overestimated McCain's. I'll take it!

[barbtries]

15. it matters to me

though i know he doesn't need NC to win, i am here. in NC, and you just don't know how much it matters to me that we go blue again.

i shall do just as i did 4 years ago: get home from work, collapse in front of my computer and go unconscious until 11 pm, at which time i will wake up to learn that Obama has been elected!

watching is so stressful.

[Hyper_Eye]

16. Bookmarked. n/t

[Tarheel_Dem]

17. Love it! You had me on the edge of my seat. I love the build up, and of course, the result.

[damnedifIknow]

18. I just want to laugh in his smirking face.

[calimary]

38. Me TOO!!!!! If for NO other reason, this asshole is reason enough to vote for Obama.

If for no other reason than to see that fucker SORE LOSERMAN mcconnell cry in his beer and be WRONG.

[Timbuk3]

85. One thing to remember

(If) When Obama wins is that turtle-head is defeated in his quest to make Obama a "one-term President".

Another is that Ginsberg can retire, and Scalia and Thomas will be afraid to.

[tavalon]

112. We have all done everything asked of us and more

I'm done with the "if". I tend to be superstitious, but just this once, I'm not going to give in to it.

[ProudProgressiveNow]

93. That man is........

going to pay a huge political price for his strategies...

[NightWatcher]

19. kicked, rec'ed, and bookmarked

I'd bet on it too

[BootinUp]

20. I will follow along with your predictions

very helpful.

[TheAmbivalante]

21. Sorry, trees

I'm actually printing this out.
Awesome work!
Leave it to a Drunken Irishman

[Journeyman]

22. I like this 'cause California gets to put him over the top. . .

I'm interested to see how close to the timing your prognostication proves.

[trebleclef]

23. Hope so

Would love for Obama to win Florida. But I doubt that happens. Hopefully he won't need Florida to win.

[Blaukraut]

24. Looks good to me! n/t

[GOTV]

25. This is awesome. I'm printing this out and keeping it with me ...

... while I watch the returns.

[tavalon]

113. I thought for a second, you were asking us to get out the vote,

which we did, in spades. But then, I realized it's your username. And then I smiled.

[SoapBox]

26. Soooooo....

as an "expert" at being a Drunken Irishman (.. ..)

do we drink when we hear Obama or Mittens?

Looks to me that if we drink when we hear Called for Mittens, we won't be getting much of a buzz.

[mnhtnbb]

27. Well, pretty good EXCEPT North Carolina will be called before 11 PM for Obama!

[SaveAmerica]

49. agree!

[AlbertCat]

108. North Carolina goes... Does it matter?

Yes it does.... to us in NC it does.

[RedCloud]

135. Your pal in Va. agrees with you!

Let's work on S.C. amd Georgia and keep both coasts blue in 2016!

[KarenS]

28. I really hope you're right at least with the final outcome.

I've been very worried about this election.

[fiorello]

29. Very accurate! I would add the following:

8:30 - Romney takes a 'commanding' lead in Virginia with 7% of the vote counted. Network talking heads play this heavily. Don't panic.

9:50 - With Ohio in the bag, Obama can clinch the victory with just two of the following three states: New Hampshire, Iowa or Nevada.

The talking heads don't report that - instead they go on and on about Romney's persistent (but slowly shrinking) lead in Virginia, and express confidence that thanks to his brilliant and brainy VP pick, Romney will win Wisconsin. Ignore 'em.

10:30. New Hampshire for Obama. Almost there!

10:45: Iowa and Nevada race each other to be the state that clinches it... I think Iowa might come through early

10:50: Iowa AND Wisconsin called for Obama!!! Nevada called for Obama!!!!!
Nate Silver announces that it's over.

[tavalon]

114. Woot! It ain't over 'til Nate Silver sings

LOL

[lyingsackofmitt]

30. At 11:50 after RobMe's

concession speech, CNN will say...it's too close to call!

[BlueDemKev]

32. 12:00am...

Sean Hannity's whiney voice will fill Fox News' airwaves...

[BlueDemKev]

31. Oh man, you mean we have to wait until 10pm before Ohio is called for Obama?

Agony!!

[ncav53]

33. Another epic night, can't wait

[Wait Wut]

35. Cool. I can relax tomorrow and...

...watch reruns of American Horror Story. Thanks!!!

[Stewland]

36. I predict that Obama wins Minnesota by at least 7 percent.

Obama will win Minnesota and this will be clear shortly after the polls close.

[LawnKorn]

37. You did not factor in the Republicans cheating

http://www.democraticunderground.com/1014291438

[Stryder]

39. I best get some sleep tonight.

Tomorrow's gonna be a long one.

[AaronMayorga]

40. In '08, you were pretty damn close to the outcome.

Besides, Missouri going for McCain and Omaha, Nebraska for BO. Plus, I agree with the 332 projection. Good work!

[flamingdem]

41. Bookmarking, I want to be located properly when Ohio gets called

and now I can plan on a bedtime!

[Lugnut]

42. K&R n/t

[Laura PourMeADrink]

43. WOW DI, this must have taken forever. Excellent and thanks !

[genna]

44. Bookmarked. I think OHIO will be called at 130 am

when the last voter casts their ballots in some of the black precincts.

All the other counties' tallies will be in and we'll be waiting.

It may happen in Florida too after the mishaps over the weekend.

[flamingdem]

61. True, nobody is going to sleep until then nt

[SaveAmerica]

45. NC goes to OBAMA!!! and tell me Powerball #s please!!!

[Lucky Luciano]

46. pretty good! nt

[Andy Stanton]

47. Great Post!

And exciting too.

I hope the real thing goes down the same way.

[davidpdx]

48. I think MA, NJ, PA will take longer to tabulate

Ohio will be closer to 10:30-11pm EST

[Kber]

157. NJ is going to be doing a fair amount of hand counting this cycle.

it may indeed take longer for that reason alone, not because the vote will be especially close.

[slutticus]

50. "With California's 55 electoral votes"

Fuck yeah baby. Fuck yeah.

[tomm2thumbs]

51. did you forget **** SPOILER ALERT **** ??? (grin)

can't wait to compare - but bookmarking!

[Canuckistanian]

52. Oh, thanks

Now I know the ending.

Thanks for ruining it for me.

[Faith9326]

53. Ohio being called

"WE HAVE AN IMPORTANT CALL TO MAKE. THIS IS A BIG ONE. WE ARE PROJECTING THAT PRESIDENT OBAMA WILL CARRY THE STATE OF OHIO."


Haha. I swear Wolf Blitzer will say these exact words.

[iandhr]

54. I agree mostly but Georgia, Indiana, South Carolina will go to Mitt immediately

[ProudToBeBlueInRhody]

55. You forgot one thing.....

January 20, 2013:

Noon, Eastern.


Obama inaugurated for a second term, CNN declares presidential race still a tie.

[Victor_c3]

56. I actually did something similar

I printed out a map with the supposed swing states and wrote in the times that the polls close. By 8 pm EST, so long as Obama has NH, PA, VA, and OH, it will be very hard for him to lose the election. If he wins only those swing states, he'll be on the path for 269 votes. All he has to do after that is secure one more - which shouldn't be a problem with WI, IA, CO, and NV left to go.

All of the worry will evaporate after 8 pm if he gets what I mentioned above (NH, PA, VA, OH) plus NC or FL.If he gets either of those, he can lose WI, IA, CO, and NV and still hit at least 284 electoral votes.

The more I look at it, the better I feel. I can keep talking different scenarios in my head, but none of them look like it will take a long-shot for Obama to win.

The North East looks very good for Obama.

[graywarrior]

57. Well done!

[Doremus]

59. Oh yay! I was wondering if you were going to make your predictions again.

Last time they were spot-on as I recall.

Will be watching and celebrating with everybody tomorrow!

[dorkzilla]

60. Replying to bookmark!

Thanks Drunken Irishman!

[regnaD kciN]

62. While I like your scenario, something tells me it will take until much later...

Last time, we had about 4-5 points more of a lead, so the margins were larger, and the race could be called as soon as the west coast states' polling was over. This time, although we have more paths to 270 than Rmoney, those paths involve states with much smaller margins, thus taking longer in the "too soon to call" zone. While I'd love a repeat of 2008, with the race being called for Obama at 8pm here in the PST, I personally expect the polls to close here, and the whole wave of CA-OR-WA electoral votes to be placed in Obama's column, with us still needing a TSTC state or two to put us over the top. Unless we pull off an upset win in FL or an unrealistically-early call of VA in our favor, it's probably going to come down to Ohio yet again -- in which case, I could see it taking until 10 or 11 here (i.e. well after midnight in the east) before we get a final call.

[Drunken Irishman]

65. Not really...

The margins in Ohio are almost identical to the polls in '08 and that state was called before 10.

[courseofhistory]

63. Great! Thanks! n/t

[Cheviteau]

64. But...but....but...

He's a Kenyan socialist and pals around with Bill Ayers....how can this be?

[TroyD]

66. I think it's a very close prediction of how the states will be called

2 comments about OHIO:

1. Your scenario assumes that Democrats will overcome Republican electoral theft in OHIO

2. You also assume that the networks will be willing to call OHIO earlier than they may

[mac56]

67. God bless your typing fingers.

Let it be so.

[Skinner]

68. That was fun.

It's like I'm getting a preview of tomorrow night. Feels good.

[SoapBox]

81. What? Who? Huh?

...you mean THE Skinner was even reading this post?

*Score* for the Drunken Irishman!

[gottavote]

125. best quote of the campaign go vote gotv call your friends

d is for drive forward. Loving it. This is my favorite day of the year. E Day. Vote every election. No more 2010s.

[Myrina]

69. I mostly agree, but if anything's called on Weds it will be Ohio ...

Just my gut feeling.

[defacto7]

70. Looks mighty good to me!

[zwyziec]

71. From a "Drinking Polack"!

Thank's for all the work that you put into this. Wife and I are having a party tomorrow night with about 20 like minded Progressives, Liberals, Democrats, Free Thinkers, but all good caring people, in this haven of Republican wing nuts.

We're going to use your outline to follow the news and check them off as it goes. You did a great job

We had a similar party four years ago and many of our friends are coming back. But I have to say that after that first debate and the following weeks, watching Romney rise in the polls, we weren't sure we'd be doing this again. Except it might have turned into a mass wrist slicing ceremony!

For those of you who are having a party here's what we plan to do as well. I've attached a list of names that I printed out on labels and will stick them to the backs of our group as they enter (or their foreheads). They become the name and have to ask questions of others about them in order to guess who they are. It's a good ice breaker.

Here's the list;

RAHM EMANUEL
SARAH PALIN
BILL CLINTON
RUSH LIMBAUGH
PAUL RYAN
HILLARY CLINTON
MICHELLE OBAMA
JOE BIDEN
KARL ROVE
MITT ROMNEY
NEWT GINGRICH
RON PAUL
GLENN BECK
ROBERT GATES
LILY LEDBETTER
HARRY REID
BARACK OBAMA
NANCY PALOSI

[Jim__]

72. From your lips to god's ears! - n/t

[bushisanidiot]

73. Loved reading this!

how awesome if FL went for Obama. VA and NC would be delicious icing on our victory cake.

[lib87]

103. Very Delicious Icing!

I could completely relax early in the night if it happened this way.

[ThomThom]

74. I hope you are correct

What if Ohio, New York and Penn take longer to call? We might have to wait until the next day?

[Lifelong Protester]

76. Posting and bookmarking

Thanks!

[jimlup]

77. I'm thinking Ohio may be held out longer than that...

Especially if the Repukes are able to build in some "irregularities" tomorrow.

[thelordofhell]

78. Replying to bookmark for tomorrow

That is if the site doesn't go batshit during the celebrations

[DCBob]

80. this sounds about right to me.

well done!

[Mira]

82. Excellent, I also looked at last year's. I printed out quite a few for

my party guests tomorrow night.
Thanks!

[NMDemDist2]

83. so i can find later n/t

[cheezmaka]

84. Can't wait for this scenario to play out!

A friend of mine at work told me that a prophet in April 2008 prophesied that "an African-American president will be elected and will serve two terms...

[hrmjustin]

86. Love it!

[KurtNYC]

87. love it

[wicket]

88. Hope you are right

[rufus dog]

89. I think you are wildly off!

When the polls close in the western states the Networks will be off on the top of the hour break, so the "official" call won't be made until 11:05 Eastern time. And NC is in the win column BABY!

[grantcart]

90. here are the final details

Obama 72,929,742 52.9%

Romney 63,530,903 46.7%

Electoral Vote

Obama 343

Romney 193

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

94. Jesus, I want you to be right. I SO want you to be right. I'd like Robme to win 47%.

It would be poetic justice. Asshole!

[grantcart]

104. I honestly believe that he will end up with between 46 and 47 percent.

He started with about 43 percent and went almost no where.

Most of the undecideds normally break for the incumbent. Romney just made it easy.

[dchill]

91. Bookmarked - +1

[Rowdyboy]

95. And I'll hold you to that!

[pinto]

96. Good stuff. Thanks.

[BouzoukiKing]

97. Nice. But I have my quibbles.

I don't think Michigan, Minnesota, Texas and Wisconsin will be too close/early for the networks to call at 9:00 ET.

And I don't believe for a minute that Romney will concede on Tuesday night or early Wednesday morning. Under any circumstances. It may take weeks. I believe we're going to see lawyers to make the selection of 2000 look like a high school dance.

[ChaoticTrilby]

98. Oh, dear. I probably shouldn't have read this.

Now, when I check things off during the vote-counting, I'll probably start panicking if a single thing doesn't go according to "plan." This isn't going to be good for my nerves.
Nevertheless, I'm still going to keep track of this time-line! And people say that politics are boring!

[blkmusclmachine]

99. If that holds, Richie Rich's last hope is Faithless Electors.

[Iggo]

100. Bookmarking right NOW!!!

Love it.

[world wide wally]

101. Gee, thanks... Now what do I do with all that food we bought for our guests that night?

[zenandpeace]

102. Hope it really does go down like this

Bring it on.

[lovemydog]

105. Thank you Drunken Irishman

This is a great overview.

I've already voted. Fingers crossed!

[jbjr49]

106. frigging awesome.

Fantastic post. Gonna use it as a guide.

[donqpublic]

107. Here is my official reply to your predictions

If you are even 75 to 89% accurate, I DEMAND you release your predictions for this coming weekend's slate of football games. College and NFL. Also, should I place a bet on the Vikings to win the Super Bowl?

Forget the Super Bowl pick. I know how that one will go.

[AllyCat]

109. Love your message. Hope you are right :)

[Beaverhausen]

110. Bookmarking. I don't think Ohio will be called that early

[tavalon]

111. Bookmarked

I am working from 7pm to 7am Pacific time tomorrow. The last time I worked on an election day/night was 2004. I know we're going to win tomorrow and yet, I'm having a little PTSD right now. I'm glad I know what it's from. That night was sheer hell. I actually cried in the arms of one my charge nurses, a fellow democrat.

I will focus on my work tomorrow and if no one tells me how it went, I will find out by how much Obama won when I get home Wednesday morning. And I will not let what happened 8 years ago mess me up. Despite the PTSD, I know you are right and it will be just fine.

And it isn't just Obama, we are hopefully going to deliver a much better Congress as an inauguration gift.

[Trajan]

115. One of the reasons I still keep coming to DU

Posts like this one .... Cheers ! ...

[Kennah]

116. Love it!

[outsideworld]

117. Fucking Awesome

Last edited Tue Nov 6, 2012, 04:47 AM - Edit history (1)

And so shall it happen

[fasttense]

119. You forgot the part where Romney files suit against Obama in the US Supreme Court

and the political hacks who call themselves judges, but are really kings of the US, declare it would be unfair to Romney if Obama wins no matter what the voters want. The US Supremes once again steal the election for their political cronies. Afterwords, the Koch Brothers are seen handing over briefcases to 5 of the so called justices. Thomas drops his case because he found a hair on it and hundreds of $100 bills spill out.

Just kidding, I hope.

[PotatoChip]

120. Rec'd and marking for later.

Looking forward to seeing how close your predictions are tonight DIrishman.

[LeftofObama]

121. I'm late to the party, but I want to

bookmark this thread too to compare. Thanks DI !

[Granny M]

122. Printed out to take with me tonight.

Heading to Amsterdam for the Democrats Abroad election night party. Hoping your predictions are spot on. Know I'll be tired but hope to be happy when I get back home to Cork in the morning.

[INdemo]

123. A perfect ending would be

11:40 ET:
Romney takes the stage to concede
Then at 11:45 Romoney is arrested for tax evasion, handcuffed and escorted off stage by the FBI

[Old and In the Way]

126. I sometimes wonder if that wasn't Mitt's primary motivation.

It's like having Al Capone running for POTUS in the 20's....

[INdemo]

153. Perhaps Capone would have made a better candidate

and people like Joe Scar Ed Gillespie and Chuck Todd ( and the list goes on)would still be promoting his agenda,as long as the R was in front of his name

[malexand]

124. Dwell in possibility. Believe. Yes we can!

Thanks for the inspirational and interesting analysis and hour-by-hour projection, Drunken Irishman.

[Eyes of the World]

127. Wow! Well done indeed!

I think you nailed it.

This response courtesy of a newbie who has inexplicitly been alerted on twice already...

Sorry. Cant seem to let that go....

[pidrufile]

128. Bookmarked!!! Thanks for this, I've been looking for this information for a week. Kudos

[Hokie]

129. Yep, I remember your post 4 years ago

I hope you are right on target again!

I think you forgot one thing though:

3:45 ET Matt Drudge leaks news on the exit polls that later turns out to be completely wrong.

[onethatcares]

130. gaud do I ever hope you are right.

n/t

[AsahinaKimi]

131. IF you are right...can I have your

SUPERBOWL PICK for 2012?

[krispos42]

132. I have your prediction map you made back in March

I printed it out at work and stuck it on my bulletin board. We'll see how close you are!

[hootinholler]

133. 8PM ET: Is Pennsylvania called for Obama or too close?

Can't have it both ways

[yellowcanine]

137. Unless it is like Florida 2000. God forbid.

[beyurslf]

134. As soon as OH is called for Obama, I expect those at my election party to erupt with celebration

[gblady]

136. thanks for the reminder......

I remember getting freaked out early in the night last year when McCain was ahead....

I'll know to chill out this year......

[CoboWowbo]

163. I think

you mean 2008..

[gblady]

181. yeah.....

I meant last time......still nervous!!!

[Carolina]

138. K&R!

Love the analysis... think it's spot on, too!

[SCantiGOP]

139. kick and hope you are correct

[2pooped2pop]

140. kick so I can find it later.

Hope you are correct.

[1gobluedem]

141. Please let it be so

Thanks for your hard work in putting this together!

[Kali]

142. heh - replying so I can find this later

[kairos12]

143. Virginia

Everything I am hearing tells me if Rmoney loses Virginia he loses the election. That will be a very early trend.

[samsingh]

144. bookmarked

[yardwork]

145. Impressive amount of work went into this!

[redwitch]

146. Tonight I will be a DrunkenIrishwoman.

Can't wait to tell you how amazing you are for having called this so perfectly!

[Mad-in-Mo]

147. Hoping you are right.....

[madmax]

148. President Obama wins FL?

How sweet that would be! I hope. Thank you to Obama FL voters who endure hell to GOTV and Vote. <3

[Smickey]

149. K&R n/t

[Smuckies]

150. I want this to be an official transcript on MSNBC tomorrow!!

BOOKMARKED!

[wryter2000]

151. I love this, however

I think you may have a problem at 9:50. I think Husted may have screwed up Ohio so badly it won't be decided tonight. I'd love it if I'm wrong, of course.

[stevenleser]

152. Excellent. Well done, K&R

I have slight differences but the overall idea is the same!

[emsimon33]

154. Oh, God, I hope you are right!

We also need to keep the Senate and get Congress!

[Staph]

155. From your keyboard . . .

to God's monitor!

That would be a delightful timeline!

[Wednesdays]

156. K&R

[IfPalinisAnswerWatsQ]

158. Kicked for later viewing

[ocd liberal]

159. From your lips, Good Sir!

My true love and I will raise our glasses of Jameson's to you tonight, Drunken Irishman! Love this!

[Pachamama]

160. Please, please make it so....

[arikara]

161. Interesting... I can't wait to see it happen live

[toby jo]

164. let's hope, Mick

[Doc Holliday]

165. Some states might be "too early to call"...

...but I doubt that there is much doubt how Texas will go. Sure, a lot of us down here are trying to "purple it up" as much as possible, but there is really no question that Rmoney will get our EVs.

Texas will be called for Romney early.

[robertpaulsen]

166. Rec'd this yesterday, kicking to the top today!

I have a feeling you're right again!

[Beaverhausen]

167. Getting close to poll closing time

[JoyBugaloo]

168. HERE WE GO!!!!!!

[relayerbob]

169. ok, let's see how good you are

I vote 347

[JoyBugaloo]

173. actually - he's pretty damn good....

so far Drunken Irishman is right on the money

[JoyBugaloo]

170. PRINTING THIS OUT

and parking my butt on the couch for the duration....

[michigandem58]

171. Kick!

n/t

[robertpaulsen]

172. 15 minutes in, it's all going according to your script.

The suspense is killing me!

[paparush]

174. 7:51 pm here and damn, you are right on the money.

MSM currently showing 13-3 Romney just like you predicted.

[hillary2016forthewin]

175. 8 PM Eastern and MSNBC has it O 3 R 49...but a bunch of good blue states are about to close.

Called Indiana instantly. Not sure how bad a sign that is

[JoyBugaloo]

176. the 8:00 predictions are correct -

with the exceptions of NJ & Pennsylvania....too early to call

[paparush]

177. Politico seems to be following this quite closely while MSNBC

is currently off in Romney la la land.

[montanto]

178. kick

[coalition_unwilling]

179. Bookmarking to follow later tonight - n/t

[randr]

180. So far so good----

[Rowdyboy]

182. Well done my friend....

Good work!

[NYC_SKP]

183. hahahaha!

[Kennah]

184. Helluva good call, but no Rmoney to concede methinks for hours

[Drunken Irishman]

185. Off on some ... but pretty good, eh?!?

[bleever]

186. Pretty darn good.

[chadk]

187. When the Florida counting finishes fully

the result is EXACTLY as you predicted on this thread! WELL DONE, mate!!!

[kath]

193. Awfully damned good! I referred to this frequently throughout the night.

[are_you_serious_1234]

198. Pretty good?

That was flippin' AWESOME!

[Carolina]

188. Love you, DI!!!

I printed out your analysis yesterday afternoon; then last night, whenever a state was called, I checked the call against your narrative. WOW... nearly 100%

You kept me grounded and sane; I even started a thread thanking you after Ohio put Obama over the top.

You are a WONDERFUL

[randr]

189. BRAVISIMO!!!!

[NYC_SKP]

190. 332/206

BRAVO!

Spot on once they finally call Florida, which they seem reluctant to do.

[CADEMOCRAT7]

191. You rock!

Who are you?!!! You are amazing! Thank you for this post. We kept looking at it last night. We are waiting right now for FL to be called. It looks like your EV prediction will be spot on !!! Bravo sir, bravo!

[Blue_Tires]

192. now gimmie the lotto numbers, please...

[chadk]

194. Yes, DI, give me the lotto

numbers. Need them badly here!

[are_you_serious_1234]

199. Yeah, I'm in too

[ProudProgressiveNow]

195. Great job!!!!

[Onlooker]

196. You're amazing drunken Irishman ...

... I wish I was drinking what you drink!

[outsideworld]

197. BUMPING IT up what accuracy it was, well almost

[lebkuchen]

200. In future election prediction outcomes, it's safe to put Florida in the "we'll know by Fri." column

What an embarrassment FL is.

[MuttLikeMe]

201. You're gonna be the next Nate Silver, man

good job.

[PATRICK]

202. This is a late thank you.

This was a very welcome remedy against the fake sporting event that dominated the media. I figured the exact timing of the winning announcements would be slow and reluctant in certain states but by and large it made the progress of events very easy and encouraging to follow.

[UCmeNdc]

203. Just wanted to say Great Job!

[Rosa Luxemburg]

204. You must have a crystal ball!

Bring on the inauguration!

[dsharp88]

205. This was amazing! n/t

[Denzil_DC]

206. Well done!

Commenting partly to applaud, and partly to kick for those who'd forgotten this.

[TexasTowelie]

207. Kudos for your calls.

I thought about your projections on election night and without referring back to your calls, I already knew you were pretty spot on. It was nice to temper the enthusiasm of the right-wingers early in the evening when they were in the lead.

Outstanding post.

[progree]

208. I was cleaning out some old notes, and ran across this, and have to say how impressed I was / am.

Edited - I had no idea that replying to a thread this old would kick it to the top of the forum listing! I figured after all this time, it wouldn't get kicked to the top, and only you would see it (there's some rule I read about in Help or Meta that threads that age beyond a certain point -- I believe that fall to beyond page 30 when listed chronologically by last reply -- become "archival" and don't get kicked to the top of the forum listing any longer. That's probably true, but I didn't realize that a thread whose last reply was on Nov. 14 in the Politics 2012 forum, would still be within the first 30 pages on Dec 27 in this forum. Oh well, live and learn. Congratulations anyway!

Edited - I see that posts with last reply of Nov 14 are listed on about pages 22 and 23.

Sorry about anyone inconvenienced by this -- I've written down the number of views shortly after posting and am watching the number climb .