538 blog

[idahoblue]

Does he consider voter suppression, intimidation, cheating in his calculations?

[rightsideout]

1. No

Only because those number are hard to quantify.

[abumbyanyothername]

3. To some extent they are factored in

as Nate compares polls to actual results and weights them accordingly.

So to the extent suppression, cheating etc. existed in prior elections, and to the same extent as in this one, Nate's model factors that in.

[krawhitham]

2. no, just math