2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumVirginia is making me nervous
I realize that very few votes have come in from the D.C. suburb counties, but early returns indicate that Romney has closed the gap a bit in those important counties as compared to 2008. If Obama doesn't do extremely well in those D.C. counties, there's no way he can win Virginia.
My fear is that we'll lose Florida and Virginia by very close margins, which will put the pressure on us to win Ohio (how many provisional ballots were cast there?)
democrattotheend
(11,605 posts)Not very encouraging, unfortunately. http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/special/politics/2012-exit-polls/#Virginia
woolldog
(8,791 posts)But that doesnt mean Romney wins. Ohio also looks good. Hang in there.
amborin
(16,631 posts)GallopingGhost
(2,404 posts)No early fretting about VA.
ShadowLiberal
(2,237 posts)amborin
(16,631 posts)Invidious
(205 posts)Most of those counties are like 1% reporting...plus not a lot of numbers out of Tidewater..Norfolk is 2nd biggest city in Virginia
LukeFL
(594 posts)beachbumbob
(9,263 posts)no reason to worry until fairfax reports
shawn703
(2,702 posts)Turnout was ridiculous this morning. In twelve years of voting I've never waited more than 20 minutes to vote, including 2008. It took two hours to get through the line today. When these get counted tonight, the tide will turn.
msrizzo
(796 posts).....last I heard people were still in line voting in parts of No. Va.
Avalux
(35,015 posts)Don't worry about it right now.
NEDem
(1,513 posts)8:14 P.M. Keeping an Eye on Chesterfield County, Va.
Just more than three-quarters of the vote has been reported in Chesterfield County, Va., an important suburban and exurban region southwest of Richmond. In the tally so far, Mitt Romney leads President Obama 54 percent to 45 percent. If those percentages hold, Mr. Romneys performance there would match almost exactly Senator John McCains margin of victory in Chesterfield County in 2008: 53 percent to 46 percent. Former President George W. Bush, however, when he carried the state in 2004, won Chesterfield County with 63 percent of the vote.
octoberlib
(14,971 posts)amborin
(16,631 posts)2) early VA returns will be heavily GOP, with blue counties reporting later at night.
Amphigouri
(38 posts)...and that is a little disconcerting. Our advantage in early voting seems to have been neutralized, Not calling it for Romney, but it won't be called early for either. I was hoping for an early call on these two states; it would make tonight easier!
LukeFL
(594 posts)KManX89
(1 post)We're now back ahead of Florida by 150,000+ votes, and Ohio by over 200,000 votes. Robme CAN'T LOSE ANY 1 OF FL, NC, VA or OH or he's toast.
LukeFL
(594 posts)octoberlib
(14,971 posts)Sean Trende @SeanTrende
It may just be that Obama hit a floor in heavy R counties in '08. We'll see. Again, the Chesterfield # is very good for obama.
JudyM
(29,270 posts)obamanut2012
(26,126 posts)It will be a HUGE SURGE of blue votes.