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BlueDemKev

(3,003 posts)
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 09:26 PM Nov 2012

Virginia is making me nervous

I realize that very few votes have come in from the D.C. suburb counties, but early returns indicate that Romney has closed the gap a bit in those important counties as compared to 2008. If Obama doesn't do extremely well in those D.C. counties, there's no way he can win Virginia.

My fear is that we'll lose Florida and Virginia by very close margins, which will put the pressure on us to win Ohio (how many provisional ballots were cast there?)

22 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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woolldog

(8,791 posts)
12. The race will be closer than 2008 for sure
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 09:31 PM
Nov 2012

But that doesnt mean Romney wins. Ohio also looks good. Hang in there.

Invidious

(205 posts)
3. Calm Down
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 09:28 PM
Nov 2012

Most of those counties are like 1% reporting...plus not a lot of numbers out of Tidewater..Norfolk is 2nd biggest city in Virginia

shawn703

(2,702 posts)
6. I voted in a suburban DC county in VA
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 09:28 PM
Nov 2012

Turnout was ridiculous this morning. In twelve years of voting I've never waited more than 20 minutes to vote, including 2008. It took two hours to get through the line today. When these get counted tonight, the tide will turn.

msrizzo

(796 posts)
7. They have to be called last because.......
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 09:28 PM
Nov 2012

.....last I heard people were still in line voting in parts of No. Va.

NEDem

(1,513 posts)
9. from Nate Silver's live blog
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 09:29 PM
Nov 2012

8:14 P.M. Keeping an Eye on Chesterfield County, Va.

Just more than three-quarters of the vote has been reported in Chesterfield County, Va., an important suburban and exurban region southwest of Richmond. In the tally so far, Mitt Romney leads President Obama 54 percent to 45 percent. If those percentages hold, Mr. Romney’s performance there would match almost exactly Senator John McCain’s margin of victory in Chesterfield County in 2008: 53 percent to 46 percent. Former President George W. Bush, however, when he carried the state in 2004, won Chesterfield County with 63 percent of the vote.

amborin

(16,631 posts)
13. Nate says Virginia will stay red until much later tonight when it turns blue:
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 09:32 PM
Nov 2012

2) early VA returns will be heavily GOP, with blue counties reporting later at night.

Amphigouri

(38 posts)
14. Early vote is in for both...
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 09:32 PM
Nov 2012

...and that is a little disconcerting. Our advantage in early voting seems to have been neutralized, Not calling it for Romney, but it won't be called early for either. I was hoping for an early call on these two states; it would make tonight easier!

KManX89

(1 post)
17. Don't worry
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 09:36 PM
Nov 2012

We're now back ahead of Florida by 150,000+ votes, and Ohio by over 200,000 votes. Robme CAN'T LOSE ANY 1 OF FL, NC, VA or OH or he's toast.

octoberlib

(14,971 posts)
19. RCP
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 09:38 PM
Nov 2012

Sean Trende ‏@SeanTrende
It may just be that Obama hit a floor in heavy R counties in '08. We'll see. Again, the Chesterfield # is very good for obama.

obamanut2012

(26,126 posts)
22. NOVA, Charlottesville, VA Beach, and Charlottesville need to come in
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 09:50 PM
Nov 2012

It will be a HUGE SURGE of blue votes.

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