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DonViejo

(60,536 posts)
Thu Jul 21, 2016, 08:32 AM Jul 2016

Will Texas become another brick in the Democrats’ blue wall? - By George F. Will

Political conventions are echo chambers designed to generate feelings of invincibility, sending forth the party faithful with a spring in their steps and hope in their hearts. Who would want to be a wet blanket at such moveable feasts?

Steve Munisteri would. Although he calls himself “the eternal optimist,” he respects reality, which nowadays is not conducive to conservatives’ cheerfulness. He served as chairman of the Texas Republican Party from 2010 to 2015 because he discerned “a seismic shift in demographics” that meant his state could “turn Democratic sooner than most people thought.”

The fact that Republicans have won every Texas statewide office since 1994 — the longest such streak in the nation — gives them, he says, “a false sense of security.” In 2000, Republican candidates at the top of the ticket — in statewide races — averaged about 60 percent of the vote. By 2008, they averaged less than 53 percent. And Republican down-ballot winners averaged slightly over 51 percent.

Texas is not wide-open spaces filled with cattle and cotton fields. Actually, it is 84.7 percent urban, making it the 15th-most-urban state. It has four of the nation’s 11 largest cities — Houston, San Antonio, Dallas and Austin. Texas’s growth is in its cities, where Republicans are doing worst.

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https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/will-texas-become-another-brick-in-the-democrats-blue-wall/2016/07/20/08b55f5e-4de0-11e6-a422-83ab49ed5e6a_story.html

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Will Texas become another brick in the Democrats’ blue wall? - By George F. Will (Original Post) DonViejo Jul 2016 OP
George Will: America is a "center-left country." Eric J in MN Jul 2016 #1
If democrats set up an organization in Texas and spend money, little doubt Texas could turn blue beachbum bob Jul 2016 #2
We are working hard to turn Texas blue Gothmog Jul 2016 #4
Good to hear. A long term strategy is important to win. LiberalFighter Jul 2016 #7
Trump may yet turn Texas blue Gothmog Jul 2016 #3
Texas, and Arizona, too! ... 1StrongBlackMan Jul 2016 #5
I've been saying this the whole electoral cycle. auntpurl Jul 2016 #6
Probably not in 2016, but the trend is there. TwilightZone Jul 2016 #8
Getting Hispanics registered and GOTV on Election Day could do it. yellowcanine Jul 2016 #12
Golly, if Texas goes blue, whatever will all you DU Texas Haters do? Paladin Jul 2016 #9
George Will tends to be wrong about everything... TwilightZone Jul 2016 #10
It's like the bump of respect Ted Cruz received after last night's speech. Paladin Jul 2016 #11
Trump seems to be making Will more rational. yellowcanine Jul 2016 #13
Great article Demsrule86 Jul 2016 #14

Eric J in MN

(35,619 posts)
1. George Will: America is a "center-left country."
Thu Jul 21, 2016, 08:44 AM
Jul 2016

I've seen conservatives call America a "center-right" country since the 1980s.

I wasn't expecting George Will to say the opposite in the last sentence.

 

beachbum bob

(10,437 posts)
2. If democrats set up an organization in Texas and spend money, little doubt Texas could turn blue
Thu Jul 21, 2016, 08:49 AM
Jul 2016

......as long as democrats get off their asses and vote, conservatives LOSE

Gothmog

(145,242 posts)
4. We are working hard to turn Texas blue
Thu Jul 21, 2016, 08:52 AM
Jul 2016

I am working hard with the Texas party to turn Texas blue. Progress is being made. The Texas voter id law really hurt Wendy Davis in 2014

LiberalFighter

(50,928 posts)
7. Good to hear. A long term strategy is important to win.
Thu Jul 21, 2016, 09:03 AM
Jul 2016

Anyone thinking they can just go in and expect to win right off the bat is trump-shit crazy.

auntpurl

(4,311 posts)
6. I've been saying this the whole electoral cycle.
Thu Jul 21, 2016, 09:02 AM
Jul 2016

We could get Texas this cycle, we really could. I know Texas will turn blue in the next 10 years. But it could be this year. Spend some money, Dems.

Hillary's organisation has been stellar so far. I hope they see this opportunity too.

TwilightZone

(25,471 posts)
8. Probably not in 2016, but the trend is there.
Thu Jul 21, 2016, 09:38 AM
Jul 2016

Turnout is the big problem here. Latino turnout, in particular, is much lower than the national average. We're working on it, but I think it's going to take a couple of cycles before it's effective enough to swing the state. Ideally, we could do so by 2020, the next redistricting year, and we could undue some of Delay's nonsense. That would certainly help.

yellowcanine

(35,699 posts)
12. Getting Hispanics registered and GOTV on Election Day could do it.
Thu Jul 21, 2016, 11:34 AM
Jul 2016

The numbers are there and Trump could make it happen.

Paladin

(28,257 posts)
9. Golly, if Texas goes blue, whatever will all you DU Texas Haters do?
Thu Jul 21, 2016, 09:52 AM
Jul 2016

"Texas's growth is in its cities, where Republicans are doing worst." Certainly not the first time this fact has been pointed out, here. Now that George Will is intoning it, maybe all you Texas Bashers will manage to keep it in mind.

TwilightZone

(25,471 posts)
10. George Will tends to be wrong about everything...
Thu Jul 21, 2016, 10:53 AM
Jul 2016

so I was a little surprised that he actually understood something about demographics in TX.

Between that and "center-left", he seems to have developed some rationality. Hell must be freezing over.

Paladin

(28,257 posts)
11. It's like the bump of respect Ted Cruz received after last night's speech.
Thu Jul 21, 2016, 11:20 AM
Jul 2016

Extremely short duration.

yellowcanine

(35,699 posts)
13. Trump seems to be making Will more rational.
Thu Jul 21, 2016, 11:36 AM
Jul 2016

He has left the Republican Party over Trump so he seems to be morphing into something new.

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