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Rasmussen's 7 point Trump lead almost evaporates (Original Post) Doodley Jul 2016 OP
Oh snap! Where are the concern trolls now? BobbyDrake Jul 2016 #1
I am not a troll, I am a long-time supporter of Hillary Clinton's. StevieM Jul 2016 #31
Considering I never mentioned you, what makes you think this comment applies to you? BobbyDrake Jul 2016 #34
I don't usually post polls at all. Maybe I misunderstood what the phrase "concern troll" means. StevieM Jul 2016 #36
Why is it even that close? TheCowsCameHome Jul 2016 #2
Because it is Rasmussen, always biased in favor of Repukes. MoonRiver Jul 2016 #4
Rasmussen or not, it shouldn't be close. TheCowsCameHome Jul 2016 #11
She just went up 7 points! Wait until after the Dem convention to get worried. MoonRiver Jul 2016 #17
Cut the crap Dem2 Jul 2016 #18
There is no "crap" TheCowsCameHome Jul 2016 #23
He is the nominee of the other major party. He's not a fringe candidate, even if he is a fruitcake. pnwmom Jul 2016 #32
Yes it should, because Rasumussen oversamples Republicans and they do so intentionally. stevenleser Jul 2016 #20
Because Rassmussen is a pro Republican polling outfit w a bad track record. emulatorloo Jul 2016 #7
It's a Rasmussen poll. auntpurl Jul 2016 #8
Because we have two people running in a pretty devided country. NCTraveler Jul 2016 #9
Because general elections are always close BainsBane Jul 2016 #25
If Rasmussen says Trump is up by one point, Hillary is up at least 7 points Cali_Democrat Jul 2016 #33
I wonder if we will see... NCTraveler Jul 2016 #3
Let's hope Trump has already peaked! Doodley Jul 2016 #5
hahahahahahaha! This! Her Sister Jul 2016 #13
Convention Months CobaltBlue Jul 2016 #6
I'm not a "concern troll" thucythucy Jul 2016 #10
All leftists must hope for the best bbut plan for the worst. I KingCharlemagne Jul 2016 #24
This isn't surprising. Ace Rothstein Jul 2016 #12
Such amazing outliers. You wouldn't believe it! auntpurl Jul 2016 #14
It's Part of the Game madguy Jul 2016 #15
and a tweet... riversedge Jul 2016 #16
I'm still scared Motley13 Jul 2016 #19
WOWZA! Trump is sucking in the one poll that is meant to make Republicans look good LynneSin Jul 2016 #21
Rasmussen was trolling us before the convention Dem2 Jul 2016 #22
Yea, but R and Q will compensate by having T-rump polling in double digits Iliyah Jul 2016 #26
In a representative poll, Trump has never been ahead. CrowCityDem Jul 2016 #27
I think we need to see her her vice president is going to be..and from onecent Jul 2016 #28
First poll taken since the RNC began. However 1/2 the poll was taken before the RNC began. RAFisher Jul 2016 #29
Rasmussen is a joke Johnny2X2X Jul 2016 #30
Not that I trust Rasputin for a second but... Downtown Hound Jul 2016 #35

StevieM

(10,500 posts)
31. I am not a troll, I am a long-time supporter of Hillary Clinton's.
Thu Jul 21, 2016, 01:02 PM
Jul 2016

But I am terrified of a Trump victory. I have seen Republicans lie their way to victory too many times.

 

BobbyDrake

(2,542 posts)
34. Considering I never mentioned you, what makes you think this comment applies to you?
Thu Jul 21, 2016, 01:22 PM
Jul 2016

Is there something about which you might have a guilty conscience?

Because unless you were someone who was posting polls showing Trump in the lead as an excuse to express So Much Concern about the election, it would not make much sense for you to assume it's about you.

I'm confused why you think my comment requires your rebuttal of an accusation that no one made.

StevieM

(10,500 posts)
36. I don't usually post polls at all. Maybe I misunderstood what the phrase "concern troll" means.
Thu Jul 21, 2016, 02:53 PM
Jul 2016

I thought it was anyone who expresses fear that the GOP could win this election.

I didn't think you were accusing me of anything. I was just offering an explanation as to why someone might put up posts expressing worry about how the campaign is going.

MoonRiver

(36,926 posts)
17. She just went up 7 points! Wait until after the Dem convention to get worried.
Thu Jul 21, 2016, 10:59 AM
Jul 2016

Edit: My bet is 3 days after our convention she WILL be 15 pts. ahead!

 

stevenleser

(32,886 posts)
20. Yes it should, because Rasumussen oversamples Republicans and they do so intentionally.
Thu Jul 21, 2016, 11:06 AM
Jul 2016

They put out some garbage press release a few years back that said its controversial to structure your sample to mimic what the population is in terms of party preference and the rest. It's not controversial. Everyone else does it but Rasmussen because its the right way to get an accurate reading.

emulatorloo

(44,124 posts)
7. Because Rassmussen is a pro Republican polling outfit w a bad track record.
Thu Jul 21, 2016, 10:41 AM
Jul 2016

They said Romney was gonna win right up to Election Day 2012

auntpurl

(4,311 posts)
8. It's a Rasmussen poll.
Thu Jul 21, 2016, 10:42 AM
Jul 2016

A conservative outfit. Basically, if she's tied with Trump in a Rasmussen poll, she's beating Trump's ass in reality.

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
9. Because we have two people running in a pretty devided country.
Thu Jul 21, 2016, 10:42 AM
Jul 2016

I'm glad people are realizing how prevalent racism, bigotry, and xenophobic thoughts are in this country.

Why was Obama McCain as close as it was?

BainsBane

(53,032 posts)
25. Because general elections are always close
Thu Jul 21, 2016, 11:29 AM
Jul 2016

a five point lead is a blow out. Anyone who has paid any attention in previous general elections should know that.

Moreover, polls at this stage are meaningless. They won't start to be relevant until the fall. They will certainly be tight because they always are. General elections are close in the US, and have been every year since the Reagan era.

 

Cali_Democrat

(30,439 posts)
33. If Rasmussen says Trump is up by one point, Hillary is up at least 7 points
Thu Jul 21, 2016, 01:05 PM
Jul 2016

Take any Rasmussen poll and add 8 points to the Dem.

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
3. I wonder if we will see...
Thu Jul 21, 2016, 10:40 AM
Jul 2016

CLINTON CLOSES THE GAP AT AN AMAZING PACE!!!!!! ON HER WAY TO ROCKET PAST TRUMP!!!!! I'M NO LONGER GREATLY AMAZINGLY OVERLY PARALIZED WITH CONCERN!!!!!!!

 

CobaltBlue

(1,122 posts)
6. Convention Months
Thu Jul 21, 2016, 10:41 AM
Jul 2016

I don’t think a convention is a good month to take national and state-after-state presidential polls seriously. Each party usually gets a convention bounce. They don’t predict the outcome for Election Day.

thucythucy

(8,052 posts)
10. I'm not a "concern troll"
Thu Jul 21, 2016, 10:43 AM
Jul 2016

but I won't breathe easy until Hillary wins this in a thumping landslide.

What I've seen these past days scares me. The thought of a Trump presidency has me absolutely terrified.

We HAVE to win this one. The alternative is just too horrible.

madguy

(51 posts)
15. It's Part of the Game
Thu Jul 21, 2016, 10:55 AM
Jul 2016

that they play. Showing Trump up by 7 as they last did, it would be hard to add points for a "convention bounce" so they needed to get it back to nearly even. Now they can go back to 6 or 7 point Trump lead and claim it's because he got the bounce.

riversedge

(70,220 posts)
16. and a tweet...
Thu Jul 21, 2016, 10:57 AM
Jul 2016

July 21, 2016 Hillary Clinton has rebounded into a virtual tie with Donald Trump https://shar.es/1Z1Ka7 #sheswithus #wipolitics

Motley13

(3,867 posts)
19. I'm still scared
Thu Jul 21, 2016, 11:02 AM
Jul 2016

I have friends who I consider reasonably intelligent (not so sure of it now) who are maggot supporters.
I do send them links, mainly the maggot in his own words, I doubt it makes a difference.

I started doing it because they sent me right wing stuff that were just lies, I do send back the Snopes fact ck. But they have already sent the lie to all their friends & I doubt they pass on the fact ck.

We laughed & laughed & said the psychotic know nothing bully could not possibly be president.
Every insulting, untrue, disgusting thing he said, we kept thinking, this is it, he's finished.
Now the only thing between us & disaster is Hillary.



we need more smilies like WTF

Dem2

(8,168 posts)
22. Rasmussen was trolling us before the convention
Thu Jul 21, 2016, 11:18 AM
Jul 2016

Hoping there would be a bounce.

The embarrassment of the convention scared the f*** out of them, so they corrected their sampling manipulation.

Iliyah

(25,111 posts)
26. Yea, but R and Q will compensate by having T-rump polling in double digits
Thu Jul 21, 2016, 11:32 AM
Jul 2016

after the convention. Fake news and the rest of the corporate arse kissers will follow.

onecent

(6,096 posts)
28. I think we need to see her her vice president is going to be..and from
Thu Jul 21, 2016, 12:10 PM
Jul 2016

there take it out of the park.

RAFisher

(466 posts)
29. First poll taken since the RNC began. However 1/2 the poll was taken before the RNC began.
Thu Jul 21, 2016, 12:13 PM
Jul 2016

Does this mean the shit show is going to give Clinton a massive boost?

Johnny2X2X

(19,066 posts)
30. Rasmussen is a joke
Thu Jul 21, 2016, 12:33 PM
Jul 2016

But Reuters has narrowed the other way, not is Hillary by only 5.

This is the week of the RNC, if Hillary comes out of this week up in all or all but 1 or 2 of the polls it's a huge victory. Hillary is going to get a 3-5 point bump from the DNC.

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