Dead Heat In Ohio

[applegrove]

Dead Heat In Ohio

https://politicalwire.com/2016/07/21/dead-heat-in-ohio/

"SNIP.............


A new Suffolk University poll in Ohio finds Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump tied in Ohio at 44% each with 11% still undecided.

In a four-way scenario, with Green Party nominee Jill Stein and Libertarian Gary Johnson added into the mix, Clinton edges Trump 43% to 39%, with Johnson getting 5%, Stein 1% and 12% undecided.


..............SNIP"

[helpisontheway]

1. Ohio is always close

Hillary can still win without Ohio. However, if she won then it would make the path pretty much impossible for Trump unless he pulls off win in PA and other places.

[geek tragedy]

2. close race goes to the campaign with the data and ground game nt

[treestar]

3. Clinton will win Ohio

the polls are messed up right now

[underpants]

5. Yes that was the whole purpose of holding the convention in Ohio

Take their show to a swing state. They should have more of a lift than this.

[Maeve]

9. And then insult the (R)governor. Brilliant strategy.

[UMTerp01]

6. I honestly think that Clinton is going to focus so much on Florida

The demographics play much more to her favor there with a huge Latino population that has gotten even bigger since 2012. Hillary can lose Ohio, PA, and VA and still win. Her mix of states to 270 is much more varied than is Donald Trump's.

[uponit7771]

10. +1, looks like pick ups in VA and SC negate either Ohio and PA which the DNC shouldn't abandon...

[The_Casual_Observer]

7. Nobody actually believes trump can do anything

He claims he can do. It's the same old shit,
Reduce taxes while at the same time build roads and bridges and increase the military, maintain law and order while doing nothing about guns, slap duties on foreign goods and expect no blowback, and somehow? Kill all the islamic radicals in the world.

It's all bullshit. He knows it, but he figures the rest of us are dumb enough to buy it.

[book_worm]

8. I wish people would stop with the polls until after both conventions

that is when we will begin to see the real race. Both VP nominees and both conventions and acceptance speeches.

[CobaltBlue]

11. Well, of course…

From here on out…all perceived "battleground" states will be +5 or less.

This persistence of phony-media-pushing of such polls for a clo-ooooo-se general election won't play out if it turns out to be a landslide election in which Hillary Clinton wins nationally by, say, +10 percentage points. If that actually happens, she'll carry Ohio by +7 at a minimum. And every 55,000 raw votes in Ohio is carriage by one full percentage point.

So, according to this (what the source is), Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton have the same number of raw votes.

How amazing!

Let's let July pass. Typically it is the convention month—both parties—which are convention bounces which don't often bare out when the Election Day plays out.

[woolldog]

14. Just stop it with the blaming of the media for the polls.

You all sound like the GOP in 2012 with their nonsense. Good god.

[DemonGoddess]

12. Well, this is actually a good thing

not much of a convention bounce for Trumpenstein, is there?

[applegrove]

13. It looks like Kasich loathes him.

[DemonGoddess]

16. He's too polite to say so

but I do believe you're right.

[timlot]

15. Ohio is always said to be close. Until...

[link:

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