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2016 Postmortem

scheming daemons

(25,487 posts) Wed Nov 7, 2012, 05:04 PM Nov 2012

5

Nate's final Pop. Vote prediction: 50.8% to 48.3%.... Actual (at this moment): 50.4% to 48.1%

That's FREAKY good. With still a couple percent yet to be counted, he may get it EXACTLY right.

10 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Nate's final Pop. Vote prediction: 50.8% to 48.3%.... Actual (at this moment): 50.4% to 48.1% (Original Post) scheming daemons Nov 2012 OP

Nate: proving that smart is sexy. n/t TDale313 Nov 2012 #1

Nate is the man. sadbear Nov 2012 #2

Nate Silver - The Human Spoiler Alert Yavin4 Nov 2012 #3

LOL! boingboinh Nov 2012 #7

And his final EV map was spot on also. yellowcanine Nov 2012 #4

Anyone have Sam Wang and Drew Lizner #s..Which of these 3 was closest? boingboinh Nov 2012 #5

Look at my prediction 50.5% to 48.1% TexasCPA Nov 2012 #6

Dude that is AMAZING! boingboinh Nov 2012 #8

I was also only 3 minutes off the official time they would call the election TexasCPA Nov 2012 #9

scary accurate prediction. nt woolldog Nov 2012 #10

TDale313

(7,820 posts)

1. Nate: proving that smart is sexy. n/t

Reply to scheming daemons (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 05:23 PM

Nov 2012

sadbear

(4,340 posts)

2. Nate is the man.

Reply to scheming daemons (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 05:24 PM

Nov 2012

But you know, there may soon be a day when we turn on him for reporting results we don't want to see.

Yavin4

(35,524 posts)

3. Nate Silver - The Human Spoiler Alert

Reply to scheming daemons (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 05:26 PM

Nov 2012

Takes all of the fun out of watching the returns.

boingboinh

(290 posts)

7. LOL!

Reply to Yavin4 (Reply #3)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 05:33 PM

Nov 2012

yellowcanine

(35,733 posts)

4. And his final EV map was spot on also.

Reply to scheming daemons (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 05:27 PM

Nov 2012

Nate is GAWD.

boingboinh

(290 posts)

5. Anyone have Sam Wang and Drew Lizner #s..Which of these 3 was closest?

Reply to scheming daemons (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 05:32 PM

Nov 2012

Seeing everywhere that these 3 were the only ones that got it 100% correct. And the polsters were a disaster. Pew Research seemed the closest in correct.

TexasCPA

(527 posts)

6. Look at my prediction 50.5% to 48.1%

Reply to scheming daemons (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 05:32 PM

Nov 2012

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=213930

boingboinh

(290 posts)

8. Dude that is AMAZING!

Reply to TexasCPA (Reply #6)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 05:35 PM

Nov 2012

Sadly its likely your EV will be off when Florida goes Obama shortly.

TexasCPA

(527 posts)

9. I was also only 3 minutes off the official time they would call the election

Reply to boingboinh (Reply #8)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 05:46 PM

Nov 2012

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=199387

woolldog

(8,791 posts)

10. scary accurate prediction. nt

Reply to scheming daemons (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 05:47 PM

Nov 2012

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