The Trump dam may be about to burst...

[brooklynite]

‏@jheil John Heilemann
Four more red states to watch for potential shocker polls: AZ, MO, TX, UT.

Mark Halperin said today he was aware of other polls in the field that could be as dramatic as this week's...

[bullimiami]

1. If Texas flips heads will explode.

[Demsrule86]

6. Even if in the end he win some of these states,

it still cost him big dollars to fight in those states. Trump's Ohio operation is not up and running I hear.

[Botany]

11. Trump is in a bad way in OH .... I live in OH

Not only is the Governor against him but a senior member of the OH GOP has M.S. and
has been very public about how much he does not like Trump after Trump made fun of
that NY Times' reporter's neuromuscular illness.

[duncang]

16. I think it is getting closer

I have read articles saying there is only a 3.9% difference between democrat and republican. But there was 16% more votes repub in the last prez election. So getting mixed messages on line. But pretty sure this election will move Texas further left. And just demographics will be moving it further in the future. A lot does depend on what the next 4 years hold.

[democrattotheend]

33. I've been saying for a while that Texas will eventually become a swing state

Based on the fact that the Latino population is growing faster than the white population, and many of the old southern racists are dying off.

[Botany]

2. Georgia and South Carolina might also be in play

And Indiana even with Pence Trump might lose that state.


1964 might be Trump's model for 2016

[underpants]

3. South Carolina?

Come on.

[Botany]

9. Still it is a long shot but one poll had South Carolina going from .....

Last edited Fri Aug 5, 2016, 01:18 PM - Edit history (1)

.... solid red to leans red.

Trump has lost women (except for white christian females), African Americans,
and Hispanics ..... add Pence's anti Gay & Lesbian actions and even in S. Carolina
the math becomes a bit harder for Trump.

S. Carolina is about 28 to 30% African American and its Hispanic population
is growing too. Although S. Carolina's PTB have been working for years to
keep blacks from voting.

[underpants]

10. 538 had Mississippi as light red yesterday

SC and MISSISSIPPI???

I go over at lunch and see if any of our second place trophies on Monument Avenue (Richmond VA) are crying.

[GoCubsGo]

19. And, just from my observatons here...

I have been seeing far more Hillary bumper stickers and signs than I do those for Trump. I have also noticed at least as many LTEs and op-eds in the local papers stating that say we shouldn't vote for him, because he's dangerous, if not more than those that support him. I know it's just anecdotal, but I don't get the sense there is the same enthusiasm here for Trump that there has been for previous republican candidates. That's not to say that I think my state will turn "blue" in November. But then, we do have those black box voting machines, and our governor has been at odds with Trump... I wouldn't put it past her, especially since she likely has presidential aspirations of her own.

[padfun]

30. What State are you in?

Arizona?

[GoCubsGo]

34. South Carolina.

[C_U_L8R]

4. Be still my heart

I love the look of that map !

It's possible !!!!

[Demsrule86]

5. Wow...I wish and hope...now that would really be something. nt

[B Calm]

8. Indiana blue, no way!

[Botany]

12. IN went blue in 2008

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/2/24/ElectoralCollege2008.svg

[workinclasszero]

18. That's the kind of map we need so the democratic party

can finally bury the legacy of Reagan and W and their anti-american party!

[Politicub]

23. Georgia is trending blue this time around

This map needs an update.

[Botany]

24. Clinton up either by 3 or 4 in the latest Georgia Poll (Atlanta Journal-Constitution)

http://www.democraticunderground.com/12512345728

[forkol]

32. Georgia was close in 2008....

And for this election, there's been a large increase in the Latino voter registration for this election:

http://www.myajc.com/news/news/local-govt-politics/latino-voter-registration-surges-amid-trumps-rise/nrjsR/

It will be interesting to see how it all plays out.

[Major Nikon]

26. GA: Clinton +4

http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2016/08/05/ajc-poll-hillary-clinton-has-slim-lead-over-donald-trump-in-georgia/

[MineralMan]

7. Ring that bell!

[auntpurl]

13. If Hillary goes up in the polls (more than the MOE) in Texas

that is the only scenario in which I would believe the Repubs will actually try to dump Trump. They cannot afford to lose Texas, and I don't mean in this presidential race alone. If Latinos and other Dems in Texas get registered and vote and feel enfranchised, that will really be the end of the GOP being able to win national elections.

[Hortensis]

14. Very positive news.

I'll feel better when I know most of America understands Trump is truly dysfunctional and dangerous, though. A lot of people do not think it's unreasonable to worry about a terrorist attack in the U.S. designed to elect Trump and defeat Clinton.

If that were to happen, it'd be terribly important that most of a frightened and angry electorate turned to Clinton for safety.

And of course far more states than necessary going for Hillary ahead of time could be helpful in such a case, and a mandate would be wonderful. Even so, I'd be interested in trading some new-blue-president states for some new-blue senators and governorships.

[jcgoldie]

15. OMG

Please please Texas.

[ffr]

21. Come on Texas!

[cannabis_flower]

31. 538 isn't showing a poll for Texas since 6/10-6/20.. that's before

That's before the Republican Convention, Ted Cruz, the Democratic Convention and the Trump eruptions.

[mopinko]

17. the delish thing is

he has no chance of winning his home state.
how sweet would a 50 state rout be?

[zipplewrath]

20. Down ticket races

If only the down ticket races would look anything like this at all. I'm afraid the sound of ticket splitting will be deafening that evening.

[ffr]

22. I think soon the 538 line for Drumpf will be flatlining

I think the patient is dead...politically.

[rivegauche]

25. Texas?? Naw.

Not going to happen. The other states, she may be gaining. Texas going blue is like a wet dream, frankly.

[ToxMarz]

27. Is there a downside to crashing too soon.

I know sometimes it is not a good thing to peak too soon. I want him to crash, but was expecting the total crash right before the election

[Inspired]

28. A republican came to our door last night

since my husband is still a registered R. He told them that he was not supporting Trump and was voting for Hillary. The door knocker said she was hearing a lot of that and only wanted to know if he would continue to support the congressional candidates. My husband thought it was interesting that they didn't come back with anything concerning why he should support Trump. It was all about the down ticket.

[Hekate]

35. The Koch brothers are concentrating their money on down-ballot races this year, so gridlock...

...can continue under a Hillary presidency. Whatever else they are, they're not stupid. Evil, yes; stupid, no.

[argyl]

29. I live in Texas and work with a number of good ole boys.They don't say much about Trump lately.

A few of them are embarrassed.

Texas going blue in 2016 may not be out of the question.