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2016 Postmortem

Godhumor

(6,437 posts) Tue Aug 9, 2016, 10:42 AM Aug 2016

3

Don't look now, but PredictWise has Clinton at 79% to win

Less than a hundred days before the election? That is pretty impressive.

http://predictwise.com

5 replies

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Don't look now, but PredictWise has Clinton at 79% to win (Original Post) Godhumor Aug 2016 OP

That's low Johnny2X2X Aug 2016 #1

PW works a bit different than PEC, Upshot, etc Godhumor Aug 2016 #3

If only we could be more Green to attract Stein voters ... we might squeak out a win. NurseJackie Aug 2016 #2

This is great news Gothmog Aug 2016 #4

538 likewise. Donald Ian Rankin Aug 2016 #5

Johnny2X2X

(19,108 posts)

1. That's low

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Tue Aug 9, 2016, 10:54 AM

Aug 2016

She's at 86% on upshot which includes several models including 538 and Princeton.

We're at the point where it would take an unprecedented event for Trump to make it close.

Godhumor

(6,437 posts)

3. PW works a bit different than PEC, Upshot, etc

Reply to Johnny2X2X (Reply #1)

Tue Aug 9, 2016, 11:01 AM

Aug 2016

79% is something of a watermark for them.

NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)

2. If only we could be more Green to attract Stein voters ... we might squeak out a win.

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Tue Aug 9, 2016, 10:55 AM

Aug 2016

Gothmog

(145,496 posts)

4. This is great news

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Tue Aug 9, 2016, 11:53 AM

Aug 2016

Donald Ian Rankin

(13,598 posts)

5. 538 likewise.

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Tue Aug 9, 2016, 12:49 PM

Aug 2016

That's 20% lower than I'd like - if I were to hand you a D10, and tell you that Trump would become president if it came up 0 or 1, I suspect you'd start to panic - but not bad at all for this stage.

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