2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumTrump back to tweeting polls
This time a Zogby poll that shows Hillary leading by 2.
riversedge
(70,234 posts)dhol82
(9,353 posts)I thought his sitters/handlers had him on phone blackout?
Johnny2X2X
(19,066 posts)Not included in any poll average because it's joke methodology.
Has to be killing Trump to not be able to crow about Polls when he did nothing but talk about them all primary season.
VMA131Marine
(4,139 posts)Get the lowest pollster rating "C-"
SCantiGOP
(13,871 posts)Would likely be a 100 electoral vote margin.
major debacle
(508 posts)VMA131Marine
(4,139 posts)Hillary is leading by near double digits in NC, ahead or tied in GA, tied in IN, down only 6 in TX. There's no way for those things to be true and also have Hillary only be leading by a couple of percent in the national polls. I have a feeling that the likely voter models are substantially underestimating her support. That said, the only poll that counts is Nov. 8. VOTE!
Dem2
(8,168 posts)The "single poll" thinking is what Trump wants.
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-general-election-trump-vs-clinton
VMA131Marine
(4,139 posts)538 also notes that the state polls were more predictive of Obama's large EV win in 2012 than the national polls that showed a close race with Rmoney.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-national-polls-show-the-race-tightening-but-state-polls-dont/?ex_cid=2016-forecast
Blue Idaho
(5,049 posts)There is a difference.