2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumAbsentee ballot requests favor Clinton in key battleground states of FL and NC
Care to start counting some nearly hatched chickens? From this article ... http://www.cbsnews.com/news/early-voting-surge-benefits-hillary-clinton/
"More people are seeking or casting early ballots in the critical states of North Carolina and Florida than at this point in 2012, with Hillary Clinton the likely beneficiary ..."
"Clinton may also benefit from an increase in ballot requests in Georgia, a traditionally Republican state where Democrats have made inroads."
"While the ballot sample to date remains small, Clinton so far is hitting guideposts in several battleground states compared to 2008 and 2012."
Basically FL and NC are looking good so far while IA and the 1 district in Maine are leaning Trump. I would gladly take FL and NC over IA plus the 1 EV from Maine every time.
One more quote about my home state NC ....
"By party, Democrats made up 40 percent of the ballots returned compared to 35 percent for Republicans. At this point in 2012, Republicans had opened a wide lead over Democrats in returned ballots, 49 percent to 32 percent, leading to Mitt Romneys narrow win that state. While Romney was boosted by older whites who voted early by mail, white voters so far have been down this year, to 82 percent from 86 percent of submitted ballots. Black voters, more likely to cast ballots in person, were higher at 12 percent."
I do not like counting unhatched chickens, but I do like that early on NC is leaning blue this year.
Persondem
(1,936 posts)Matthew28
(1,798 posts)Among returned and accepted ballots, though, registered Democrats have 40 percent of those ballots, with 35 percent from registered Republicans, and 24 percent from registered unaffiliated voters.
In comparing this year's numbers of returned and accepted mail-in absentee ballots by party registration, the trend continues to hold for registered Democrats and registered unaffiliated voters by their over-performance.
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While the total returned and accepted mail-in absentee ballots are 106 percent of the same-day totals from 2012, registered Democrats are at 140 percent, registered unaffiliated voters are at 139 percent, and registered Republicans are behind their cumulative numbers from four years ago, at only 73 percent of their same-day totals.
http://www.oldnorthstatepolitics.com/
Very favorable trend for Clinton!
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)Trump isn't.